Winter Weather in the deep south thread

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HarlequinBoy
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#421 Postby HarlequinBoy » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:01 pm

Someone's forecast is going to bust. Columbus, GA isn't even under an SPS while across the AL border there's a Heavy Snow Warning. Let's hope Atlanta's is the one.
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#422 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:04 pm

HarlequinBoy wrote:Someone's forecast is going to bust. Columbus, GA isn't even under an SPS while across the AL border there's a Heavy Snow Warning. Let's hope Atlanta's is the one.


I've noticed... NWS Atlanta is really slow on things. The local station just showed up to 4 inches near the AL border with 1-3" pretty much everywhere else.
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#423 Postby HarlequinBoy » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:08 pm

Yeah, looking at the warning map I'd say Atlanta is the odd man out.. That gap over central GA.
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#424 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:29 pm

Ok...its Friday and Im done with class work..just had a few margaritas and am ready to stay up and wait for some wintry precip!!! couldnt go to auburn this weekend where I knew I would see some heavy snow....but I think there might be some here in NW Florida!!
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#425 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:33 pm

Image
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#426 Postby grangdm » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:36 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Ok...its Friday and Im done with class work..just had a few margaritas and am ready to stay up and wait for some wintry precip!!! couldnt go to auburn this weekend where I knew I would see some heavy snow....but I think there might be some here in NW Florida!!


I think you're chances are improving, but, my GOD(!), one must take advantage of every opportunity to spend time in Auburn, home of my collegiate alma mater and the Loveliest Village on the Plain!!!

That said, I'm looking at 3-6 inches here in Coosa County according to the NWS! I am STOKED!!!!!!
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#427 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:44 pm

grangdm wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Ok...its Friday and Im done with class work..just had a few margaritas and am ready to stay up and wait for some wintry precip!!! couldnt go to auburn this weekend where I knew I would see some heavy snow....but I think there might be some here in NW Florida!!


I think you're chances are improving, but, my GOD(!), one must take advantage of every opportunity to spend time in Auburn, home of my collegiate alma mater and the Loveliest Village on the Plain!!!

That said, I'm looking at 3-6 inches here in Coosa County according to the NWS! I am STOKED!!!!!!


I spent New Years in Auburn and Montgomery...good times! lol...but my friend in Auburn had family issues so a no go...but look at the new nam snow fall accumulations!! getting closer!!!

Image

Side note...those margaritas are feeling good! 2 for 1 tonight!
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#428 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:47 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Ok...its Friday and Im done with class work..just had a few margaritas and am ready to stay up and wait for some wintry precip!!! couldnt go to auburn this weekend where I knew I would see some heavy snow....but I think there might be some here in NW Florida!!


Sorry you can't come, you are going to miss out. This is the best snow chance in YEARS!
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#429 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:52 pm

Brent wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Ok...its Friday and Im done with class work..just had a few margaritas and am ready to stay up and wait for some wintry precip!!! couldnt go to auburn this weekend where I knew I would see some heavy snow....but I think there might be some here in NW Florida!!


Sorry you can't come, you are going to miss out. This is the best snow chance in YEARS!



Its ok Brent..Im keeping HOPE alive in NW Florida! The Nam is looking good! best chance Pensacola has had in a while...going to be a long night! Just went outside..getting some moderate rain now...should turn wintry in a few hours :wink: :wink: ..come on NAM!!!
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#430 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:04 pm

Ivanhater wrote:
Brent wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Ok...its Friday and Im done with class work..just had a few margaritas and am ready to stay up and wait for some wintry precip!!! couldnt go to auburn this weekend where I knew I would see some heavy snow....but I think there might be some here in NW Florida!!


Sorry you can't come, you are going to miss out. This is the best snow chance in YEARS!



Its ok Brent..Im keeping HOPE alive in NW Florida! The Nam is looking good! best chance Pensacola has had in a while...going to be a long night! Just went outside..getting some moderate rain now...should turn wintry in a few hours :wink: :wink: ..come on NAM!!!


Looks like the 850 mb temps hitting zero corresponds with your precip ending. But good luck. Rain and about 40ºF here in Houston most of the day. If it is that cold, and not snowing, it is such a disappointment.
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#431 Postby Brent » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:04 pm

Image

I'm in the heavy band just across the line in AL! Such a skinny band and I'm in it! :eek:
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#432 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:06 pm

:uarrow: Maybe you're lucky!!! Takes pictures and post them please!!!
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#433 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:12 pm

Here is the 850mb line for the NAM...going to be close!...

Image
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#434 Postby Kennethb » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:15 pm

I think the NAM is too cold and GFS too warm. I just do not see a good setup for much wintry precip. Perhaps somewhere in the middle is what is in order. The cold air and lower dewpoints are not there and will arrive too late.
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#435 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:35 pm

Hey! Get your negativity out of here!..Im feeling good about the chances! :P
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#436 Postby Siberian Express » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:50 pm

You guys (and gals) crack me up... :cheesy:

here I sit, wishing for the 80's and T-storms
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#437 Postby Kennethb » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:53 pm

Over the past 40 years or so, I have seen the snow forecast and never appear, or have it fall just to the north. There have been dozens of times that we have been 35 and rain with others getting dumped on. The setup this time is not here. However, we have another month of potential. The southern jet seems to have become activated, and I think that we will see some colder shots through mid February and better opportunities for wintry precip.

Ivanhater wrote:Hey! Get your negativity out of here!..Im feeling good about the chances! :P
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#438 Postby Siberian Express » Fri Jan 18, 2008 11:58 pm

Temp -5, a half foot of snow on the ground with a nasty wind.
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Re:

#439 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sat Jan 19, 2008 12:04 am

Siberian Express wrote:Temp -5, a half foot of snow on the ground with a nasty wind.



That is why Se Texas is so perfect. All four seasons, and even some snow once or twice a decade, but most winter days you can get by with a sweathsirt or light jacket, Spring lasts a long time, and warm summers, but not as bad as, say, Dallas, with some summer days relieved by sea-breeze generated afternoon t-showers.


Oh, no state income tax.
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Re: Snow in the deep south this weekend!

#440 Postby PTPatrick » Sat Jan 19, 2008 12:24 am

well, all I can say is that over the past week NAM has DONE GREAT. It called the atlanta snow when GFS said all rain. And I know it is not the same region, but it was dead on with Denver not getting any snow Wednesday when GFS had up to an inch. Also, today...NWS here in Denver went with GFS on less than half and inch of accumulation for tonight. They even mentioned NAM was an"outlier" calling for 3 inches in Denver Metro...guess what happened...about an hour after the 5:00 news guys were saying so much any snow "no accumulation expected"...a band set up and downtown denver now has 3 inches of snow...in less than 3 hours. So my point...at this time I am MUCH more inclined to believe NAM on snow prediction.

I mean think about it. Wednesday had cold rain written all over it for Atlanta if you were to believe the models...and look what happened.

And of course as most southerners know...snow usually happens when its is barely predicted...and if the issue a winter advisory more than a 24 hours before...they usually bust.

In pascagoula on Christmas of 04...I know thicknesses didnt really support snow at all if you were to pay attention to models...yet for some reason, we had an inch on the bayou before the afternoon was over....and that wasnt even that cold of an airmass...if memory serves temps barely went down that night.
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