Potential in the GOM?
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Too much shear, but if there is persistence for a few more days maybe
something might try to spin up. In the mean time, due to this
trough driven storm complex, a:
nice big squall line from this mess is about to smack me in the face!
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw
special marine warning for 50 mph wind gusts
In any case, this thunderstorm complex has produced a lot
of strong thunderstorms with strong wind gusts.
something might try to spin up. In the mean time, due to this
trough driven storm complex, a:
nice big squall line from this mess is about to smack me in the face!
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw
special marine warning for 50 mph wind gusts
In any case, this thunderstorm complex has produced a lot
of strong thunderstorms with strong wind gusts.
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- dixiebreeze
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
We're getting plenty of storms, too, TBH, and it looks now like it's training NE from the BOC. NOT complaining about the rain!
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Could this slowly develop into a tropical system? The squalls that have
been moving through Florida have been producing gusts over 50 mph.
See Macdill Air Force Base station http://www.wunderground.com get forecast
for Tampa for detailed wind records.
been moving through Florida have been producing gusts over 50 mph.
See Macdill Air Force Base station http://www.wunderground.com get forecast
for Tampa for detailed wind records.
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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A lot of widespread disorganized convection.
http://www.wunderground.com/global/Regi ... llite.html
Time to watch. Nothing is likely to form, but it should be watched.
If a system could form in June, the NW Caribbean or GOM would be where
it forms.
http://www.wunderground.com/global/Regi ... llite.html
Time to watch. Nothing is likely to form, but it should be watched.
If a system could form in June, the NW Caribbean or GOM would be where
it forms.
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- stormy1970al
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- Professional-Met
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
Another round for SEFLA.....from the discussion
"WITH THE FORECAST CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
BE NEARLY THE SAME AGAIN FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND WITH THE PAST 2
DAY`S STORM HISTORY SOME MAY BE STRONG "
Interesting at midnight in the Bahamas....Northern storms by Freeport heading east....southern by Nassau heading west.....ahhhh summer!
"WITH THE FORECAST CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
BE NEARLY THE SAME AGAIN FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON AND WITH THE PAST 2
DAY`S STORM HISTORY SOME MAY BE STRONG "
Interesting at midnight in the Bahamas....Northern storms by Freeport heading east....southern by Nassau heading west.....ahhhh summer!
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- srainhoutx
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
CRP mentions in the long term portion of morning AFD that the weekend "could bring increased rain" to TX Coastal areas from TW currently E of Windward Islands by this weekend. We shall see.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?sit ... glossary=1
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?sit ... glossary=1
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
srainhoutx wrote:CRP mentions in the long term portion of morning AFD that the weekend "could bring increased rain" to TX Coastal areas from TW currently E of Windward Islands by this weekend. We shall see.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/product.php?sit ... glossary=1
Yes,we're supposed to get the wave during Wed timeframe too.So after us its your turn in Texas.
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- dixiebreeze
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- dixiebreeze
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5140
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
- Location: crystal river, fla.
Re: Potential in the GOM?
Here 'tis:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/rb-l.jpg
Seems to me it would be drifting into the GOM
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/rb-l.jpg
Seems to me it would be drifting into the GOM
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- srainhoutx
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
srainhoutx wrote:Give the GOM a little time. Stalled boundries have a history of surprises through the years. I suspect we'll see more upper level vorts form along trough the next few days in my humple opinion.
Hmmm
Last edited by srainhoutx on Mon Jun 23, 2008 3:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- HouTXmetro
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
Absolutely nothing to look at the GOM, the atmospheric conditions is not such for any tropical development to occur at this time. The weekend and early next week might be different story as a tropical wave enters the southern GOM & BOC.
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
NDG wrote:Absolutely nothing to look at the GOM, the atmospheric conditions is not such for any tropical development to occur at this time. The weekend and early next week might be different story as a tropical wave enters the southern GOM & BOC.
I'm honestly scratching my head trying to figure out what people are seeing or trying to insinuate...
It's one thing to speculate on the future wave that some of the AFD's have mentioned, but there is nothing at the present to make mention of.
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
Stratosphere747 wrote:NDG wrote:Absolutely nothing to look at the GOM, the atmospheric conditions is not such for any tropical development to occur at this time. The weekend and early next week might be different story as a tropical wave enters the southern GOM & BOC.
I'm honestly scratching my head trying to figure out what people are seeing or trying to insinuate...
It's one thing to speculate on the future wave that some of the AFD's have mentioned, but there is nothing at the present to make mention of.
You and me both,

From the surface to the upper levels, just nothing, nada, people please leave the GOM alone. Surface pressures are so high is not even funny.
For the short term look at the EPAC area, that's where tropical development has the best chances.
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Re: Potential in the GOM?
Stratosphere747 wrote:NDG wrote:Absolutely nothing to look at the GOM, the atmospheric conditions is not such for any tropical development to occur at this time. The weekend and early next week might be different story as a tropical wave enters the southern GOM & BOC.
I'm honestly scratching my head trying to figure out what people are seeing or trying to insinuate...
It's one thing to speculate on the future wave that some of the AFD's have mentioned, but there is nothing at the present to make mention of.
People are bored we haven't had six invests and three storms less than four weeks into the season. It is that time of year, nothing on TV but baseball, severe weather season is winding down (but isn't over!) and Atlantic season hasn't cranked up yet.
I liked baseball as a kid, back when the same core six or seven players would be on the same team for five years or more, and the game seemed faster paced. Now I just can't make myself care, and football is two months away.
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