Hyperstorm wrote:Yes, Hurricane Noel in 2001, but it was an extratropical cyclone WITH a LLC that already had strong winds before it acquired a warm core.
You simply cannot expect a tropical wave to go from TW to Hurricane because they simply don't strengthen much without a low level circulation. If you don't have a LLC, the system WILL NOT strengthen. Why call it a tropical cyclone right now (with no LLC) and have it weaken to just an area of high clouds 6 hours later? Doesn't make sense.
This system is definitely NOT the most impressive tropical wave I've seen. This is just a strong tropical wave at this point and there's been many in the past.
The mountains of Hispaniola await...
technically, its a wave until the NHC says otherwise... technically. Like i said if they make the call at 11am its a TS then at 10:59 it was still a wave.
It sounds like a judgement call, could they be wrong ? i see a broad llc, at what point is it narrow enough to not be broad, etc... it has all the charateristics, but one person at the controls that will say, yeah or nay.