ATL: Tropical Storm Kyle : Discussion

[Ed Mahmoud]

wxman57, hope you got your power back on!

Power just came back on. Two weeks to the hour. Cable and Internet back, too.

Post your address on the world wide internet, and I'll pick up a six pack, some chips and dip, and drive right over. My wife went to sleep already, she won't mind.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Center still looks partially exposed, but convection seems to be building West, and it looks less exposed than just a couple of hours ago. At this rate, the center may be fully covered soon.

[Just Joshing You]

Ya you guys can post on S2K together

[CrazyC83]

I'd go 60 kt right now simply based on its structure - there is no hints of an eye (that I can find) and it isn't the best organized but getting much better.

[caribepr]

wxman57, hope you got your power back on!

Power just came back on. Two weeks to the hour. Cable and Internet back, too.

Glad to hear it! It's always better to be exhausted with electricity than without it

[CrazyC83]

Now up to 60 kt. Forecast only brings it up to 65 kt though but I think that might be very conservative.

[HURAKAN]

60 knots say the NHC.

[Ed Mahmoud]

I'd go 60 kt right now simply based on its structure - there is no hints of an eye (that I can find) and it isn't the best organized but getting much better.

UZNT13 KWBC 270122
XXAA 77028 99294 70686 07998 99002 254// 09551 00018 25200 09553
92702 22000 12064 85437 19822 14049 88999 77999
31313 09608 80213
61616 NOAA2 1311A KYLE OB 19
62626 REL 2941N06859W 021310 SPG 2944N06864W 021624 WL150 09057 0
85 DLM WND 12552 001762 MBL WND 10061 EYEWALL 045=

XXBB 77028 99294 70686 07998 00002 254// 11001 25200 22876 20000
33779 16256 44761 14624
21212 00002 09551 11001 09551 22998 09057 33946 11567 44922 12563
55909 13566 66896 13057 77761 15039
31313 09608 80213
61616 NOAA2 1311A KYLE OB 19
62626 REL 2941N06859W 021310 SPG 2944N06864W 021624 WL150 09057 0
85 DLM WND 12552 001762 MBL WND 10061 EYEWALL 045=

[CrazyC83]

I'd go 60 kt right now simply based on its structure - there is no hints of an eye (that I can find) and it isn't the best organized but getting much better.

UZNT13 KWBC 270122
XXAA 77028 99294 70686 07998 99002 254// 09551 00018 25200 09553
92702 22000 12064 85437 19822 14049 88999 77999
31313 09608 80213
61616 NOAA2 1311A KYLE OB 19
62626 REL 2941N06859W 021310 SPG 2944N06864W 021624 WL150 09057 0
85 DLM WND 12552 001762 MBL WND 10061 EYEWALL 045=

XXBB 77028 99294 70686 07998 00002 254// 11001 25200 22876 20000
33779 16256 44761 14624
21212 00002 09551 11001 09551 22998 09057 33946 11567 44922 12563
55909 13566 66896 13057 77761 15039
31313 09608 80213
61616 NOAA2 1311A KYLE OB 19
62626 REL 2941N06859W 021310 SPG 2944N06864W 021624 WL150 09057 0
85 DLM WND 12552 001762 MBL WND 10061 EYEWALL 045=

I know they have said "eye drop" even when there was obviously no eye or eyewall, but if that is correct, then this should be upped to 65 kt. Still I am not certain so I agree with the NHC in being a bit conservative here.

[Just Joshing You]

THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD DEFINITELY BE
MORE ON GUARD.

[CrazyC83]

:rarrow: THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD DEFINITELY BE
MORE ON GUARD.

Whereabouts are you? If you are in Nova Scotia from the Halifax area westward, I'd definitely prepare for at least a Category 1 hurricane if I were you, and anywhere else in mainland Nova Scotia, southern New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island should prepare for hurricane-force gusts.

[Just Joshing You]

Truro, Nova Scotia. West of Halifax. I live in Halifax during Juan, that was quite fun

Oh, and I'm aware Truro is North East of halifax, but due to the heading of the storm, it's west.

[wxman57]

Post your address on the world wide internet, and I'll pick up a six pack, some chips and dip, and drive right over. My wife went to sleep already, she won't mind.

Thanks, but we just got in from a 25 mile bike ride and I've been cleaning up and getting rid of extension cords. I think I'll power up the big TV and celebrate with some chocolate chip cookies and coke.

[CrazyC83]

Truro, Nova Scotia. West of Halifax. I live in Halifax during Juan, that was quite fun

At least you now know what hurricanes are capable of and have learned! Even if you hadn't have gone through it, there are experts here that REALLY know hurricanes. And if people are still complacent, then you should tell them what they should be doing.

[Just Joshing You]

Post your address on the world wide internet, and I'll pick up a six pack, some chips and dip, and drive right over. My wife went to sleep already, she won't mind.

Thanks, but we just got in from a 25 mile bike ride and I've been cleaning up and getting rid of extension cords. I think I'll power up the big TV and celebrate with some chocolate chip cookies and coke.

What a waste of a 25 mile bike ride.. coke and cookies.. if you're going to eat junk, just do what I do and sit on your ass all day.

lol!

[Just Joshing You]

Truro, Nova Scotia. West of Halifax. I live in Halifax during Juan, that was quite fun

At least you now know what hurricanes are capable of and have learned! Even if you hadn't have gone through it, there are experts here that REALLY know hurricanes. And if people are still complacent, then you should tell them what they should be doing.

I had a tree rammed through my window, I know what Hurricane's are capable of

I know what storms are capable of but it's kind of a "boy who cried wolf" thing with the people I care about. "Mom, you should take this storm seriously... it has the potential to be bad." "Nanna, take it seriously" and then they reply that Beryl or Hanna weren't bad, so Kyle will be a walk in the park.

[southmdwatcher]

What if the former invest 94 system over western North Carolina and the high pressure over the Newfoundland do not move. Wouldn't Kyle track farther west than the models and forecasts currently indicate? The ridge over the Atlantic has frequently proven to be stronger than the models forecasted.

[Ed Mahmoud]

What if the former invest 94 system over western North Carolina and the high pressure over the Newfoundland do not move. Wouldn't Kyle track farther west than the models and forecasts currently indicate? The ridge over the Atlantic has frequently proven to be stronger than the models forecasted.

Considering Bermuda is a long way from the US and Canada, if I were King of the World, I'd have scheduled a G-IV mission. But Specialist Avila seems pretty confident on track due to good model consensus, so I can't complain too much about a lack of one.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Recon still far from Kyle, and not at low levels, but a pretty good spread between temp and dewpoint-

032400 2117N 06543W 3927 07737 0423 -171 -406 355011 011 999 999 03

WV does suggests it isn't quite as dry further North...

[TheEuropean]

27/0645 UTC 29.9N 69.5W T3.0/3.0 KYLE -- Atlantic Ocean