Recurve wrote:MiamiensisWx wrote:GreenSky wrote:Nonetheless, isn't it encouraging that some of the models are finally showing a weakening ridge? Before they all (including GFDL) were indicating the lasting presence of what some would call a "monster ridge"....now they might be seeing differently as wxman57 pointed out...weaker steering currents might mean a Carolina landfall or even better a fish!
Huh?
You should expediently review the wise sayings posted by jlauderdal...
By the way, I don't believe "amateur meteorologists" technically exist.
Don't know about assigned reading...but GreenSky you make a valid point. The northern curve has been evident for a day or longer now, first it was just a bend at the end, now we see it more evident. Timing will be everything, but from where it is now, only a deep high is going to track it almost straight west into or across FL, and some weakness will let it escape, which is good news for me, possibly bad for the Carolinas.
[fixed typo]
I am not sure it would take a Deep High. There are some indications that 92L could turn NW then hit a weakness in steering and just kind of hang out in the SE with a High building in. That would not be good for potentially anyone in the SE to Mid-Atlantic.
Of course we do not yet have an official system yet.