
ATL: Tropical Depression Fay
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- Extremeweatherguy
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- Wthrman13
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Re: Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:Air Force Met wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:it was me ......
I was saying it as well...
yep... and i mentioned that few pages back
Well, I've got you all beat. I was *thinking* it long before you guys were!

Edit: That was a joke btw...
Last edited by Wthrman13 on Thu Aug 14, 2008 7:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:
Wthrman13 wrote:Air Force Met wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:it was me ......
I was saying it as well...
yep... and i mentioned that few pages back
Well, I've got you all beat. I was *thinking* it long before you guys were!

Edit: That was a joke btw...[/quote]


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- BensonTCwatcher
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Western Atlantic
Last edited by BensonTCwatcher on Thu Aug 14, 2008 7:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re:
Wind reports do seem to support your thinking.RL3AO wrote:In my amateur opinion, I think there is a closed circulation just north of St. Croix.
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Re:
RL3AO wrote:
ok i was getting a little confused...that graphic shows the LLC would be estimated to be still west of the big blob (sort of the little minnie me appendage to the west of it) ...while the bigger blob is still West of the old MLC right.
Last edited by cpdaman on Thu Aug 14, 2008 7:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Western Atlantic
Well If this girl goes through or S of PR you can throw the models thus far out it seems and go with the ones with the more S guidance but then in 48hrs there may be nothing to look at?
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- wxman57
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Re: Re:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:Wind reports do seem to support your thinking.RL3AO wrote:In my amateur opinion, I think there is a closed circulation just north of St. Croix.
St. Croix is reporting 1012mb. BVI at 1011.6mb now. LOwer pressures are east of there. In any case, winds all across the northeast Caribbean are in the 5-10 kt range. Actually, I haven't seen a 10kt report recently. Must be a pretty strong storm at 5000 ft.

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Re: Re:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:Wind reports do seem to support your thinking.RL3AO wrote:In my amateur opinion, I think there is a closed circulation just north of St. Croix.
watch the very intense cell on radar ...as everything will converge to that general are which is where the llc was/ is
as you watch it tonight you will notice bands that will start rotating into that one big cell and then things will expand from that general area.. and of course the one big cell is not always going to be there, it will weaken and shift and rotate around as well ..
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re:
RL3AO wrote:In my amateur opinion, I think there is a closed circulation just north of St. Croix.
IMHO it appears that 92L may be running out of time to get its act together before it plows into the first of the big islands. It better pull up soon or all the work that it has done to try and establish itself will be for nothing. As for me, I'm fine with that...92L can fall apart and go elsewhere. That being said, my prayers are with all of the peope in the Greater Antilles...As we all know even minor systems can cause major problems in that part of the world.
SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Western Atlantic

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=ltbv3
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=chav3
Last edited by tolakram on Thu Aug 14, 2008 7:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:
SouthFLTropics wrote:RL3AO wrote:In my amateur opinion, I think there is a closed circulation just north of St. Croix.
IMHO it appears that 92L may be running out of time to get its act together before it plows into the first of the big islands. It better pull up soon or all the work that it has done to try and establish itself will be for nothing. As for me, I'm fine with that...92L can fall apart and go elsewhere. That being said, my prayers are with all of the peope in the Greater Antilles...As we all know even minor systems can cause major problems in that part of the world.
SouthFLTropics
yes it appears to me (barring a relocation of the center to the NE by a hundred or so miles) that the LLC (assuming a decent one develops) will be headed for a course thru both of the first two BIG islands, which bodes bad for flooding,and hopefully (the flooding will be minimal) and that could keep development in check
Last edited by cpdaman on Thu Aug 14, 2008 7:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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