ATL: IKE Discussion

[Sabanic]

Movement about 10 miles an hour, WNW to W turn should commence soon. Just at the top end of WNW now, or bottom end of NW.

Better . . . ( Sry guys )

Better for whom and how so?

Thank you kindly for your clarification.

Would prefer a SW dive but that is not going to happen. Bad choice of words, so no need to get upset

[SMNederlandTX]

What does that mean for the path? Same? Or further south, north? Sorry, I don't know anything about this stuff.

Looks like the high over the Texas coast has gotten stronger. Ike is still stuck in the weakness between the Texas high & the one over the Atlantic. Thoughts & comments welcomed.

[mattpetre]

Panic mode is beginning to ensue to some extent. People are at work wondering why they are here rather than home making all the last preparations. We all (everyone on storm2k at least) knew that Ike was going to strengthen to at the very least a high end Cat 2, but the general public only starts to react once that actually comes to fruition. I agree with the mods and long-time posters... let's keep the chatter down! People need to know what the storm is doing in this discussion thread. I'll go to the preps thread for further comments about preps...

Meanwhile... Ike is really getting his act together. Looks like all talk of shear is gone and dry air following close behind.

[ConvergenceZone]

I should have mentioned in my previous post that Ike will generate 10x the amount of headliness AFTER it hits, the Gustav did....Gustav was horrible, but from what mets and people like Jeff Masters are saying about Ike being potentially the worst storm texas has seen in 40 years, it's a bit scary to say the least. I just hope people are preparing. Don't panic, just be prepared.

[dwg71]

as high gets stronger and continues to move east Ike will move more and more towards a more westerly course.

[TampaFl]

What does that mean for the path? Same? Or further south, north? Sorry, I don't know anything about this stuff.

Looks like the high over the Texas coast has gotten stronger. Ike is still stuck in the weakness between the Texas high & the one over the Atlantic. Thoughts & comments welcomed.

It could move to the southwest again if the ridge is strong over Texas or it could continue to drift to the nw as currently forecast. Just MHO.

[deltadog03]

That ridge over TX is fairly stationary.

[HURAKAN]

So far Ike likes the gulf.

[Sabanic]

as high gets stronger and continues to move east Ike will move more and more towards a more westerly course.

Depends. Could actually move him more westerly, or possibly WSW, or he could continue to move more northerly (NW)

[Derek Ortt]

Ike should also continue to grow in size during the coming days.

Therefore, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE FORECAST TRACK. A large part of Texas and Louisiana are going to receive severe impacts from this one

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Ike should also continue to grow in size during the coming days.

Therefore, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE FORECAST TRACK. A large part of Texas and Louisiana are going to receive severe impacts from this one

How big do you think it will get?

[SMNederlandTX]

I don't know if this can be forecasted or not....but does anyone know if there will be a lot of tornadoes with this and if so, how far from the center do you think they will occur? Probably a stupid question...but kinda curious....

[terrapintransit]

The more strength Ike attains the more northerly he will go....

[Stormcenter]

The more strength Ike attains the more northerly he will go....

Huh?

[Lowpressure]

I don't know if this can be forecasted or not....but does anyone know if there will be a lot of tornadoes with this and if so, how far from the center do you think they will occur? Probably a stupid question...but kinda curious....

Depends on several factors. Usually right front quad is more prone to be tornadic, but as we all saw with Gustav, it really depends on the air pattern that he bumps into over land.

[terrapintransit]

The more strength Ike attains the more northerly he will go....

Huh?

I believe I heard Steve Lyons talking about this at one time...

[jasons2k]

People, goodness, please stop with the proclamations of Ike will do ____ unless you either really know what you're talking about or you have the data/model to back it up. WAY too many posts, that again, make no sense.

[attallaman]

All this talk about the ridges, there's no chance of something developing in the upper atmosphere that would cause Ike to make a turn and come towards the C/GOM is there?

[N2Storms]

[quote="Lowpressure"][quote="SMNederlandTX"]I don't know if this can be forecasted or not....but does anyone know if there will be a lot of tornadoes with this and if so, how far from the center do you think they will occur? Probably a stupid question...but kinda curious.... [/quote]
Depends on several factors. Usually right front quad is more prone to be tornadic, but as we all saw with Gustav, it really depends on the air pattern that he bumps into over land.[/quote]



quite frequently, if the storm is ingesting a lot of dry air it will tend to produce more tornadoes

[Lowpressure]

The more strength Ike attains the more northerly he will go....

Huh?

I believe I heard Steve Lyons talking about this at one time...

That was a broad description that usually bigger (stronger) storms get pulled poleward over time as long as there are no other factors, ie ridge. Has little to do with Ike.