ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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HurricaneHunter914
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#7761 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:26 am

Image
Her eye has clouded over. Still, she is very strong and her eye will most likely pop out again.
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HarlequinBoy
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#7762 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:28 am

I think eastern Cameron should be taking a beating now.
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stevetampa33614

Re:

#7763 Postby stevetampa33614 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:28 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Image
Her eye has clouded over. Still, she is very strong and her eye will most likely pop out again.


More likely a replacement cycle.
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stevetampa33614

Re: Re:

#7764 Postby stevetampa33614 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:29 am

Chacor wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

Impressive and compact.


Looks like the western eyewall is finally on the coast.



It is not

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7765 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:29 am

On radar, looks like it has only slightly more of a Westward movement than the SSE to NNW orientation of Padre Island. It is closing in on land, but it'll take a few hours, IMHO.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7766 Postby Brent » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:30 am

Very impressive satellite presentation. I'm a little surprised at how much the pressure has dropped in the past 12 hours. Looks like it's finally creeping ashore.
Last edited by Brent on Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#7767 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:30 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Her eye has clouded over. Still, she is very strong and her eye will most likely pop out again.

Doubt it. It's run out of room and time to strengthen... all downhill from here.
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#7768 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:30 am

In the radar it looks to be moving NW-ward, which will keep the eye over the water for a longer period of time.
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Re: Re:

#7769 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:30 am

stevetampa33614 wrote:
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Image
Her eye has clouded over. Still, she is very strong and her eye will most likely pop out again.


More likely a replacement cycle.

I don't think it is. Usually you would see an outer eyewall forming and the inner eyewall slowly diminishing. What I see, is an eye that got slightly clouded over.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7770 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:31 am

Yeah wxmann_91, guess from the way I worded that, it was simply restating the obvious.

What I meant was that Beulah had a mean wind impact that caused damage, but then also horrible flooding in the RGV.

I think - unofficially of course - that given the pressure and continued excellent sat presentation that Dolly is probably closer to major hurricane status than the reports have shown thus far.

So I think there will be significant wind damage at SPI, Arroyo City, Port Isabel, and maybe as far north as Port Mansfield.

And I'm very, very worried about extreme rainfall and devastating inland flooding in the RGV.

Bad, bad deal for S. Texas.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re:

#7771 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:31 am

HarlequinBoy wrote:I think eastern Cameron should be taking a beating now.



Gusting to 67 mph 40 minutes ago at Port Isabel.
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#7772 Postby Janie2006 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:31 am

Given the slow forward motion I'd say a few hours is an accurate assesment.
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#7773 Postby jasons2k » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:31 am

Image
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7774 Postby Sanibel » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:32 am

Port Mansfield if this doesn't get some west wobble soon.
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#7775 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:34 am

It's really funny how these things do little 'dances' to avoid land interaction. Looks (to me, IMHO, not a seasoned wobble watcher) like she will just miss Brownsville/SPI to the northeast. She will probably need to go due west to go in at SPI.
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7776 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:35 am

Is it me or dose dolly looks to wobble northward in the last 1-2 frames???
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#7777 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:35 am

so she continues to drift NNW...I don't think its a wobble but she *should* bend WNW shortly....keep waiting for the turn...waiting...waiting..waiting...
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Re: ATL: H Dolly in Western Gulf of Mexico

#7778 Postby Sanibel » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:36 am

Obvious north of northwest bump. Only question is will it correct more west?
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#7779 Postby Scorpion » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:36 am

The pressure is still dropping..
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#7780 Postby artist » Wed Jul 23, 2008 10:37 am

she could wobble back. You need to watch her for a number of frames to be able to get an accurate picture of whether she is trending more north or not.
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