
Disturbance off NE Florida (Now invest 96L)
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- Extremeweatherguy
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re:
As of right now (this is subject to change): The models want to keep this system hovering around the west coast of FL for a day or two before eventually lifting it N/NW toward the FL panhandle.Bertha08 wrote:What would the general direction be, in terms of "landfall"?
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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- Tropical Storm
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
Noticed this myself on regional florida radar shot. Here.... http://66.28.250.180/data/640x480/2xradard5_anim.gif
Spinning away...wheeeeeeeeeee
Spinning away...wheeeeeeeeeee
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re:
The only real inhibiting factor is land. If the low moves over land at any point, then development cannot occur during that time. However, if it stays just offshore or if it can move further offshore, then development seems very possible, IMO.Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:With that lingering, and warm SSTs in the upper 80s, gradual development is
likely. Also shear is not inhibiting.
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
With these lop-sided storms like this one you can't really focus too much on where exactly it makes landfall because the bad weather usually extends pretty far out. And that's if anything even does develop, can't really have a landfall without a actual storm first.
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
Here is some interesting data per latest ASOS observations. Winds at Saint Petersburg/Clearwater International Airport have shifted from the southwest to the east:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KPIE.html
At the same time, Sarasota/Bradenton International Airport's winds have shifted from east to south:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSRQ.html
This could indicate that the surface low is reforming further south (SSW of Pinellas County, FL) in the vicinity of the thunderstorm activity, especially since low level vorticity is greatest in that vicinity.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KPIE.html
At the same time, Sarasota/Bradenton International Airport's winds have shifted from east to south:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSRQ.html
This could indicate that the surface low is reforming further south (SSW of Pinellas County, FL) in the vicinity of the thunderstorm activity, especially since low level vorticity is greatest in that vicinity.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
Would be interesting to get some Pros thoughts on this...
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
MiamiensisWx wrote:Here is some interesting data per latest ASOS observations. Winds at Saint Petersburg/Clearwater International Airport have shifted from the southwest to the east:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KPIE.html
At the same time, Sarasota/Bradenton International Airport's winds have shifted from east to south:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSRQ.html
This could indicate that the surface low is reforming further south (SSW of Pinellas County, FL) in the vicinity of the thunderstorm activity, especially since low level vorticity is greatest in that vicinity.
Possible new location of surface low per pertinent data:

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- Noles2006
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
Exciting!
MiamiensisWx - I can agree with that, with everything that I'm seeing.
MiamiensisWx - I can agree with that, with everything that I'm seeing.
Last edited by Noles2006 on Tue Jul 15, 2008 7:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
MiamiensisWx wrote:MiamiensisWx wrote:Here is some interesting data per latest ASOS observations. Winds at Saint Petersburg/Clearwater International Airport have shifted from the southwest to the east:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KPIE.html
At the same time, Sarasota/Bradenton International Airport's winds have shifted from east to south:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/obhistory/KSRQ.html
This could indicate that the surface low is reforming further south (SSW of Pinellas County, FL) in the vicinity of the thunderstorm activity, especially since low level vorticity is greatest in that vicinity.
Possible new location of surface low per pertinent data:
yeah... i mentioned that earlier... and agree
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- Ivanhater
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
EWG (or anyone else)...any updates from JB on this?
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
I'd have to place my bet for an LLC to form just off Sarasota coast judging by RAD and surface obs.
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
Yeah, Tampa. Said earlier twist to the radar(possible circlation center) SW of Sarasota/Bradenton area. Lets watch the barometric pressure for any significant falls
in the next 6 to 12 hours.
in the next 6 to 12 hours.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re: JB homebrew-Different from MLC Gulf thread.
I wish, but unfortunately the answer is no.Ivanhater wrote:EWG (or anyone else)...any updates from JB on this?
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