#1205 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat Aug 30, 2008 8:52 am
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
A westerly track with a gradual turn to the WNW seems reasonable, given those
latest models. Also, a trough (with a strong cold front over the midwest) will
move into the Southeast US by day 4-5, making a WNW track reasonable.
In terms of intensity, let's hope that shear keeps this system weak.
Though a category 1 is possible IMO in 3-5 days, possibly stronger
if shear turns out to be less. I don't anticipate rapid intensification,
our Good Friend Shear should halt any explosive intensification, though
it is possible that it could occur if somehow the shear were to dramatically
be less than forecasted.
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