ATL: IKE Discussion

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Stormcenter
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#11441 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:32 pm

If you have Direct TV satellite they broadcasting KHOU live on channel 361.
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Jason_B

Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11442 Postby Jason_B » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:32 pm

I'm afraid this storm is going to be another example of it NOT taking a category 3 or 4 to cause widespread devastation. This one reminds me a lot of Ivan, very large and lots of surge coming in.
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Re:

#11443 Postby jaxfladude » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:33 pm

see above :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:
Last edited by jaxfladude on Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#11444 Postby CronkPSU » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:33 pm

so at long last, do we have an eye? this is like the anti-katrina (not that katrina wasn't devastating) but a possible strengthening landfalling cat 3 hurricane and not veering away from a major US city...yikes

Image

Image

Image
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Re:

#11445 Postby Txdivermom » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:34 pm

jacindc wrote:Oh, I think the Galveston city manager's CYA speech is not going to go over well.


She looked about as bad as Nagin and Blanco after Katrina. Nagin and Jindal handled Gustav much better. Smaller 'cane, but they were still more prepared.
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Re: Re:

#11446 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:35 pm

Weatherfreak14 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:
Bad move. That could be a repeat of what happened at Lincoln High School in Hugo in 1989...


Ah yes i have friends who went through that night...


Thank God they all made it through OK! I fear a repeat is in store tonight...
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11447 Postby temujin » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:35 pm

Jijenji wrote:Galveston Causeway will not be closed. People fleeing the storm are advised to cross it at their own risk. If they see water on it they should not cross it.


Is that a back-handed way of saying that you're safer trying to cross the bridge in a hurricane than you are staying on the island? :eek:
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MiamiensisWx

Re:

#11448 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:36 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:2115Z GOES IR imagery:

http://img152.imageshack.us/img152/5792/ikesep12081fy5.jpg

Structure has slightly improved with stronger convection and a defined eye (per radar and satellite data).

Latest satellite imagery suggests a slight jog (between WNW and N of due west) in latest frame...

Every jog is critical for Galveston (in terms of the highest surge values vs. slightly lower values).
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#11449 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:37 pm

Big fire in a ship depot right now, very impressive black smoke as well coming out of there looking at the video.

Won't be long before the TS force winds come in.
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Re:

#11450 Postby terrapintransit » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:37 pm

CronkPSU wrote:so at long last, do we have an eye? this is like the anti-katrina (not that katrina wasn't devastating) but a possible strengthening landfalling cat 3 hurricane and not veering away from a major US city...yikes

Image

Image

Image



OMG....and strengthening @ landfall :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11451 Postby Txdivermom » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:37 pm

RBDnhm wrote:Has rain started in Houston? If not, then I suspect the rise in the Bayou level (Buffalo Bayou) in Houston shown at this site is the result of Ike. This site is way inland of Galveston, near downtown Houston.

http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?08074000



No rain yet on the NW side even as of 4:30.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11452 Postby CronkPSU » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:38 pm

really bad looking loop...looks like that strong convection may wrap around at exactly the wrong time

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/displaySat.php?region=AUS&isingle=mult_big&itype=ir
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#11453 Postby JenBayles » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:38 pm

Do slight jogs actually matter now? That eye looks big enough to engulf the entirety of Galveston Island. A job here and there at this point won't make a dam bit of difference IMO.
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Re:

#11454 Postby CronkPSU » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:39 pm

JenBayles wrote:Do slight jogs actually matter now? That eye looks big enough to engulf the entirety of Galveston Island. A job here and there at this point won't make a dam bit of difference IMO.


matters as far as where the largest surge goes
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#11455 Postby Janie2006 » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:39 pm

I think the big story with Ike inevitably will be the storm surge. I've no doubt that the flooding will cause widespread damage. The wind damage is going to be spread far inland as well, expect widespread loss of power...especially with this incoming rainband.

Unbelievable! TWC showing footage of a child rescued by helicopter from a truck stranded in flood waters. People will never learn. :grr:
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11456 Postby NEXRAD » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:39 pm

Unofficial wind gust to 71 mph recorded at Galveston.

- Jay
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11457 Postby Shoshana » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:40 pm

Jijenji wrote:
temujin wrote:
Jijenji wrote:Galveston Causeway will not be closed. People fleeing the storm are advised to cross it at their own risk. If they see water on it they should not cross it.


Is that a back-handed way of saying that you're safer trying to cross the bridge in a hurricane than you are staying on the island? :eek:


Yeah really. That was from abc13 in Houston...they said there woudn't be any barricades or guards or anything keeping people off the bridge. Proceed at your own risk kinda deal.


That causeway is pretty high up... I'd be worried about being blown off once the winds pick up
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MiamiensisWx

Re:

#11458 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:40 pm

JenBayles wrote:Do slight jogs actually matter now? That eye looks big enough to engulf the entirety of Galveston Island. A job here and there at this point won't make a dam bit of difference IMO.

The surge will be devastating... I was adding some factual information to the thread. The position of the RMW (relative to Galveston) will determine the surge values at that locale to a certain extent. It will be VERY high in any case...
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Re: Re:

#11459 Postby funster » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:40 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
JenBayles wrote:Do slight jogs actually matter now? That eye looks big enough to engulf the entirety of Galveston Island. A job here and there at this point won't make a dam bit of difference IMO.


matters as far as where the largest surge goes


It would have to start going NNW real quickly to help much. So much water is being pushed by Ike as it is that Galveston is going to get a very big surge regardless.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion

#11460 Postby jimguru » Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:43 pm

Now I have seen it all.....

From ABC 13 Houston:

Image

Captioned " Hurricane Car Safety"
Last edited by jimguru on Fri Sep 12, 2008 4:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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