
ATL: IKE Discussion
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- littlevince
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 1 - Discussion
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 29.0N 96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
Landfall predicted between Matagorda and Freeport Saturday late morning.
Also, the advisory says the pressure is 965, so it's down from earlier(VDM at 2:30 said 970).

MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
Landfall predicted between Matagorda and Freeport Saturday late morning.
Also, the advisory says the pressure is 965, so it's down from earlier(VDM at 2:30 said 970).

Last edited by Brent on Mon Sep 08, 2008 3:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- deltadog03
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
MBryant wrote:AJC3 wrote:MBryant wrote:http://C:\Documents and Settings\pvaughn\Desktop\OrangeCountyStormSurgeMap.pdf
If anybody wishes to post this image, please do.
LOL...I would but I don't have access to your hard drive.
That's strange, it's the link I found by googling Orange County Surge Map.
that is strange , when you click on the pdf it tries to download to your computer.
Here is the image of it -
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Re:
dwg71 wrote:Pretty big shift west. Down around Matagorda.
They probably could have even adjusted further south per their
discussion.
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Yep fair shift westwards, hardly surprising given the models thus far that have come out today, also worth noting the NHC give Ike well over 72hrs over the Gulf of Mexico waters, ample time to develop into a beast even if it does have inner core issues...
Going to be a long week waiting for those in Texas...
Going to be a long week waiting for those in Texas...
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URNT12 KNHC 082045
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092008
A. 08/2013Z
B. 21 DEG 21 MIN N
79 DEG 29 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2806 M
D. 62 KT
E. 213 DEG 18 NM
F. 297 DEG 53 KT
G. 214 DEG 23 NM
H. 965 MB
I. 9 C/ 3054 M
J. 13 C/ 3052 M
K. 13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C 10-50
N. 12345/7
O. 0.2/ 7 NM
P. AF309 1209A IKE OB 07
MAX FL WIND 73 KT NE QUAD 2022Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092008
A. 08/2013Z
B. 21 DEG 21 MIN N
79 DEG 29 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2806 M
D. 62 KT
E. 213 DEG 18 NM
F. 297 DEG 53 KT
G. 214 DEG 23 NM
H. 965 MB
I. 9 C/ 3054 M
J. 13 C/ 3052 M
K. 13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C 10-50
N. 12345/7
O. 0.2/ 7 NM
P. AF309 1209A IKE OB 07
MAX FL WIND 73 KT NE QUAD 2022Z
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
ps The water at the bottom is Sabine Lake, not the GOM.
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- Mattie
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 1 - Discussion
From WWL New Orleans -
Ike frustrating FEMA and complicating planning
FEMA is having fits with Ike.
Officials say usually they would have a good fix on the path by this point, but the Hurricane Center is still guessing on Ike.
http://wwl.com/Ike-frustrating-FEMA-and-complicating-planning/2928056
Ike frustrating FEMA and complicating planning
FEMA is having fits with Ike.
Officials say usually they would have a good fix on the path by this point, but the Hurricane Center is still guessing on Ike.
http://wwl.com/Ike-frustrating-FEMA-and-complicating-planning/2928056
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 1 - Discussion
Bump WNW.
Could have implications down-track.
Less over water strengthening now.
Could have implications down-track.
Less over water strengthening now.
Last edited by Sanibel on Mon Sep 08, 2008 4:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- gatorcane
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not even a mention of a threat to the Gulf coast this time...
in the 11AM advisory we saw:
IT
IS STILL MUCH TOO SOON TO KNOW WHAT PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST
COULD BE IMPACTED BY IKE.
But no mention in the 5PM EST..
instead we see:
SINCE
THE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS ALSO SHIFTED SOUTHWARD BUT STILL LIES NORTH OF THE DYNAMICAL
MODEL CONSENSUS.
might they be possibly be thinking a threat to Mexico south of Texas?
Hmmm.....
in the 11AM advisory we saw:
IT
IS STILL MUCH TOO SOON TO KNOW WHAT PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST
COULD BE IMPACTED BY IKE.
But no mention in the 5PM EST..
instead we see:
SINCE
THE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS ALSO SHIFTED SOUTHWARD BUT STILL LIES NORTH OF THE DYNAMICAL
MODEL CONSENSUS.
might they be possibly be thinking a threat to Mexico south of Texas?
Hmmm.....
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Sep 08, 2008 4:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 1 - Discussion
Sanibel wrote:Bump WNW.
Could have implications down-track.
I think the increasing convection is giving the illusion he's moving WNW.
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