MOST OF THE GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE
NORTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN GULF...AND SO HAS THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST...WHICH REMAINS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

Steve
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americanrebel wrote:I can tell you this Chevron has decided to evacuate its platform 80 miles south of Galveston, so they must know something we don't, because if it would be going in around Brownsville they would not be evacuating that platform.
americanrebel wrote:I can tell you this Chevron has decided to evacuate its platform 80 miles south of Galveston, so they must know something we don't, because if it would be going in around Brownsville they would not be evacuating that platform.
Steve wrote:Don't look, read:
MOST OF THE GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE
NORTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN GULF...AND SO HAS THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST...WHICH REMAINS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
Steve
Chacor wrote:americanrebel wrote:I can tell you this Chevron has decided to evacuate its platform 80 miles south of Galveston, so they must know something we don't, because if it would be going in around Brownsville they would not be evacuating that platform.
It could simply be a precautionary move, since the southern half of the Texas coast is in the cone.
LAwxrgal wrote:Question: Since Dolly is bookin' it W-WNW underneath that strong ridge, wouldn't that give her less time to organize and be stronger at final landfall?
At 1000am A hurricane Watch is issued for the TX coast from Port O Connor to Brownsville. This includes Calhoun County southward
A Tropical Storm Watch is issued from San Luis Pass to Port O Connor. This includes Jackson, Matagorda, and Brazoria counties.
Significant impact changes are going to be needed based on revising forecast track. Guidance tracks have shifted northward this morning and now show direct impact as far northward at Matagorda Bay.
Current NHC intensity forecast is now a strong cat 1...need to plan for a cat 2.
Question: Since Dolly is bookin' it W-WNW underneath that strong ridge, wouldn't that give her less time to organize and be stronger at final landfall?
gatorcane wrote:LAwxrgal wrote:Question: Since Dolly is bookin' it W-WNW underneath that strong ridge, wouldn't that give her less time to organize and be stronger at final landfall?
Dolly will slow down as the weakness is created to the North of it allowing her to strengthen.
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