GOM-Producing near TD strength winds

[caneman]

At at least 2 locations. Quite a pressure differential from this area and surrounding areas as well.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

About a .20 pressure differential from this area and locations North of it.

Looks good on SAt.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

[caneman]

According to the 8:00 NHC update. This area has become stationary

[Thunder44]

On infrared imagery, looks like there is a low or mid-level center near 23.7N 85.9W. I'm not sure if this is the surface low that was in the NW Carribean yesterday, but it's under high wind shear right now with the thunderstorm complex well NW of the center.

[chadtm80]

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Moderate rain occuring and that is a very large area
of convection. It will fill up the aquifers with water before
our La Nina Dry winter sets in, so it is beneficial in providing
some rain

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ECIR3.html

Looks Very Impressive!!!! WOW!

[caneman]

Link to radar
http://baynews9.com/Doppler9000.html

[caneman]

WOW! Quickscat is showing some 40kt. + winds occuring. I saw a ship reporting this as well but had discounted due to faulty equipment but.........

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/oce ... atl_12.png

[caneman]

If these are tur winds, it looks to me like a invest and STDS are in order.

[Thunder44]

WOW! Quickscat is showing some 40kt. + winds occuring. I saw a ship reporting this as well but had discounted due to faulty equipment but.........

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/oce ... atl_12.png

The QS pass doesn't show a closed surface circulation. Looks more like inverted surface trof extending down into the NW Carribean. Visible imagery this mornng seems to show that too. I take back what I said about LLC or MLC.

[chadtm80]

Good View - http://www.storm2k.org/weather/hw3.php? ... one=FLZ044

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

40 knot wind vectors a bunch of them in a cluster
just off floridas Southwest coast in that Quickscat!!!!!
Dude that's so insane!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

[Sanibel]

That's just west of us. It has the look, but I don't see any spiral except a little vortex out from under the convection to the west along the stationary boundary. GOM is 82-84*

Calm here no rain.

[Cyclone1]

Wow! That's crazy impressive! o_O

[JonathanBelles]

WOW!! I thought we were out of wake up and be surprised mode.

12mph winds here.

[Cyclone1]

11:30 TWO approaching... I hope the NHC mentions this. Personally, I don't think they have a choice. A lot of storm leery Floridians are going to be logging on to the NHC after seeing this blob on TWC Local on the 8's and read the TWO.

[Rainband]

11:30 TWO approaching... I hope the NHC mentions this. Personally, I don't think they have a choice. A lot of storm leery Floridians are going to be logging on to the NHC after seeing this blob on TWC Local on the 8's and read the TWO.

This is not going to affect Florida. It should stay off shore. Most of the heavy rain will too. Too much shear.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php ... &version=0

[Cyclone1]

11:30 TWO approaching... I hope the NHC mentions this. Personally, I don't think they have a choice. A lot of storm leery Floridians are going to be logging on to the NHC after seeing this blob on TWC Local on the 8's and read the TWO.

This is not going to affect Florida. It should stay off shore. Most of the heavy rain will too. Too much shear.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php ... &version=0

It's right off the coast. Whether or not it affects Florida doesn't really matter, it's near Florida, and that's going to catch the interest of a lot of Floridians.

The NHC should have something telling them at the least that development isn't expected.

And, for the record, it's already affecting Florida, but I see what you're saying.

[Cyclone1]

No mention in the TWO. Must just be you average convection flare. It's impressive, but I guess looks are decieving.