Just a little curious.....

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NCGal
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Just a little curious.....

#1 Postby NCGal » Thu Jan 10, 2008 7:38 pm

Does anyone think the Raleigh, NC area will get any measurable snow/ice this Winter.... Or will it be like the Spring...NO Moisture to speak of? We really need a good snow fall to help with the drought. Just curious as to what your thoughts are.
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#2 Postby wall_cloud » Thu Jan 10, 2008 10:28 pm

I will say...YES. eventually you will. Relax, its still early January.
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#3 Postby Lowpressure » Fri Jan 11, 2008 11:59 am

Maybe as early as Thursday/Friday next week.
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#4 Postby jinftl » Fri Jan 11, 2008 2:26 pm

No winter precip in NWS forecast through next Thurs...temps way too warm



NWS Forecast for: 6 Miles WSW Wake Forest NC
Issued by: National Weather Service Raleigh, NC
Last Update: 12:41 pm EST Jan 11, 2008


This Afternoon: Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Southwest wind around 11 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Calm wind becoming north around 6 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. East wind between 3 and 6 mph.

Sunday: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. Northeast wind between 7 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Sunday Night: A chance of rain, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 53.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 28.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 49.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.

Thursday: Partly sunny, with a high near 54.
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#5 Postby Lowpressure » Fri Jan 11, 2008 7:51 pm

Friday will be more interesting as it approaches.

WED NIGHT-THU NIGHT...MODELS DEPICT MILLER-A TYPE CYCLOGENESIS NEAR
THE GULF COAST WED NIGHT TRACKING NE TO THE MID ATLC COAST BY
DAYBREAK FRI. MODEL PARTIAL THICKNESS SCHEMES SHOW WARMING OF
MIDLEVEL AIR...BUT RESIDUAL COLD AIR DAMMING IN LOWER LEVELS AND
POTENTIAL POTENTIAL FOR PCPN TO START AS SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR
SLEET IN THE NW PIEDMONT IF PCPN ADVANCES NE BEFORE DAYBREAK THU.
GIVEN THE PROJECTION RANGE AND NUMBER OF MODEL ITERATIONS LEFT TO
RESOLVE THE PATTERN...ONLY A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE INDICATED AT
THIS TIME FOR THU AND THU NIGHT. LOWS WED NIGHT 30-35. HIGHS THU 40
NW TO 55 SE. LOWS THU NIGHT MID TO UPPER 30S.

FRI...THE PATTERN IN BOTH GFS AND ECMWF EVOLVES TO A DEEP TROUGH
ACROSS NORTH AMERICA WITH AN AXIS OVER THE PLAINS TO THE SRN MS
VALLEY. DEPENDING ON SHORT WAVES IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM...TOO EARLY
TO RESOLVE AT THIS RANGE... WE COULD SEE ADDITIONAL PCPN EVENTS AND
GULF TO EAST COAST CYCLOGENESIS WITH THIS PATTERN AFTER DAY 7.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#6 Postby rsvh2000 » Sun Jan 13, 2008 5:48 pm

Outside chances.......let's keep our fingers crossed....
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#7 Postby rsvh2000 » Mon Jan 14, 2008 6:14 am

Well dang. Looks like another bust...at least for Central South Carolina. Temps will just be too warm. Here is to crossing fingers for another chance later this season....
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#8 Postby ncupsscweather » Mon Jan 14, 2008 6:40 pm

Chance looking okay here in the Northern Piedmont of North Carolina for Thursday Mornings event. Looks like temperatures will be cold enough to support a snow/sleet mixture starting in between 1am and 4am thursday. Looking at the latest model's temperatures should be set just right, for the chance of wintry precipitation. But it still depends on the track of the area of Low Pressure when it comes out of the ( GOM ).
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#9 Postby Lowpressure » Wed Jan 16, 2008 9:14 am

I thought this might be more than just a cold rain for you. Looks pretty good for some winter precip for you now.
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#10 Postby NCGal » Wed Jan 16, 2008 2:43 pm

S2K Supporter... I hope you are right!!! We want to see some snow, seems to be more like ice for this event.. Maybe before the winter season is over we will see a good measurable snowfall. Take care.
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#11 Postby Lowpressure » Wed Jan 16, 2008 2:47 pm

I am Lowpressure, the S2K supporter tag is if you contribute to the site monitarily.

The NAM recently came in colder than previous runs, which means better chance for frozen precip. Your local forecast should be responding to the latest model runs. DP are running real low in the entire area.
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Re: Just a little curious.....

#12 Postby NCGal » Thu Jan 17, 2008 3:21 pm

Sorry about that Lowpressure, I didn't mean to get your name wrong. Well it looks like this storm was a bust. Hopefully we will have the chance for another storm with some measurable snowfall soon. Thanks.
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