ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[KWT]

Will be very interesting to watch txwatcher91.

Does anyone think with the upper trough still nearby this could get some Baroclinc aid when its over Florida as it gets further north?

[HURAKAN]

Fay is the best thing that could have happened to Florida. Everyone will get some needed rain, probably except the western panhandle.

[RL3AO]

URNT12 KNHC 190008
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062008
A. 18/23:36:00Z
B. 24 deg 57 min N
081 deg 51 min W
C. 850 mb 1405 m
D. NA kt
E. 312 deg 31 nm
F. 052 deg 037 kt
G. 312 deg 031 nm
H. EXTRAP 998 mb
I. 17 C/ 1524 m
J. 19 C/ 1525 m
K. 14 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134/8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 2006A FAY OB 04
MAX FL WIND 37 KT NW QUAD 23:26:30 Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 53 KT SE QUAD 2353Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB

[KWT]

If you were to extrap a northerly motion out of that then we are looking at it heading just west of Naples, of course i;m very aware that there could be an easterly jog as it gets close to making landfall, we've seen it so many times now...

[tolakram]

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES...170 KM...SOUTH OF NAPLES FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY.


This is NOT a forecast and this plot may not be accurate.

[DESTRUCTION5]

If you were to extrap a northerly motion out of that then we are looking at it heading just west of Naples, of course i;m very aware that there could be an easterly jog as it gets close to making landfall, we've seen it so many times now...

Everglades City looks probable to me...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

[tolakram]

Winds on the increase in Key West

[cpdaman]

If you were to extrap a northerly motion out of that then we are looking at it heading just west of Naples, of course i;m very aware that there could be an easterly jog as it gets close to making landfall, we've seen it so many times now...

Everglades City looks probable to me...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

yes indeed that main meso cyclone is doing it's WSW heading now and will complete a small loop in the next hour or so, as the mass goes IMO N about 5 degees, this puts landfall just west of everglades city in my best guess

but really as derek showed earlier the highest winds are displaced to the NE

i mean they were laughing on TWC when they went to jim cantore in Naples and the storms winds haven't even reached him yet, in fact it seemed CALM, while the storm remained less than a hundred miles away.

[93superstorm]

Looks like a ragged eye is starting to show up on the radar now

[KWT]

for now this look like its heading pretty close to the Naples region. As expected the track has been pretty erratic at times with regards to the center location.

[CronkPSU]

Winds on the increase in Key West

to quote Austin Powers


"Whoop-dee-doo, what does it all mean, Basil?"

[Extremeweatherguy]

If the current motion of 9mph remains, then we are probably just 8 to 10 hours away from landfall, and the storm should be crossing the coastline just before sunrise.

[cpdaman]

Winds on the increase in Key West

watch the winds increase and the pressure go down a bit one last time as the meso cyclone sweeps down and then east just to the north of key west in the next 90 minutes IMO

[storms in NC]

I called my daughter in Ft Myers and she said the people are nuts. She said work closed so they could go home and get done what they needed to do. My daughter was asked if she was scared? She told them no she was from NC she been though quite a few. Even told them about Flood and the lost of our home.
I taught My kids good. They know how to enjoy the storm but also know what to do and not to do. My kids like going out in the wind. or they would sit on the porch and count how many trees they hear going down. Wood behind the house.
She said she couldn't get over how people act around there when a Hurricane comes. My daughter has her own home since she was 19. So she know about fixing the home too. The last one Wilma bent her metal door. and had to replace the carpet. Little things. One thing she really got mad was the Ins people went sky high. She told them where to go and got new.
I know she will be safe. I hope others will the safe.But I am a Mother I will worry.

[HURAKAN]

[KWT]

If you were to extrap a northerly motion out of that then we are looking at it heading just west of Naples, of course i;m very aware that there could be an easterly jog as it gets close to making landfall, we've seen it so many times now...

Everglades City looks probable to me...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

If it decides to track a little more to the NNE/NE then it may end up close but right now given the motion being northerly I think Naples looks best.

[CronkPSU]

hmmm is it trying to wrap up tighter or just not organizing

[KWT]

Center is just on the SE side of that deep convection at the moment it seems.

[caneman]

I think it is going to stair step its way right up to Ft. Myers. it's been doing it all along why should it stop now. The trend is your friend.

[Evil Jeremy]

I am going to pull another all nighter. Lets see if we get another night time surprise tonight.