Well Defined Wave off African Coast

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HURAKAN
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Re: Re:

#61 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 19, 2008 5:45 pm

RattleMan wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:http://i21.photobucket.com/albums/b300/HURAKAN5/97L.jpg

Getting ahead of the curve are we? :P


Way ahead but it looks like this is the next candidate.
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#62 Postby KWT » Sat Jul 19, 2008 5:55 pm

FWIW the 18z GFS shows a recurve of this system around 65-70W, pretty close to where Bertha went as it happens.
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Mecklenburg

Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#63 Postby Mecklenburg » Sat Jul 19, 2008 5:58 pm

hmmm... Dolly or Edouard?
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#64 Postby KWT » Sat Jul 19, 2008 6:11 pm

Probably Dolly I'd guess, probably anothe rlong tracking recurving hurricane would be my guess, I'd be frankly shocked if it even gets close to the USA, may need to watch just in case for the NE caribbean though.
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#65 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 19, 2008 6:50 pm

1004 mb low!

Image
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#66 Postby KWT » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:00 pm

Wow 1004mbs low, ouch if this keeps this up we may a depression nearly right from the off. Looks to be about 14N on that, very impressive stuff!
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#67 Postby RL3AO » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:01 pm

The pressures over Africa are nomally very low though correct? Therefore the 1004mb is not too low.
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Re:

#68 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:06 pm

RL3AO wrote:The pressures over Africa are nomally very low though correct? Therefore the 1004mb is not too low.


Yes,the so called dry lows in the dessert.But anyway you can rise that by four and is 1008 mbs.
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#69 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:12 pm

Good thing this is going to recurve
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#70 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:29 pm

ENJOY!

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RL3AO
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#71 Postby RL3AO » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:32 pm

canegrl04 wrote:Good thing this is going to recurve


And we know this how? Right now its around 12N.
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#72 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:35 pm

HURAKAN,the google ones are the best of your great collection of pics.You can see upclose the system with all the countries below in Africa.

About the wave,its about to start to get wet.Lets see how all evolves when that occurs.
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#73 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:39 pm

RL3AO wrote:
canegrl04 wrote:Good thing this is going to recurve


And we know this how? Right now its around 12N.


The stronger the wave,the quicker the development and quick develop. favors recurve
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#74 Postby RL3AO » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:42 pm

canegrl04 wrote:
RL3AO wrote:
canegrl04 wrote:Good thing this is going to recurve


And we know this how? Right now its around 12N.


The stronger the wave,the quicker the development and quick develop. favors recurve


"Favors recurve" is much diferent than "will recurve". Maybe this won't develop quick. Maybe it won't develop at all.
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#75 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:44 pm

Well,Georges was a cat 3 when it crossed Puerto Rico,after tracking almost all the way from Africa as a hurricane.There are many,many examples.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#76 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:48 pm

Frances, Ivan, Isabel,

Who wants to bet the nhc upgrades this east of even Bertha was upgraded?
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americanrebel

Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#77 Postby americanrebel » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:08 pm

I say Monday July 21st 11 am it will be named. IMHO
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#78 Postby Blown Away » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:12 pm

americanrebel wrote:I say Monday July 21st 11 am it will be named. IMHO


I like the confidence and the way you think. 8-)
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Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#79 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:13 pm

In this traditional pic from the NHC site,you can only see half of the big wave.The low is in the eastern end of convection.

Image

A wider view:

Image
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Well Organized Wave inside Africa / Models develop it

#80 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:17 pm

Looks a lot like Bertha at this point.
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