ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

Honeyko · #2181 Postby **Honeyko** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:04 am

If sat is just coming out, they may wait for the first pic.

#2182 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:06 am

Honeyko · #2183 Postby **Honeyko** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:08 am

0545Z imagery is now available:
http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastnheir.html

==//==

Oh yes: There's a center underneath that cold "white" top alright; I can see a feeder band of cu just sprouting and leading into it.

KWT · #2184 Postby **KWT** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:10 am

Well no surprise they've put it back to code red given the way it looks presently, much better then it has done recently and the sort of presentation it has will allow for some sort of development to maybe occur.

Aric Dunn · #2185 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:14 am

KWT · #2186 Postby **KWT** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:16 am

It does look very good right now, its this sort of convective set-up that will allow something to get down to the surface if it can just hold for a little while.

bahamaswx · #2187 Postby **bahamaswx** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:19 am

Huge convective burst on the 0545Z image. 92L is cookin' with gas now.

I could sure use the rain here!

Aric Dunn · #2188 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:19 am

go here and toggle the last two images... that is a very large burst with more to its north.. it would be very strange for a center not to try and take shape near that area..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

KWT · #2189 Postby **KWT** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:22 am

Yep that convective burst is pretty decent in size as well as strength, I'd have thought if it can hold for another 6-12hrs some low level ccirculation could form there.

Aric Dunn · #2190 Postby **Aric Dunn** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:25 am

Aric Dunn wrote:nice burst its pretty large burst ...
thats what 2hours has done to it...

#2191 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:26 am

Lets see if it can maintain this convection so an LLC can try to develop.

#2192 Postby **Fego** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:29 am

Keep going...

Honeyko · #2193 Postby **Honeyko** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:29 am

caribepr · #2194 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:31 am

Fego wrote:Keep going...

Exacto

#2195 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:32 am

Fego wrote:Keep going...

Yikes. A couple -80C px. Its safe to say its broken any cap that was there.

KWT · #2196 Postby **KWT** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:33 am

I agree Honeyko thats probably where the greatest chances of a LLC forming within the center still we shall have to see!

Chris_in_Tampa · #2197 Postby **Chris_in_Tampa** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:37 am

Best track at 2AM EDT:
30 knots
1007mb
17.5N 59.0W

Still a disturbance.

bahamaswx · #2198 Postby **bahamaswx** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:38 am

It's pretty clear that she's finally pulling everything together. I'd be very surprised if we didn't have a TC within the next 12-24hrs.

blp · #2199 Postby **blp** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:39 am

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:Best track at 2AM EDT:
30 knots
1007mb
17.5N 59.0W

Still a disturbance.

Right under that fireball....

#2200 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Aug 14, 2008 1:39 am

At this rate we could very well have a depression by Friday morning or afternoon.

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