N TX Weather #2

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Slowly, Spring is Springing...or is it?

#301 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Mar 17, 2008 7:02 pm

Weather Alerts Summary:

TORNADO WARNING
- Delta, Hopkins, Hunt and Lamar Counties until 7:30PM CDT

Tornado Watch
- Delta, Ellis, Fannin, Henderson, Hopkins, Hunt, Kaufman, Lamar, Rains, Rockwall, and Van Zandt Counties until 1:00AM CDT Tuesday
- Bosque, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hamilton, Hood, Jack, Palo Pinto, Parker, Somervell, Wise, and Young Counties until 2:00AM CDT Tuesday.

Flash Flood Watch
- Anderson, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis, Erath, Fannin, Freestone, Grayson, Hamilton, Hill, Hood, Hopkins, Hunt, Johnson, Kaufman, Lamar, Limestone, Navarro, Parker, Rains, Rockwall, Somervell, Tarrant, and Van Zandt Counties until 7:00AM CDT Wednesday
_________________________________________________________

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Montague County has been allowed to expire.
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Slowly, Spring is Springing...or is it?

#302 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Mar 17, 2008 7:27 pm

The National Weather Service has extended the TORNADO WARNING for persons in Lamar County until 8:15PM CDT.

NWS - Fort Worth wrote:* AT 724 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 14 MILES SOUTH OF PARIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH. SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED DAMAGE WITH THIS STORM.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
TOCO BY 730 PM CDT...
DEPORT AND PARIS BY 735 PM CDT...
BLOSSOM AND SUN VALLEY BY 740 PM CDT...

EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES FOR A STORM SHELTER OR PERMANENT BUILDING. IF
NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

DO NOT STOP UNDER BRIDGES OR HIGHWAY OVERPASSES SINCE THEY OFFER NO
PROTECTION FROM TORNADO WINDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3344 9543 3345 9553 3349 9560 3349 9568
3361 9569 3371 9562 3389 9544 3388 9535
3391 9532 3388 9528 3339 9530 3339 9535
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 222DEG 41KT 3350 9552
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#303 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:53 am

Well, we haven't seen any severe weather activity all of last night...even if there was, we probably fell asleep through it all. However, some heavy activity along with a cold front will be sweeping through the immediate DFW area throughout the day. The Tornado Watch has been reduced to only the southwestern portion of North Texas until 9:00AM CDT, but a Flash Flood Watch has been enlarged to cover the entire region until 5:00AM CDT Wednesday.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 65°FImage
Tonight: Image 44°F
Wednesday: Image 67°F | 44°F
Thursday: Image 73°F | 50°F
Friday: Image 72°F | 47°F
Saturday: Image 69°F | 48°F
Sunday: Image 64°F | 45°F
Monday: Image 66°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Slowly, Spring is Springing...or is it?

#304 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 18, 2008 12:42 pm

The National Weather Service has issued a FLASH FLOOD WARNING for persons in Dallas and Tarrant Counties until 2:15PM CDT,

NWS - Fort Worth wrote:* AT 1207 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER MUCH OF DALLAS AND EASTERN
TARRANT COUNTIES. THE AREA OF STORMS CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH. RADAR INDICATES THAT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY
FALLEN DURING THE MORNING HOURS AND ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH 215 PM CDT. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD FLOODING
THROUGHOUT THE WARNING AREA THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE LANCASTER...WILMER...HUTCHINS...RICHARDSON...DALLAS...BALCH
SPRINGS...MESQUITE...SUNNYVALE...ROWLETT...GARLAND AND SACHSE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LAT...LON 3299 9723 3299 9652 3259 9656 3257 9728
TIME...MOT...LOC 1707Z 205DEG 60KT 3300 9673 3259 9687
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Slowly, Spring is Springing...or is it?

