ATL: IKE Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
gginnola
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 10
Joined: Thu Aug 24, 2006 11:24 pm
Location: Madisonville, La, originally Lakeview(New Orleans)

Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5161 Postby gginnola » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:12 am

alan1961 wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:
El Nino wrote:Houston, we have a problem ! :eek:


Maybe...that's a five day NHC forecast. We all have lots of watching to do this week. I can report that Gov. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana officially declared a State of Emergency this afternoon around 4:00 due to Ike.


yes and that man should be watching his p's and q's this time..remember his words with Gustav?...''people get scared'' and ''storm of the century''..he's a mayor of a big American city and should have responsibility not to scare the c**p out of everybody there..leave that to the media hype..and yes it was witnessed over here in England..sorry for the rant, just couldn't understand anyone with responsibilities like he has.


Actually, you're talking about Ray Nagin who is the mayor of New Orleans. Bobby Jindal is the governor of Louisiana. Jindal has done an excellent job with Gustav.
0 likes   

apocalypt-flyer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 468
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 11:51 am

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5162 Postby apocalypt-flyer » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:13 am

If this rides along the shallow waters of Cuba's Western coast this might not necessarily restrengthen too much but it also won't weaken quite as much, which, in my book, is bad.
0 likes   

User avatar
TampaFl
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1904
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:23 am
Location: Tampa, FL

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5163 Postby TampaFl » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:13 am

This is one impressive ridge of high pressure!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#5164 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:14 am

Florida, Camagüey, Cuba

Image
0 likes   

bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1704
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5165 Postby bob rulz » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:14 am

apocalypt-flyer wrote:If this ride along the sshallow waters of Cuba's Western coast this might not necessarily restrengthen too much but it also won't weaken quite as much, which, in my book, is bad.


That's very bad considering it's still a cat 2 and won't have much more time to weaken assuming he does make it into the Caribbean.
0 likes   

Air Force Met
Military Met
Military Met
Posts: 4372
Age: 56
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 9:30 am
Location: Roan Mountain, TN

Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5166 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:14 am

alan1961 wrote: yes and that man should be watching his p's and q's this time..remember his words with Gustav?...''people get scared'' and ''storm of the century''..he's a mayor of a big American city and should have responsibility not to scare the c**p out of everybody there..leave that to the media hype..and yes it was witnessed over here in England..sorry for the rant, just couldn't understand anyone with responsibilities like he has.


Always helpful if you know which political hack said what...before you slam them.
0 likes   

User avatar
cape_escape
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 745
Age: 56
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 2:39 am
Location: Cape Coral Florida
Contact:

#5167 Postby cape_escape » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:15 am

I posted this question in the Models thread, and tought I'd try my luck here with it as well, not sure which thread would be the right one to post such a question.....sorry

I'm just curiouse, please don't scorn me for asking this, but with Ike going more South through Cuba and poss into the Carib, and there being a NE hook at the end of some of the runs, is it possible he could come into the central Gulf and hook a right into SWFla or perhaps the Tampa area....such as Charley did?

I know I'm prob WAY off in my thinking because so many things go into forecasting something like that, but I guess I have a fear after Charley.

Thank you in advance for any replies!
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5168 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:21 am

TampaFl wrote:This is one impressive ridge of high pressure!

Image


Yes it is...Almost reminds one of the same type of high that was in place last year that drove Dean into Mexico. The question is how long does it stay in place. Now that we are getting into September, I can't imagine that it will last very long due to stronger fronts diving down from the Northwest.

SFT
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#5169 Postby KWT » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:21 am

Still just about holding onto cat-2 status and heading it seems right for the coast, should get a little time in the NW Caribbean which may hlep to stablise its inner core before probably another stint over Cuba eventually. Still every little bit further west it goes the more time it'll get so we shall see...
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#5170 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:25 am

My worry is that it will go back to the Caribbean Sea, re-intensify to a powerful hurricane, and then hit the same area affected by Gustav. That would be extremely catastrophic.
0 likes   

apocalypt-flyer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 468
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 11:51 am

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5171 Postby apocalypt-flyer » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:25 am

To cape_escape:

Can definately see your concern but we really will have to wait and see when Ike's anticipated motion towards the WNW begins and until Ike enters the Gulf it will be hard to say where exactly he'll end up along the Gulf Coast.

But I have quite a bit of faith in the NHC since they did very well with the last Gulf Coast system Gustav and I hope they'll done just as well this time around.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#5172 Postby KWT » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:28 am

The good news is that even if it does get into the Caribbean its still going to be very close to land and so I don't expect there'd be any strengthening, prehaps just some stabilisation of the inner core to some degree, which of course isn't a good thing either becuase that may mean slightly less weakening over the gulf.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145389
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5173 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:29 am

8:15 AM EDT:

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
VeniceInlet
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Sun Jun 11, 2006 10:12 pm
Location: Nokomis, FL

Re:

#5174 Postby VeniceInlet » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:29 am

cape_escape wrote:I posted this question in the Models thread, and tought I'd try my luck here with it as well, not sure which thread would be the right one to post such a question.....sorry

I'm just curiouse, please don't scorn me for asking this, but with Ike going more South through Cuba and poss into the Carib, and there being a NE hook at the end of some of the runs, is it possible he could come into the central Gulf and hook a right into SWFla or perhaps the Tampa area....such as Charley did?

I know I'm prob WAY off in my thinking because so many things go into forecasting something like that, but I guess I have a fear after Charley.

Thank you in advance for any replies!


Don't forget, with Charley, Port Charlotte was in the cone. Right now the W. Coast of FL is not in the 3 or 5 day cone. That doesn't mean that later on in the week things might change but for the short term I would not worry.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#5175 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:29 am

Wasn't this suppose to be moving NW/WNW a long time ago? I'm still waiting on the definate turn but I just don't see. That in addition to the latest steering flow leads me to beleive it will go a little further West.
0 likes   

apocalypt-flyer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 468
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 11:51 am

Re:

#5176 Postby apocalypt-flyer » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:30 am

HURAKAN wrote:My worry is that it will go back to the Caribbean Sea, re-intensify to a powerful hurricane, and then hit the same area affected by Gustav. That would be extremely catastrophic.



The horror scenario would be Ike making it as far west as south of the Isle Of Youth. But I really hope that will not be the case.
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Re:

#5177 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:31 am

KWT wrote:The good news is that even if it does get into the Caribbean its still going to be very close to land and so I don't expect there'd be any strengthening, prehaps just some stabilisation of the inner core to some degree, which of course isn't a good thing either becuase that may mean slightly less weakening over the gulf.


True, but those waters are a bath tub. It depends on how far offshore Ike can get.
0 likes   

User avatar
hial2
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 809
Joined: Fri Oct 10, 2003 9:20 pm
Location: Indian trail N.C.

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5178 Postby hial2 » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:35 am

How strong is the high? could Ike go as far as Nicaragua/Mexico?
0 likes   

User avatar
TampaFl
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1904
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 11:23 am
Location: Tampa, FL

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5179 Postby TampaFl » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:38 am

hial2 wrote:How strong is the high? could Ike go as far as Nicaragua/Mexico?


Very Strong!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
hial2
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 809
Joined: Fri Oct 10, 2003 9:20 pm
Location: Indian trail N.C.

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#5180 Postby hial2 » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:39 am

TampaFl wrote:
hial2 wrote:How strong is the high? could Ike go as far as Nicaragua/Mexico?


Very Strong!

Image



That would be a HISTORIC track!
0 likes   


Return to “2008”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 15 guests