jimguru wrote:Any idea when the eyewall will hit metro Houston?
Don't think it will, the western eyewall will likely miss to the east with the latest N jog.
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jimguru wrote:Any idea when the eyewall will hit metro Houston?
jimguru wrote:Any idea when the eyewall will hit metro Houston?
superfly wrote:jimguru wrote:Any idea when the eyewall will hit metro Houston?
Don't think it will, the western eyewall will likely miss to the east with the latest N jog.
Jason_B wrote:I don't see how 115mph would be out of the question, it's looking better on radar and IR...looks better than Katrina,Rita and Ivan were at landfall.
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The 109 knots would support 113 mph at the surface, in to back that up the 107 knot readings would support 110.7 mph at the surface. I think we have enough to upgrade.
superfly wrote:jimguru wrote:Any idea when the eyewall will hit metro Houston?
Don't think it will, the western eyewall will likely miss to the east with the latest N jog.
fact789 wrote:I dont see why the NHC doesnt call this a cat 3. Its one mile per hour short at the surface. We have cat 5 surge, and Houston will be dealing with cat 3 winds in the elevations. Cat 3 conditions wont be too isolated.
NC George wrote:fact789 wrote:I dont see why the NHC doesnt call this a cat 3. Its one mile per hour short at the surface. We have cat 5 surge, and Houston will be dealing with cat 3 winds in the elevations. Cat 3 conditions wont be too isolated.
We (here at the forum) get this question with every storm. My answer is: they have to draw the line somewhere. Kinda like where I work. We deliver to a certain distance, and we don't deliver any farther. We always get the house just beyond the line asking; you deliver just down the road, why not us? Because we have to draw the line somewhere. There is always that house just beyond the line, no matter where you draw it.
On a personal note, I think it may be better if they don't raise the category of the storm. This will show the damage that a category 2 storm can cause, and maybe next time people won't take a category 2 storm so lightly (dream on, I know.)
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The 109 knots would support 113 mph at the surface, in to back that up the 107 knot readings would support 110.7 mph at the surface. I think we have enough to upgrade.
City Manager Steve LeBlanc went so far as to ask the media not to photograph "certain things" in the aftermath, referring to the possibility of dead bodies.
Officials in Brazoria County said as many as 35 percent of residents in mandatory evacuation zones stayed behind, or about 67,000. That would put about 90,000 Texans in potentially surge-susceptible areas in the two counties.
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