Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
GFS coming in......0Z....initializes the low a lot more SE than I would have thought.......
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 00_l.shtml
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 00_l.shtml
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
Bastardi did a super special Sunday video, showed WRF, no call for Gulf, exactly, but thinks 50 mph winds possible Central ECFL coast Tuesday.
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
ROCK wrote:GFS coming in......0Z....initializes the low a lot more SE than I would have thought.......
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 00_l.shtml
That is pretty much where the flare-up in the Bahamas is occuring right now. This could be coincidental, though. It is an area of relatively lighter shear.
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
BigA wrote:ROCK wrote:GFS coming in......0Z....initializes the low a lot more SE than I would have thought.......
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 00_l.shtml
That is pretty much where the flare-up in the Bahamas is occuring right now. This could be coincidental, though. It is an area of relatively lighter shear.
yeah its close but I was thinking it was closer to FL than that.....
heres the 24hr GFS. Low over Cuba.....
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024l.gif
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
ROCK wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_054l.gif
low now in the CGOM......
Has Karen in the corner too..
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _054.shtml
sure looks like not a lot of shear out there on this run.....
sure looks like not a lot of shear out there on this run.....
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:ROCK wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_054l.gif
low now in the CGOM......
Has Karen in the corner too..
Sure does and the 315 utc IR shows a ball of convection forming as shear is dropping off. Also, GFS at +54 shows a favorable upper-air pattern
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
ROCK wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_096l.gif
Texas coast? Or is it turning North there?
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_108l.gif
weakens the low and takes it into sw LA.......very similar to the last run....
weakens the low and takes it into sw LA.......very similar to the last run....
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
Duddy wrote:ROCK wrote:http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_096l.gif
Texas coast? Or is it turning North there?


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00Z Canadian brings a 1001mb low across S.FL monday night/Tue
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/mod ... 12_100.gif
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/mod ... 12_100.gif
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- MGC
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
I don't see anything coming out of this. Weak at best. Lots of shear over the basin....MGC
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Re: Tropical Development at Bahamas / GOM in comming days?
Here we go again: I think it's headed here (TX) or there (LA). What is heading where? When has it developed? Model Phantasia season 07 - GITCHA ONE
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