Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

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HURAKAN
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Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 13, 2007 5:49 am

AREA TO WATCH:

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#2 Postby flwxwatcher » Thu Sep 13, 2007 9:04 am

High pressure is forecast to build in and the SW Atlantic would be an area I would be looking next week. The EURO and GFS are hinting at this as well.. Maybe a Gabrielle type development??

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 7091212!!/


http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 7091212!!/


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... /fpc.shtml
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#3 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Sep 13, 2007 10:30 am

flwxwatcher wrote:High pressure is forecast to build in and the SW Atlantic would be an area I would be looking next week. The EURO and GFS are hinting at this as well.. Maybe a Gabrielle type development??

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 7091212!!/


http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 7091212!!/


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... /fpc.shtml


If this area persists, it likely will since there is adequate moisture, warm water,
and a strong ridge...development is pretty likely.
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#4 Postby Buck » Thu Sep 13, 2007 2:46 pm

It seems like we just can't get enough of these this year!
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Re:

#5 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 13, 2007 3:14 pm

Buck wrote:It seems like we just can't get enough of these this year!


Sometimes when it rains, it pours!!!
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 14, 2007 6:53 am

Convection has been persistent for 24 hrs now. It's an area that most be watched for development over the next few days.
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#7 Postby flwxwatcher » Fri Sep 14, 2007 9:10 am

Agreed Hurrkan.. the models have been hinting at something developing in this area the coming week. Something to watch :D
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#8 Postby flwxwatcher » Fri Sep 14, 2007 10:40 am

Interestig to note here on the Visible sat pic, it looks like some low level turning around 27.5N 65 W .

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-vis.html
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#9 Postby ronjon » Fri Sep 14, 2007 12:55 pm

12Z CMC spins up a tropical cyclone off the east coast of FL and brings it into the GOM. Have to see if any other models jump on this in the future.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2007091412&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation
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#10 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:11 am

A lot of convection this morning.
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#11 Postby sevenleft » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:18 am

A lot of convection along the FL east coast from JAX-DAB. Surface pressures have been rising in the area tho. Doesn't look like that blob will do anything unexpected today.
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#12 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:24 am

This is the area that the latest model runs have dropping into the GOM and moving west..

Still quite skeptical....
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#13 Postby skysummit » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:48 am

Hmmm.....look at the wind barbs....

Image
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#14 Postby boca » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:49 am

Stratosphere747 wrote:This is the area that the latest model runs have dropping into the GOM and moving west..

Still quite skeptical....


I wonder how far south this will go before it scoots west.
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Re: Decaying cold front off US Atlantic coast

#15 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:55 am

boca wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:This is the area that the latest model runs have dropping into the GOM and moving west..

Still quite skeptical....


I wonder how far south this will go before it scoots west.


From the read I had with the models - It seemed to vary from going across the peninsula to all the way down to the straits.
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Re:

#16 Postby boca » Mon Sep 17, 2007 8:02 am

skysummit wrote:Hmmm.....look at the wind barbs....

Image


Is this the area around Daytona that the models are picking up on or is it further east along the boundary.Their is also a little spin around 25n and 75w that another poster mentioned.
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Re:

#17 Postby O Town » Mon Sep 17, 2007 8:04 am

skysummit wrote:Hmmm.....look at the wind barbs....

Image


Yeah I was noticing the movement of the storms just now. My husband is up there working outside and was calling me asking me what the radar looked like, and which way it was heading.... I was like by Jacksonville its going west and down by Port Orange its going east. Looks like the rain isn't going anywhere fast.
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#18 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 17, 2007 8:36 am

Radar:

Image
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Derek Ortt

#19 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Sep 17, 2007 8:54 am

this is the only area that I can see developing and moving into the Gulf
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#20 Postby hiflyer » Mon Sep 17, 2007 9:41 am

Few days ago MIA NWS talked about this feature developing and crossing the state into the gulf....looks like they got that part right. JAX radar hints at a broad low centered between Ocala and JAX with almost all moisture on the east side out in the Gulfstream. MLB radar shows the area south out in the stream and north of Freeport juicing up rapidly while it feeds into the main convection....and the whole mass appears to be slowly expanding southward than anything right now. Surface pressures show rising on the last hourly across all of Florida. Some companion preceip starting up in the NE gulf of the West Coast of Florida along the same axis but not nearly as strong.....and for the most part nothing over the land mass of Florida yet....

Good visible
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/FIRE/fires-fl-vis-loop.html
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