NEXRAD wrote:Good evening, all. I arrived safely in East Central Florida this afternoon. So far here my 10-meter weather station has been recording steady 15 to 25 mph sustained winds with frequent 30 to 40 mph gusts (40 max so far).
From radar and satellite imagery, Fay's center is very near the Florida East Coast, southwest of Palm Bay. Recently, deeper convection has begun to fire northeast of the center and around Fay's immediate circulation. I suspect that the storm will strengthen rather quickly once it begins to move over water, perhaps reaching 60-knot intensity by midday Wednesday.
Overnight, I anticipate continued squally conditions across East Central Florida coastal counties. Conditions will improve for areas south of Vero Beach. Onshore moving squalls for Brevard and eventually Volusia counties seem to have plenty of wind-energy aloft, but there's not been much active transport to the surface. If Fay begins to deepen and additional more intense squalls form, then I expect this wind energy to readily reach the surface, producing wind gusts of 45 to 60 mph.
- Jay
(now near KSC, FL)
That must've been quite a trip! Glad you're safe.
The off-coast strengthening does not bode well for the coastal communities already struggling with erosion problems from the last few seasons...