Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#1 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 4:57 pm

I have notice a nice ball of convection near Guadeloupe...the remnants of Ingrid i tkink...and this should bring showers and thunderstorms in vicinity of the island tonight....no LLC anymore....whereas we need these showers in the islands :)
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Fego
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 767
Age: 65
Joined: Sun Apr 18, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Contact:
Contact Fego

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#2 Postby Fego » Mon Sep 17, 2007 6:41 pm

Here a great view of that blow near Guadalupe.
Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#3 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 6:52 pm

Tkanks Fego :D and this system continues to expand convection and popping nicely. In my area there's numerous lightning, but no wind no showers but for the next couple of hours....things will change as this bulk wilml very closely to my island!
Latest of meteo-france Guadeloupe:http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/TAG/Tagant.jpg :roll:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#4 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 6:58 pm

Latest from Guadeloupe Le Raizet 07h30 PM:
1011mb , Wind from SW 1 kt ...Thunder in vicinity Cumulonimbus clouds observed , 88% of relative humidity
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TFFR.html
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#5 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:23 pm

Meteo France issued at 8pm a yellow alert for Guadeloupe... meaning a light to moderate risk of showers and big thunderstorms for tonight and tommorow....the system is churning near Guadeloupe with more ligthning in my area.....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3027
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#6 Postby msbee » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:39 pm

We have some of that lightening here too...in the distance..although I am not sure it is connected to the blob east of Guadeloupe.
and a brief shower..no thunder
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#7 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 7:56 pm

msbee wrote:We have some of that lightening here too...in the distance..although I am not sure it is connected to the blob east of Guadeloupe.
and a brief shower..no thunder

OK tkanks for the info, humm not directly with the blob... but i tkink that with the proximity of the blob and particulary in the whole area beetween me and you... so there's maybe enough moisture and light winds to bring some showers.... whereas.... given the lastest from NHC discussion there's plenty of moisture due to Ingrid remnants...
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT MON SEP 17 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2215 UTC.
THE REMNANTS OF INGRID IS A 1010 MB SURFACE
LOW JUST E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 18N61W WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE E FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN
58W-61W WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS. ( so you're in :D that's credible msbee :cheesy: )
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
punkyg
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 770
Joined: Mon Apr 23, 2007 7:37 pm
Location: sanford florida

#8 Postby punkyg » Mon Sep 17, 2007 8:11 pm

Hows the shear over this blob.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re:

#9 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 8:50 pm

punkyg wrote:Hows the shear over this blob.


hi punkyg , decreasing trend of this map (-10 kts) or eyes are deceiving me...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
20 kts or maybe less in chart:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#10 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 9:02 pm

The system is very close to my island right now, the thunder is roaring frequently with ligth rain and numerous lightning winds began to blown lightly....
:roll:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#11 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 17, 2007 9:18 pm

I left now too much tstorms on the are lossing electricity!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3027
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#12 Postby msbee » Mon Sep 17, 2007 9:22 pm

Image
Latest satellite image
looks like Guadeloupe is starting to get some weather now.
stay high and dry, gusty
0 likes   
Top
HUC
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 590
Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2003 3:48 pm
Location: Basse-Terre Guadeloupe

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#13 Postby HUC » Tue Sep 18, 2007 5:42 am

Violent tstorms last evening in my location,with 27mm of rain recorded in my official gauge for Basse-Terre.
That's the second time in a week that so violents tstorms assault the island...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#14 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 18, 2007 5:44 am

What a night yesterday...we have experienced the effects of this nearly stationary system with amazing lightning, big thunderstorms, and some light gusty winds... when i wrote my last reply...the conditions were so bad in my area...and i lost quickly electricity at 10h25 pm.
Moreover, the medias reported also some localized muslides and floodings... some branchs and shorts trees were destroyed too....
The yellow alert is maintained on the island today...with the same risk of moderate thunderstorms due to the light winds and the moisture on the area. I will see how the situation evolves but the same scenario is expected given the forecasters today :eek: :roll:. But the only good news is the water for us :wink: :cheesy:
Latest at 6 am by Meteo-France:
http://www.meteo.gp/pro/donnees/satelli ... Tagant.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#15 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 18, 2007 6:18 am

HUC wrote:Violent tstorms last evening in my location,with 27mm of rain recorded in my official gauge for Basse-Terre.
That's the second time in a week that so violents tstorms assault the island...


Hi Huc :) , tkanks a lot for the info....that's pretty amazing!
They reported at Meteo-France 54,5mm at Pt Canal in an hour and the whole record for Ste Anne with 63mm in two hours!!! Meteo-France expect 30 to 50 mm in some areas today...
If look at the sat pic the system is always there, hopefully its activity has dimished a little...but can regenerate at any time today, something to watch for us in the island... Also more souther ST Lucia reported numerous lightning from a correspondant yesterday night at 10pm...meaning the kind of lightining we have experienced... :eek: :roll: hope it will calm down a bit.... :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
msbee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3027
Joined: Wed Jun 11, 2003 10:11 am
Location: St. Maarten

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#16 Postby msbee » Tue Sep 18, 2007 8:15 am

I wish that thing would head our way. We could use the rain.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: Blob of heavy convection east of Guadeloupe

#17 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 18, 2007 9:31 am

msbee wrote:I wish that thing would head our way. We could use the rain.


Yeah seems that there's a little blob near your island approaching Msbee whereas ... convection begins to regenerate near Guadeloupe not as strong from yesterday...but...we will see what pan's out..assuming that we're always on a yellow alert..meaning that we can expect some rains and tstorms later this afternoon or this morning? :?: :roll:
Maybe residual convection east of Guadeloupe and ST Marteen ...trying to pop? :eek: :roll: ....we will see....?! :double:
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#18 Postby Gustywind » Tue Sep 18, 2007 1:43 pm

Thunderstorm activity seems to refires...numerous ligthning are making their come back, but for the moment not as strong as yesterday night...Looking at the latest sat pic...
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
we can expect a slight convective activity
during the next couple of hours due to the light winds and the moist atmosphere added
to the tenacious remnants of miss Ingrid...hope it won't be another round of very huge tstorms!
Note that Meteo France has issued a yellow alert at 12 am for St Maarten and has continued in the same consensus for Guadeloupe until 6pm.
In my location i have light rains, no wind, thunder is roaring frequently...and further north some impacts can be observed in the
north west side of my location... but nothing too serious for the moment compared to yesterday night !!!eesy: :wink: :D ! :spam:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#19 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 18, 2007 1:45 pm

Is this thread not Ingid?
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34005
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#20 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 18, 2007 2:14 pm

I think these are the remnants of Ingrid, so the threads should be merged...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: caneman, Cpv17, riapal and 35 guests