ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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Stratosphere747
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3521 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:34 am

20/0545 UTC 16.0N 79.8W T1.5/1.5 94L -- Atlantic Ocean
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#3522 Postby bigGbear » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:40 am

In the last couple of messages, we saw 16.0,79.8
and 16.5,82.2 positions. Why the big difference?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3523 Postby Nederlander » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:52 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-wv.html

Anyone else see that increased circulation on the northwest side of the upper blob in the latest satellite loop? IMO, that looks to be the most impressive ciculation in the system?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3524 Postby lrak » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:53 am

The satellite loop looks like the bottom blob is it, IMO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3525 Postby coreyl » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:54 am

Nederlander wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-wv.html

Anyone else see that increased circulation on the northwest side of the upper blob in the latest satellite loop? IMO, that looks to be the most impressive ciculation in the system?



Are you saying thats where you think the LLC could form?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3526 Postby Nederlander » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:58 am

well im definitely not an expert, I only have one year of meteorology school under my belt, but just from a visible perspective, the upper blob looks more impressive to me to form the LLC?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3527 Postby southerngale » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:58 am

It looks like someone took some lipstick and painted a face on it. :lol:




Image
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#3528 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:58 am

I see clouds that are thousands of feet thick, with no real way to discern what is at the mid levels or surface without some type of observations in the area, preferably several buoys or an aircraft.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3529 Postby coreyl » Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:59 am

Nederlander wrote:well im definitely not an expert, I only have one year of meteorology school under my belt, but just from a visible perspective, the upper blob looks more impressive to me to form the LLC?



I am just wondering what people's thoughts are.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3530 Postby CajunMama » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:02 am

southerngale wrote:It looks like someone took some lipstick and painted a face on it. :lol:




Image


i saw a skull Image Hopefully not a premonition of things to come.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3531 Postby Nederlander » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:02 am

coreyl wrote:
Nederlander wrote:well im definitely not an expert, I only have one year of meteorology school under my belt, but just from a visible perspective, the upper blob looks more impressive to me to form the LLC?



I am just wondering what people's thoughts are.


Yea, me too. I am just seeing a lot of rotation on that northwest side.. not sure if its any indication of a possible center or not though...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3532 Postby lrak » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:06 am

southerngale wrote:It looks like someone took some lipstick and painted a face on it. :lol:




Image



hmm...a little early for Halloween.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3533 Postby lrak » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:09 am

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42057

decreased pressure, increased wind, and still south.

Image

from these coordinates it looks like the top blob is going to be it...good night 8-)
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#3534 Postby GeneratorPower » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:14 am

I suppose only 45 minutes until possible recon flight takes off, if they are flying.
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#3535 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:15 am

Still looking pretty good this morning, no change really from its presentation on IR at least since 9hrs ago with lots of convection along the wave axis and still something interesting looking on the southern side. Should clear Honduras but will still hit land soon enough. How quickly it clears central America is important because it could well get into the BoC/GoM and find pretty favorable conditions.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3536 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:16 am

CajunMama wrote:
southerngale wrote:It looks like someone took some lipstick and painted a face on it. :lol:




Image


i saw a skull Image Hopefully not a premonition of things to come.


Ivan had a skull, so maybe this could be ivans wife?
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#3537 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:21 am

Well it does look pretty decent Matt but not sure I would go that far!
I just wonder what track it will take over the Yucatan, a WNW track would be better for this system rather then a NW across land, would take longer for it to cross. The good thing for this system is it is moving pretty quickly as of now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3538 Postby Duddy » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:24 am

This thing is coming for me. I can feel it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3539 Postby Nederlander » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:28 am

Duddy wrote:This thing is coming for me. I can feel it.


I was pretty concerned also that it would make an upper tx coast hit, but after seeing what everyone has said on here, and seeing how far south it is, it would have to make a serious jog to the north once its in the gulf to make it to houston or port arthur... i guess it depends on the strength of that ridge, and how fast the storm moves over the next couple days....
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Western Caribbean

#3540 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:29 am

Duddy wrote:This thing is coming for me. I can feel it.



Just indigestion.


I am not a doctor, and my medical opinions are not endorsed by Storm2K, nor is my unofficial forecast of Veracruz to Corpus Christi, between a mininal TS and a low end Cat 2, likely a strong TS or minimal Cat 1, most likely target, within band above, near/South of Mexican border.


Please consult your doctor if your feeling that 94L is coming for you continues more than 4 hours, as this could cause a serious medical condition.
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