NWS has increased chance of rain to 40% on Sunday and 50% on Sunday night for New Orleans, so, maybe we'll get some moisture before Fay possibly is lifted out of the area. NWS Discussion in New Orleans:
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
352 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2008
.SHORT TERM...
ONE MORE DAY OF RELATIVE DRY CONDITIONS BEFORE DETERIORATING TREND
SETS IN FROM EAST TO WEST LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS
TROPICAL STORM FAY TREKS WESTWARD ALONG I-10 CORRIDOR. IN COORDINATION
WITH KMOB WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR HARRISON AND JACKSON
COUNTIES TO BLEND WITH THEIR INTERIOR COUNTIES. IN TIME...MORE
COUNTIES/PARISHES MAY BE ADDED FARTHER WEST BUT THIS SHOULD BE
AFTER 36 HOURS. THERE HAS BEEN SOME EVIDENCE OF CLOUD EROSION
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY THAT MAY CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW...BUT
AT SOME POINT THE BULK OF CENTRAL MOISTURE AROUND FAY WILL GET
CLOSE ENOUGH TO SATURATE THE COLUMN WITH A WARM RAIN PROCESS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD BECOME QUITE HEALTHY IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND PARTICULARLY INTO SOUTH ALABAMA. IN THE FLOOD
WATCH AREA...AMOUNTS OF 3-4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TO 6 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
.LONG TERM...
MONDAY COULD BE AN IMPROVING TREND IF FAY DOES INDEED GET LIFTED
NORTHEAST AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. WILL INDICATE 40 PERCENT
AREAWIDE AT THIS TIME BUT SOME ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NEEDED IF FAY
SLOWS DOWN OR STALLS...WHICH IS STILL A VIABLE OPTION. THE
REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD IS LEFT NEARLY UNCHANGED AND
REMAINS DEPENDENT ON FUTURE FATE OF FAY.
http://www.srh.weather.gov/lix/cgi-bin/ ... n=0&max=11