Model Efficiency?

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micktooth
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Model Efficiency?

#1 Postby micktooth » Tue Aug 05, 2008 2:36 pm

Is it me, or do the models seem to be getting better at predicting storms before they even spin up? Bertha and Edouard for example. Are there new parameters fed into the models? Or are they just "lucky" in their hits vs misses? Any thoughts?
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terstorm1012
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Re: Model Efficiency?

#2 Postby terstorm1012 » Tue Aug 05, 2008 2:48 pm

I would say that the more we learn about the atmosphere and the more that is inputted into the models, the better they'll become.
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DanKellFla
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#3 Postby DanKellFla » Tue Aug 05, 2008 7:28 pm

Every year there is more historical data to input to the model.
Think about how much more powerful your computer has gotten over the past 5 years. A screaming machine in 2001 is a paperweight today. As the computational power increases the accuracy of the models will increase as well.
Satellite data is vastly improved over a few years ago. I am not sure, but there is at least one new sattelite up there inputing better and more data.
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Honeyko

Re: Model Efficiency?

#4 Postby Honeyko » Wed Aug 06, 2008 3:05 am

They all performed badly with 99L.
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Mecklenburg

Re: Model Efficiency?

#5 Postby Mecklenburg » Thu Aug 07, 2008 7:57 pm

Honeyko wrote:They all performed badly with 99L.


coz 99L is not cyclone-worthy... why are you still betting on this skimpy lump of cloud? :eek:
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Honeyko

#6 Postby Honeyko » Thu Aug 07, 2008 9:53 pm

They performed badly with 99L while it was invested.

In general, they perform badly with all sheared, WNW-moving systems in the central Atlantic. Invest to Hurr.
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