Here is my morning update on 92L...

92L is very close to tropical depression status this morning. Winds are high enough east of the center, and surface wind directions indicate that the LLC may be closed or close to being closed. Regardless of whether or not the NHC decides to upgrade this at 11am though, the effects in Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic and Haiti should be the same. Heavy rains with periods of breezy winds, which could possibly result in deadly mudslides.
The biggest change with this system since last night is the fact that 92L will probably now pass over the Dominican Republic and Haiti more than expected yesterday. This increased land interaction could result in a hampered strengthening trend, especially in the short-term. I do not think this interaction should kill 92L though, and once it gets back into a good environment in 24-48 hours, I believe steady strengthening should commence. 92L could still reach hurricane strength in 3 days.
Due to the slightly further west track this morning, I have in turn decided to adjust my final track westward as well. This new track now brings the storm into southern Florida on Monday morning and then moves it up the east side of the state SLOWLY through Wednesday. Weakening should take place between hour 72 and 120 as the storm remains over the state of Florida and slowly winds down. Heavy rains will become the main threat beyond 96 hours.
INTENSITY FORECAST:
INITIAL: 30KT (35mph)
24 HR: 30KT (35mph)
48 HR: 45KT (52mph)
72 HR: 65KT (75mph)
LANDFALL: 70KT (81mph)
96 HR: 45KT (52mph)
120 HR: 30KT (35mph)
**Intensity is held at 30 knots through hour 24 whether or not this is officially upgraded by the NHC. Even if this is not an official TD, I still expect to see some gusts as high as 35mph being reported in association with this system, with sustained winds possibly reaching that level atop some of the Dominican Republic's mountains and the open seas to the NE of the center.**----------------------------------------------------------------2:23pm update = Based on the fact that Recon has found 45KT surface winds, I have decided to update my intensity forecast...
INITIAL: 45KT (52mph)
24 HR: 40KT (46mph)
48 HR: 45KT (52mph)
72 HR: 65KT (75mph)
LANDFALL: 70KT (81mph)
96 HR: 45KT (52mph)
120 HR: 30KT (35mph)