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MiamiensisWx

Re: Florida Weather Thread: Cool shot coming!

#2921 Postby MiamiensisWx » Sun Nov 23, 2008 10:47 am

Summary of local ASOS data as of 10 a.m.:

City Sky & Wx Tmp DP RH Wind Pres Remarks
NAPLES SUNNY 67 51 56 NE14 30.35R
W PALM BEACH MOSUNNY 72 48 42 E9 30.34R
FT LAUDER-EXEC MOSUNNY 72 47 40 E13 30.33S
FT LAUDERDALE MOSUNNY 74 48 39 NE14 30.32S
POMPANO BEACH MOSUNNY 72 49 44 E14 30.34R
PEMBROKE PINES MOSUNNY 73 49 42 E15 30.35S
OPA LOCKA MOSUNNY 72 50 45 E8 30.33S
MIAMI MOSUNNY 73 50 44 N7 30.33S
WEST KENDALL SUNNY 72 50 45 NE9 30.33R
HOMESTEAD SUNNY 72 51 48 NE13 30.33R
FLAMINGO N/A 71 57 61 E8 N/A

Marine Observations Across South Florida Waters as of 1000 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
CMAN Site Water Temp Wind
Sand Key Missing NE 23G/25 kts
Sombrero Key Missing NE 20G/23 kts
Long Key 66 NE 16G/17 kts
Molasses Reef 76 E 15G/17 kts
Lake Worth Missing E 9G/16 kts
Fowey Rocks 76 NE 14G/16 kts
Settlement Point Missing NE 13G/15 kts

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mfl/observations.php
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#2922 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Nov 23, 2008 10:59 am

The low moderated to 54.9ºF at 3:36 AM.
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#2923 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Nov 23, 2008 11:48 am

I will be back in Orlando for the Thanksgiving holiday, so I am very glad to see that the weather will be somewhat pleasant during my visit. The NWS is forecasting a morning low of 42F and an afternoon high of 69F on Thanksgiving day. Beautiful! :)
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#2924 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Nov 23, 2008 9:28 pm

Tallahassee, FL has experienced a low temperature at or below 32F for the past six days straight...

http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KTLH.html
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/TAE/CF6TLH

Pretty impressive given the fact that this is November and within the state of Florida.
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#2925 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Nov 24, 2008 1:12 am

The 00z GFS MOS is calling for a low temperature of 39F at the Orlando International Airport on Thanksgiving morning.

Update - The NWS does not agree with this though and is only calling for a morning low of 44F.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Mon Nov 24, 2008 9:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Cool shot coming!

#2926 Postby jinftl » Mon Nov 24, 2008 9:28 am

NWS Miami going with a "Chamber of Commerce" postcard forecast for the holiday weekend...only an outside shower chance with the easterly flow on sunday.

Thanksgiving Day...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

Thursday Night...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.

Friday Through Saturday Night...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Lows in the mid 60s.

Sunday...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Cool shot coming!

#2927 Postby jinftl » Mon Nov 24, 2008 10:43 am

Mild morning across the state...

FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
1000 AM EST MON NOV 24 2008

PENSACOLA NAS PTSUNNY 69
PANAMA CITY SUNNY 59
APALACHICOLA SUNNY 60
TALLAHASSEE MOSUNNY 57
GAINESVILLE SUNNY 56
JACKSONVILLE MOSUNNY 59
ORLANDO INTL MOSUNNY 66
DAYTONA BEACH MOSUNNY 69
JFK SPACE CTR MOSUNNY 70
VERO BEACH SUNNY 70
FT PIERCE SUNNY 71
TAMPA MOSUNNY 65
SARASOTA SUNNY 67
FT MYERS SUNNY 69
KEY WEST INTL SUNNY 72
W PALM BEACH MOSUNNY 74
FT LAUDERDALE PTSUNNY 74
MIAMI PTSUNNY 76
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#2928 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Nov 24, 2008 10:48 am

Low temps continue to moderate. Today it was just 57.3ºF at 2:25 AM.
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Re:

#2929 Postby jinftl » Mon Nov 24, 2008 11:18 am

Last night was one of those nights where wind flow made all of the difference...Miami International dropped to 61 deg with a light northerly flow. Meanwhile, Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International kept an e-ne flow all night....and the low temp only fell to 69 deg.

