Winter Weather in the deep south thread

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AL Chili Pepper
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#281 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Wed Jan 16, 2008 10:11 pm

If that happens (and it's only 3 days out!), I'm going on a road trip.
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#282 Postby Brent » Wed Jan 16, 2008 10:17 pm

Game on?

From ABC 33/40 in Birmingham:

Snow Possible Late Friday Night/Sat AM
January 16, 2008, 9:08 pm | James Spann | Forecast Discussion

The models have been more bullish with the idea of another Gulf wave Friday night and Saturday morning. The NAM did pretty well on today’s system (much better than the GFS), and we have to give this idea some merit. And, with Arctic air blowing into Alabama Saturday, this snow could accumulate (how much we don’t know yet), stick around for a while, and make for some icy travel Saturday morning.
Stay tuned… I will have much more on the morning discussion and Weather Xtreme video update, which will be posted by 7:00 a.m…..

Hopefully today was just a little preview. 8-)
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#283 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Jan 16, 2008 10:28 pm

The NAM scenario would be great! Atlanta would definitely be blanketed by a nice layer of snowfall if this ends up being correct...

Image
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#284 Postby Lowpressure » Wed Jan 16, 2008 10:33 pm

Snowing now in Charlotte.
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#285 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jan 16, 2008 10:36 pm

Well GFS pretty much sucked on this system and Nam is looking really good for Pensacola...and only 3 days away!
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#286 Postby Brent » Wed Jan 16, 2008 10:59 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Well GFS pretty much sucked on this system and Nam is looking really good for Pensacola...and only 3 days away!


GFS looks horrible for Saturday. No moisture north of the freezing line(which is in Central AL). Hope it's wrong again.
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#287 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Jan 16, 2008 11:00 pm

00z GFS not as impressive as the NAM, but still interesting...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_060l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_066l.gif

One thing's for sure - - this run definitely looks better than what the GFS was spewing out just a few runs ago. Take a look at what the 6z GFS showed for the same timeframe: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_078l.gif . Things definitely seem to be heading in the right direction! :)
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#288 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Jan 16, 2008 11:15 pm

We had a DUSTING today around 4pm. First time I ever remember snow in the daytime here in north AL. We had temps in the 38F range, but the snow was falling pretty good and managed to build up a bit. Changed to rain now.
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Re:

#289 Postby Brent » Wed Jan 16, 2008 11:31 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:First time I ever remember snow in the daytime here in north AL.


That shocked me too. I know I've seen snow in the daytime before, but it's been a long time(usually in the morning), not in the peak of the afternoon.
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#290 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Jan 16, 2008 11:32 pm

What is everyone saying about next week? GFS indicating some action 7 days out.
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#291 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Jan 16, 2008 11:33 pm

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#292 Postby HarlequinBoy » Thu Jan 17, 2008 12:15 am

I hope you get more! This weekend's possible storm would have moisture too far south, although we'd be plenty cold.

At this rate we might not beat last season's 3 inch mark.
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Re:

#293 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 17, 2008 12:38 am



Let's get through Saturday first. :double: I've been seeing it too but it's still a little too far out right now.

One thing is for sure, this pattern is very active and about as favorable for snow as it gets.
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#294 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 17, 2008 2:16 am

NOGAPS and CMC onboard! GFS seems to be an outlier. :ggreen:

Image

Image

From ABC 33/40:

MORE RAIN/SNOW? Another wave is expected to form in the Gulf of Mexico late tomorrow, and it will spread rain up into the southern part of Alabama late tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night. To the north, a strong Arctic front will move into our state tomorrow night, and the big question is, of course, will the Arctic air phase with the Gulf moisture for some snow over Alabama.

At this point, we will mention a chance of rain for the I-20 corridor (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston) tomorrow night, with the potential for a changeover to snow after midnight, and into the pre-dawn hours on Saturday. At this point, it looks like the greatest chance of snow will be north of a line from Eutaw to Clanton to Roanoke. There will be some potential for some accumulation; perhaps 1 inch or a little more along I-20. With Arctic air invading the state along with plunging temperatures, this could mean some travel issues for a period Saturday morning across North-Central Alabama. We will fine tune this forecast tomorrow as the system begins to get its act together.
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#295 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jan 17, 2008 6:59 am

OMG NAM is my new best friend!!! Gulfcoast blizzard in 2 days!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Image
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#296 Postby rsvh2000 » Thu Jan 17, 2008 8:16 am

OK. Help me out here. The NAM seems to show at least a possibility for winter precip Saturday for Columbia SC (center of the state) if I am looking at it correctly. Howevere, no me ntion of a possibility by NWS or local mets. What do you more seasoned weather watchers think??

thanks
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#297 Postby VoodooCadillac » Thu Jan 17, 2008 9:05 am

Seems like everyone is looking ahead for the weekend already - but just to tie things up with the current storm -

Started snowing in Downtown Asheville (where I'm located) at about 9:00 PM last night. Looks like we got about 3", then a change to sleet/freezing rain sometime around daybreak. It's currently 31 degrees with light freezing drizzle. Looking at the radar, looks like the back edge of precip not too far away. So.............the weather guys really did a pretty good job with this one here. Points slightly south (Fletcher, Hendersonville, Brevard) picked up 4-5."
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#298 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Jan 17, 2008 9:49 am

Starting snowing in Charlotte around 10:30 last night. My area-southside, looks to have picked up 1 1/2 inches before the sleet and freezing rain set in. Still white outside, but grass poking through due to rain. Dangerous black ice potential this evening into Fri a.m. maybe even some freezing fog.
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#299 Postby Cookiely » Thu Jan 17, 2008 9:54 am

My sister called me yesterday to gloat that they were having snow flurries and also sleet. SHe lives in Leeds. She said nearby in Moody it was more snow and less sleet. My nephew loves the snow so I hope it pans out for this weekend.
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Re: Snow in the deep south Mid January?

#300 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 17, 2008 10:51 am

Ivanhater wrote:OMG NAM is my new best friend!!! Gulfcoast blizzard in 2 days!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Image


:eek: :eek: :eek:
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