#305 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 18, 2008 3:51 pm

Weather Alerts Summary:

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
- Van Zandt County until 4:15PM CDT

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
- Hill County until 4:00PM CDT
- Dallas and Tarrant Counties until 5:00PM CDT
- Rockwall County until 5:15PM CDT
- Collin County until 5:30PM CDT
- Ellis County until 6:00PM CDT

Tornado Watch
- Henderson, Rains, and Van Zandt Counties until 6:00PM CDT
- Anderson, Freestone, Limestone, and Navarro Counties until 7:00PM CDT

Flash Flood Watch
- Anderson, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Eastland, Ellis, Erath, Fannin, Freestone, Grayson, Hamilton, Henderson, Hill, Hood, Hopkins, Hunt, Jack, Johnson, Kaufman, Lamar, Limestone, Montague, Navarro, Palo Pinto, Parker, Rains, Rockwall, Somervell, Stephens, Tarrant, Van Zandt, Wise, and Young Counties until 5:00AM CDT Wednesday
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Slowly, Spring is Springing...or is it?

#306 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 18, 2008 4:13 pm

The National Weather Service has extended the FLASH FLOOD WARNING for persons in Hill County until 7:00PM CDT.

NWS - Fort Worth wrote:* AT 355 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ACROSS HILL COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT
55 MPH. LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS ROADS BEGINNING TO BE CLOSED
IN AND AROUND ITASCA. RADAR INDICATES THAT 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN
HAS ALREADY FALLEN. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH 700 PM CDT.

* LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE...CARL`S CORNER...BLUM...ITASCA AND COVINGTON.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LAT...LON 3178 9733 3184 9728 3188 9739 3190 9737
3195 9742 3198 9738 3204 9749 3213 9749
3220 9744 3227 9708 3208 9695 3208 9691
3191 9678 3183 9702 3187 9704 3175 9728
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 188DEG 49KT 3207 9714
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Slowly, Spring is Springing...or is it?

#307 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:41 pm

The National Weather Service has extended the FLASH FLOOD WARNING for persons in Dallas and Tarrant Counties until 8:00PM CDT.

NWS - Fort Worth wrote:* AT 453 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER DALLAS AND EASTERN TARRANT
COUNTIES...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH. RADAR INDICATES THAT 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH 800 PM CDT.

* LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE...IRVING...UNIVERSITY PARK...COLLEYVILLE...KELLER...
GRAPEVINE...SOUTHLAKE...FARMERS BRANCH...GARLAND...ROWLETT...
COPPELL...ADDISON...CARROLLTON...RICHARDSON AND SACHSE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LAT...LON 3299 9728 3299 9651 3256 9653 3256 9730
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 188DEG 44KT 3284 9700
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#308 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 18, 2008 5:45 pm

Weather Alerts Summary:

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
- Hill County until 7:00PM CDT
- Fannin and Hunt Counties until 7:30PM CDT
- Dallas Delta, Hopkins, Lamar, and Tarrant Counties until 8:00PM CDT
- Collin, Ellis, Johnson, Kaufman, and Rockwall Counties until 8:15PM CDT

Tornado Watch
- Henderson, Rains, and Van Zandt Counties until 6:00PM CDT
- Anderson, Freestone, Limestone, and Navarro Counties until 7:00PM CDT

Flash Flood Watch
- Anderson, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Eastland, Ellis, Erath, Fannin, Freestone, Grayson, Hamilton, Henderson, Hill, Hood, Hopkins, Hunt, Jack, Johnson, Kaufman, Lamar, Limestone, Montague, Navarro, Palo Pinto, Parker, Rains, Rockwall, Somervell, Stephens, Tarrant, Van Zandt, Wise, and Young Counties until 5:00AM CDT Wednesday
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#309 Postby TexasStooge » Wed Mar 19, 2008 6:50 am

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 67°F
Tonight: Image 43°F
Thursday: Image 73°F | 51°F
Friday: Image 75°F | 47°F
Saturday: Image 69°F | 47°F
Sunday: Image 61°F | 40°F
Monday: Image 64°F | 45°F
Tuesday: Image 71°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#310 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Mar 20, 2008 6:21 am

Ladies & Gentlemen, Spring has officially sprung! But not on Easter Sunday. Old Man Winter will be taking his final blow on that day, dropping temperatures to the 50s and bringing in some rain. Will it disrupt the Easter Egg Hunting activities? Or will they be scheduled the day before Easter? Well, no matter, we'll still be warming up afterwards.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 71°F
Tonight: Image 50°F
Friday: Image 75°F | 47°F
Saturday: Image 69°F | 44°F
Sunday: Image 53°F | 37°F
Monday: Image 60°F | 45°F
Tuesday: Image 72°F | 55°F
Wednesday: Image 76°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#311 Postby TexasStooge » Fri Mar 21, 2008 6:10 am

