ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[Sanibel]

The shortwave makes it look like the center is further south than the Lake Charles radar shows. The satellite burped in between frames so the continuous track isn't clear. But the surface spiral is probably south of where Lake Charles radar puts it.

[ROCK]

Wow, that was not what I was expecting to see as I checked this thread for updates.

Seriously, how lame is it to spam some forum about tropical systems of all things?

your act is getting old faster.....he was a first time poster and asked a question.

[Swimdude]

I don't think I can stress enough how accurate the NHC has been as far as tracks of storms in the past few years. Intensity forecasts have been hellacious, of course, but the NHC has had this storm making landfall over Galveston Bay since the first advisory issued. This hasn't changed. The storm and the forecast track have jogged North and South (never by too much), and this is likely just occurring again.

In an hour, I predict, everyone will once again come to grips with the fact that this will be a Houston storm, not a Louisiana storm.

Then again, that's just my opinion as well. Take it from the NHC, not from me.

[Stormcenter]

It's funny looking at this satellite loop it's almost like Eddie has already made up it's mind as to where it's going
and it's only a matter of time.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

[Stormcenter]

I don't think I can stress enough how accurate the NHC has been as far as tracks of storms in the past few years. Intensity forecasts have been hellacious, of course, but the NHC has had this storm making landfall over Galveston Bay since the first advisory issued. This hasn't changed. The storm and the forecast track have jogged North and South (never by too much), and this is likely just occurring again.

In an hour, I predict, everyone will once again come to grips with the fact that this will be a Houston storm, not a Louisiana storm.

Then again, that's just my opinion as well. Take it from the NHC, not from me.

I think most of us won't and if it were coming from me I would say the same thing
so don't take it personal.

[Swimdude]

I don't think I can stress enough how accurate the NHC has been as far as tracks of storms in the past few years. Intensity forecasts have been hellacious, of course, but the NHC has had this storm making landfall over Galveston Bay since the first advisory issued. This hasn't changed. The storm and the forecast track have jogged North and South (never by too much), and this is likely just occurring again.

In an hour, I predict, everyone will once again come to grips with the fact that this will be a Houston storm, not a Louisiana storm.

Then again, that's just my opinion as well. Take it from the NHC, not from me.

I think most of us won't and if it were coming from me I would say the same thing
so don't take it personal.

No offense taken!

[Galvestongirl]

good night.........thanks for all the help, it is much appreciated.

[HURAKAN]

RECON has just left base. Interesting night ahead.

[fasterdisaster]

The latest satellite frame looks a LOT better. I honestly think the signature looks like that of a 70 mph storm but that could be a temporary convection burp. Anyways yes it will be interesting to see what recon finds.

[vaffie]

Recon is lifting off! Great timing. Big convective blowup over the center in the past hour.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

[txag2005]

So it looks like a direct Houston hit is out? I remember Humberto last year did something similar and the storm ended up hitting High Island with nothing happening to Housotn.

[kurtpage]

RECON has just left base. Interesting night ahead.

It sure did!!! Are you going to handle the images in the recon thread?

[Extremeweatherguy]

So it looks like a direct Houston hit is out? I remember Humberto last year did something similar and the storm ended up hitting High Island with nothing happening to Housotn.

Houston is in the cone. It cannot be counted out just yet.

[mf_dolphin]

Well the troll is now banned. The spammer was actually SteveTampa33614 under a second account. I had suspended his primary account and he came back and spammed under a second account. Now he's banned.....

Not real smart to do that kind of thing from your own IP address.

[fasterdisaster]

What level is this flight going in at? The same as before? So an 80% reduction if that's the case?

[Swimdude]

So it looks like a direct Houston hit is out? I remember Humberto last year did something similar and the storm ended up hitting High Island with nothing happening to Housotn.

Houston is in the cone. It cannot be counted out just yet.

Houston is in the exact center of the cone.

[HouTXmetro]

So it looks like a direct Houston hit is out? I remember Humberto last year did something similar and the storm ended up hitting High Island with nothing happening to Housotn.

Humberto was heading NE, Ed is heading WNW so Houston will feel Ed.

[fasterdisaster]

Well the troll is now banned. The spammer was actually SteveTampa33614 under a second account. I had suspended his primary account and he came back and spammed under a second account. Now he's banned.....

Not real smart to do that kind of thing from your own IP address.

That's pretty funny

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I believe it is starting to tighten up as it moves close to the coast. It could start developing a eyewall if the upper levels are favorable enough...It is now or never during the next 12 hours.

[crazycajuncane]

I am personally loving this weather. We are getting a great breeze right now. Gusts to around 20 - 25. This may be the most comfortable night this summer. It's usually 80+ right now and feeling like 90+.

Sitting outside with the labtop on the 3rd floor. Made the fire from the bbq earlier swirl around quite a bit.