Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
Just like we've seen, models shifting back east at night. NHC will probably nudge their track back to where it was earlier this morning.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
Jason_B wrote:Just like we've seen, models shifting back east at night. NHC will probably nudge their track back to where it was earlier this morning.
maybe or just widen the thing
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
caneman wrote:Link to GFDL please
Got it off the ACCUWX pro Site...Should be public any sec..
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
18z GFDL
WHXX04 KWBC 172330
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL STORM FAY 06L
INITIAL TIME 18Z AUG 17
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 20.7 80.0 290./14.9
6 20.9 80.7 281./ 7.1
12 21.7 81.2 329./ 9.1
18 22.9 81.9 331./14.3
24 23.5 82.3 327./ 7.2
30 24.3 82.2 12./ 7.3
36 25.2 82.2 358./ 9.8
42 26.2 82.3 354./10.0
48 27.2 82.1 11./10.1
54 28.0 81.9 13./ 8.0
60 29.1 81.7 15./10.6
66 30.3 81.4 10./12.0
72 31.1 81.5 357./ 8.6
78 31.9 81.4 9./ 8.1
84 32.9 81.7 340./10.2
90 33.9 82.2 334./11.1
96 35.0 82.7 336./11.7
102 36.8 83.2 344./18.3
108 38.3 83.4 354./15.0
114 39.9 82.9 14./16.4
120 41.7 82.7 7./17.9
126 43.1 82.2 19./14.6
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
WHXX04 KWBC 172330
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL STORM FAY 06L
INITIAL TIME 18Z AUG 17
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 20.7 80.0 290./14.9
6 20.9 80.7 281./ 7.1
12 21.7 81.2 329./ 9.1
18 22.9 81.9 331./14.3
24 23.5 82.3 327./ 7.2
30 24.3 82.2 12./ 7.3
36 25.2 82.2 358./ 9.8
42 26.2 82.3 354./10.0
48 27.2 82.1 11./10.1
54 28.0 81.9 13./ 8.0
60 29.1 81.7 15./10.6
66 30.3 81.4 10./12.0
72 31.1 81.5 357./ 8.6
78 31.9 81.4 9./ 8.1
84 32.9 81.7 340./10.2
90 33.9 82.2 334./11.1
96 35.0 82.7 336./11.7
102 36.8 83.2 344./18.3
108 38.3 83.4 354./15.0
114 39.9 82.9 14./16.4
120 41.7 82.7 7./17.9
126 43.1 82.2 19./14.6
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
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- SouthFloridawx
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Re:
KWT wrote:The GFDL is so predictable, it'll go east in the early hour runs like 18z/0z then go back west at the 12z run, its really odd!
yep, and the 0z and 6z will be even more east. Then it will shift back west for the 12z.
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If any of you have google earth, this will overlay all of the latest models in it.
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/plots/g ... _Basin.kmz
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/plots/g ... _Basin.kmz
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
Only 3 counties in the whole state are taken out of the cone: P Beach, Martin, or ST. Lucie. We must be living right... 

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- MGC
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
That trough over the NGOM is going to have to lift out for Fay to reach much above Tampa IMO. NOGAPS ain't goona happen....MGC
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Re:
mathwhizz wrote:If any of you have google earth, this will overlay all of the latest models in it.
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/plots/g ... _Basin.kmz
holy crap!!! this is awesome, luckily I have to zoom out just a bit to see the closest model to hitting Apopka...does this automatically refresh?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
Bingo, not sure why others are having a hard timing realizing that.MGC wrote:That trough over the NGOM is going to have to lift out for Fay to reach much above Tampa IMO. NOGAPS ain't goona happen....MGC
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Model Runs
sunnyday wrote:Only 3 counties in the whole state are taken out of the cone: P Beach, Martin, or ST. Lucie. We must be living right...

Nah, we just paid our dues in September of 2004...We're paid up for a while.

SFT
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- SouthFLTropics
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Re:
Steve wrote:Thank mathwhizz. I'd been meaning to download Google Earth for a long time, and that overlay was mandatory. When you add in the satellite and radar overlays, it's like you've got better access than television. JMO
Steve
Google Earth rocks!!!

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