Well, Happy 2nd Day of Spring!!! I would've greeted Spring yesterday, but the computer at home is acting like a jerk by disconnecting me. Anyways, we're expecting to continue this normal trend throughout Saturday, because Old Man Winter is taking another final blow on North Texas: dropping temperatures and bringing some rain along. At least we'll be warming back up to the 70s from Tuesday on.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 75°F
Tonight: Image 49°F
Saturday: Image 71°F | 45°F
Sunday: Image 58°F | 40°F
Monday: Image 65°F | 48°F
Tuesday: Image 73°F | 56°F
Wednesday: Image 75°F | 60°F
Thursday: Image 77°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#312 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Mar 24, 2008 6:53 am

We had ourselves a nice Spring Break last week...or the week before...or some of y'all are starting Spring Break this week...whatever...anyways, temperatures have dropped on Easter Sunday, and parents feared that the Easter Egg Hunt would be cancelled due to the rain, but there was no rain and the hunt s resumed. The kids needed a light jacket. That's all. This week will be no different, except it will be windy. But we are expecting a warm-up this week, so that's good news.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 66°F
Tonight: Image 49°F
Tuesday: Image 75°F | 59°F
Wednesday: Image 79°F | 64°F
Thursday: Image 84°F | 64°F
Friday: Image 75°F | 52°F
Saturday: Image 74°F | 58°F
Sunday: Image 78°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#313 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 25, 2008 6:30 am

Many North Texans are waking up to windy conditions this morning, but the winds are not strong enough to prompt a Wind Advisory. Still, there is an elevated Grass Fire Danger as the warming trend continues...but it won't last long with another cool front moving into North Texas. And if y'all have any weekend plans, don't mean to dampen them, but we have a slight chance of thunderstorms from Friday on.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 73°F
Tonight: Image 59°F
Wednesday: Image 78°F | 56°F
Thursday: Image 83°F | 63°F
Friday: Image 72°F | 53°F
Saturday: Image 69°F | 56°F
Sunday: Image 78°F | 63°F
Monday: Image 73°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Spring Has Sprung!!

#314 Postby TexasStooge » Tue Mar 25, 2008 9:00 am

Remember earlier that I said there was no Wind Advisory? Well, I was wrong.

The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory for the entire North Texas region until 7:00PM CDT.

NWS - Fort Worth wrote:STRONG SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING...BECOMING 20 TO 25
MPH WITH GUSTS ABOVE 30 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE
TO 10 TO 20 MPH AROUND SUNSET.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 20 TO
30 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BOATERS SHOULD
USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN VENTURING ONTO AREA LAKES. RESIDENTS MAY
WISH TO TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND
OTHER LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS THAT MAY BE BLOWN AROUND IN THE
STRONG WINDS.
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#315 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Mar 27, 2008 4:40 am

Anybody up for another taste of summer? (ME!!!) Good! Most of North Texas will be in the 80s in the afternoon hours, but all will come crashing down tomorrow when another cold front sweeps through. (Aw man!!) with thunderstorms from Friday to Wednesday (AW MAN!!!!!). But not to worry, we'll stay steady in the spring-like rainge from Tomorrow on.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 85°F
Tonight: Image 60°F
Friday: Image 68°F | 56°F
Saturday: Image 71°F | 64°F
Sunday: Image 77°F | 65°F
Monday: Image 74°F | 55°F
Tuesday: Image 69°F | 51°F
Wednesday: Image 70°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#316 Postby TexasStooge » Fri Mar 28, 2008 5:06 am

At this point, we're in th eupper 60s to near 70. We would think it's gonna get any higher, but a strong cold front will keep the North Texas readings down in the 60s, but don't fret, this is Old Man Winter's final attempt (I hope) of putting us in a cold cap. Then from this weekend on, we'll see highs staying within the upper 60s to near 80. ALso, we got a chance of thunderstorms from tonight on with greater chances on Monday. A few storms could be strong as instability increases, but will the risks be any higher? We'll know once we begin our work/school week.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 63°F
Tonight: Image 52°F
Saturday: Image 71°F | 45°F
Sunday: Image 81°F | 66°F
Monday: Image 75°F | 53°F
Tuesday: Image 68°F | 55°F
Wednesday: Image 68°F | 59°F
Thursday: Image 76°F
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

#317 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Mar 31, 2008 6:51 am

The so-called rain forecasted for the weekend didn't happen. Even if it did, we only got a trace early in the morning and most of the storms are south and east of the Metroplex. But today, the weather system is set up for us to have severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening (Yep, it's that time of year again!). Also from Tuesday Night on, we'll see a chance of thunderstorms with greater chances on Thursday.

