Derek Ortt wrote:through the next 36 hours, the chances of development are fairly small (If I were writing the NHC outlook, I'd drop it from red to yellow for the time being). Will not get development over Hispaniola.
However, I fully expect development to begin on Sunday afternoon, IF THIS DOES NOT HIT CUBA. I am also not convinced that this misses Cuba any longer
This may increase the threat to the Gulf of Mexico, however
One thing, if this also goes over Cuba, there probably won't be a hurricane out of this, unless it has more time over water and heads to the Carolinas, otherwise, if it hits cuba and heads to Florida or the Gulf, shouldn't be more than a tropical storm, if that...There just won't be enough time...