ATL IKE: Models Discussion
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
Well, if I am counting on models now, then I better leave. 7+ days out. Most of you guys should know this by now.
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
Sanibel wrote:Clearly GOM.
Clearly slowing in the 72-84 timeframe..
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Sanibel wrote:Clearly GOM.
Clearly slowing in the 72-84 timeframe..
probably feeling the weakness...notice the trough swinging through the Great lakes...
Nailes South Florida:

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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
More north that run @ same time as 6z. South Florida battered (according to GFS).
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Sanibel wrote:Clearly GOM.
Clearly slowing in the 72-84 timeframe..
missing the weakness allowing for the high to build in? Masters said this is a big mid-west high set up shop next week...
nevermind

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_114l.gif
Last edited by ROCK on Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
gatorcane wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Sanibel wrote:Clearly GOM.
Clearly slowing in the 72-84 timeframe..
probably feeling the weakness...notice the trough swinging through the Great lakes...
Nailes South Florida:
the rest of the GFS ensemble is run off the GFS, so I wonder if we will also see the GFS ensemble models trend north this run as well . . .
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- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
LOL im never saying a word again as soon as I think the models will continue to shift south the GFS shifts north and hits S Fla
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I wonder if we're talking another high pressure set-up ala Rita?
That would just be utterly shocking...TYPICALLY in a normal set-up storms like this never get more west then Central LA.
If I recall a pro met around here claimed a high would block the N GOM around that time next week. So i'm just thinking of the possibilities.
That would just be utterly shocking...TYPICALLY in a normal set-up storms like this never get more west then Central LA.
If I recall a pro met around here claimed a high would block the N GOM around that time next week. So i'm just thinking of the possibilities.
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- gatorcane
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
Ivanhater wrote:look at the surface gator..its in the gulf at 114
No Ivanhater, see above.
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Re: ATL IKE: Models Discussion
Ivanhater wrote:look at the surface gator..its in the gulf at 114


which is wide open.....btw
Last edited by ROCK on Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- gboudx
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Re:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:I wonder if we're talking another high pressure set-up ala Rita?
That would just be utterly shocking...TYPICALLY in a normal set-up storms like this never get more west then Central LA.
If I recall a pro met around here claimed a high would block the N GOM around that time next week. So i'm just thinking of the possibilities.
Perhaps you're thinking about jeff's update.
For now will begin to entertain the idea of a large and dangerous hurricane moving through the southern Bahamas late this weekend and toward Cuba or S FL early next week. Potential seems to be increasing for Ike to enter the Gulf of Mexico and will need to closely watch a progressive but fairly strong central US high around the middle of next week for steering thereafter.
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