DFW Forecast

Today: Image 82°F
Tonight: Image 56°F
Tuesday: Image 75°F | 59°F
Wednesday: Image 71°F | 63°F
Thursday: Image 81°F | 57°F
Friday: Image 70°F | 50°F
Saturday: Image 73°F | 54°F
Sunday: Image 75°F
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Spring Has Sprung!!

#318 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Mar 31, 2008 1:40 pm

Earlier look at 12Z WRF skew-T forecasts showed good potential for hail in DFW area.


DFW aviation discussion mentioned that 18Z sounding shows little remaining cap. The MD for North Texas has already disappeared, don't know if that means a watch is imminent.
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Spring Has Sprung!!

#319 Postby TexasStooge » Mon Mar 31, 2008 2:16 pm

The National Weather Service has issued Tornado Watch #148 for most of North Texas until 9:00PM CDT.

Code: Select all

.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDERSON             BELL                BOSQUE
COLLIN               COMANCHE            COOKE
CORYELL              DALLAS              DELTA
DENTON               ELLIS               ERATH
FALLS                FANNIN              FREESTONE
GRAYSON              HAMILTON            HENDERSON
HILL                 HOOD                HOPKINS
HUNT                 JACK                JOHNSON
KAUFMAN              LAMAR               LAMPASAS
LEON                 LIMESTONE           MCLENNAN
MILAM                MILLS               MONTAGUE
NAVARRO              PALO PINTO          PARKER
RAINS                ROBERTSON           ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL            TARRANT             VAN ZANDT
WISE
$$


ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...TSA...
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re: N TX Weather #2 - Spring Has Sprung!!

#320 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Mar 31, 2008 2:22 pm

Weather Glossary is Available Here

000
FLUS74 KFWD 311918
AWUFWD

AREA WEATHER UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
218 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

...MESOSCALE UPDATE FOR NORTH TEXAS...

TORNADO WATCH BOX HAS BEEN ISSUED THAT COVERS NEARLY ALL OF NORTH
TEXAS. DRYLINE APPEARED TO BE STRENGTHENING NEAR A LINE EXTENDING
FROM MONTAGUE COUNTY TO NEAR BRIDGEPORT TO MINERAL WELLS TO NEAR
COMANCHE. SBCAPES OVER 2000 J/KG ALONG DRYLINE...WITH POCKETS OF
INSTABILITY OVER 2500 J/KG NOTED IN AREAS WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR NOW 40 KTS (AND INCREASING) AND LCL
HEIGHTS AT OR BELOW 1000M...PARAMETERS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELL STORMS. LOW LEVEL SHEAR AROUND 20-25 KTS WILL ALSO BE
FAVORABLE FOR LOW LEVEL MESOCYLOGENESIS...WITH GREATEST TORNADO
THREAT OCCURRING WITH SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS THAT CAN TRACK INTO AREAS
WITH NEAR-SURFACE WINDS REMAINING BACKED TO A SOUTH OR
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST DIRECTION.
VERY LARGE HAIL ALSO LIKELY WITH SUPERCELL STORMS INTO THE EVENING
HOURS.

POTENTIAL FOR LONG-TRACK INTENSE SUPERCELLS MAY BE GREATEST ACROSS
COUNTIES NEAR RED RIVER WHERE DRYLINE INTERSECTS COLD FRONT. THIS
INTERSECTION IS CURRENTLY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...BUT COULD MOVE
SOUTHEAST INTO AREAS NEAR THE RED RIVER BY 2100Z. THIS AREA WILL
ALSO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LARGE SCALE LIFTING FROM RIGHT EXIT
REGION OF 250 MB JET.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 34 guests