With your reading of 57...quite possible there was up to a 15 degree range in low temps across se fl last night...or more.

HURAKAN wrote:Low temps continue to moderate. Today it was just 57.3ºF at 2:25 AM.
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#2930 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Nov 24, 2008 4:08 pm

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#2931 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Nov 24, 2008 5:19 pm

NWS Tampa Bay says nothing of the sort.
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Re: Re:

#2932 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Nov 24, 2008 5:43 pm

jinftl wrote:Last night was one of those nights where wind flow made all of the difference...Miami International dropped to 61 deg with a light northerly flow. Meanwhile, Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International kept an e-ne flow all night....and the low temp only fell to 69 deg.

With your reading of 57...quite possible there was up to a 15 degree range in low temps across se fl last night...or more.

HURAKAN wrote:Low temps continue to moderate. Today it was just 57.3ºF at 2:25 AM.


Kendall (Tamiami Airport) reached 53ºF. Wow! What a difference between places.
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#2933 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Nov 24, 2008 5:45 pm

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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Cool shot coming!

#2934 Postby jinftl » Mon Nov 24, 2008 6:01 pm

Interesting NWS Discussion about cold front early next week...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
249 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND IS
HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AS ECMWF SHOWS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPING
ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
DIVING SE ACROSS THE SE STATES. HOWEVER...THE LATEST RUN OF THE
GFS NO LONGER SHOWS THIS AND ACTUALLY SHOWS A BUILDING RIDGE
ACROSS FLORIDA WITH WARMTH AND HUMIDITY ON THE INCREASE THIS
WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
. GIVEN HIGH UNCERTAINTIES...MADE
NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FCST
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Cool shot coming!

#2935 Postby jdray » Tue Nov 25, 2008 11:10 am

NWS Jax sees the same stalling of the next front.


However, I should have frost the next couple of days and won't make 70F. Nice turkey weather at least.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Cool shot coming!

#2936 Postby robbielyn » Tue Nov 25, 2008 4:25 pm

jinftl wrote:Interesting NWS Discussion about cold front early next week...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
249 PM EST MON NOV 24 2008

FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND IS
HIGHER THAN NORMAL...AS ECMWF SHOWS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPING
ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
DIVING SE ACROSS THE SE STATES. HOWEVER...THE LATEST RUN OF THE
GFS NO LONGER SHOWS THIS AND ACTUALLY SHOWS A BUILDING RIDGE
ACROSS FLORIDA WITH WARMTH AND HUMIDITY ON THE INCREASE THIS
WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
. GIVEN HIGH UNCERTAINTIES...MADE
NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FCST


Yea!! Maybe my wish for a warm week next week will come true. Hope to hit some southeast fl beaches to get over the wintertime blues!! Vacation here I come. Wish it could be the carribean. :( But beggars cant be choosers
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Re:

#2937 Postby robbielyn » Tue Nov 25, 2008 4:28 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Another front moves through by Tuesday or so...
bringing temperatures over central inland Florida
of 40-45 *F into Wednesday night. Then things warm up.

I wonder, with temperatures averaging 25 degrees below
normal last week and now still 15-20 degrees below normal
this week and 10 degrees below normal today, even with that
warm up temperatures will still be 5 degrees below normal.
Usually, you get prefrontal temperatures 10 degrees above normal,
and then post-front temperatures 10 degrees below normal.

But with these cold fronts, the temperature does not even modify
to the normal temperatures.

With this in mind, a strong cold front in December or January could
put Florida in a Severe Freeze.

In 2002, Tampa dipped to the upper 30s for the first time in very late
November/December. That was a very cold winter. January 24, 2003
brought Arctic Fury with a low in Tampa of 27*F and 29*F in Saint
Petersburg, the coldest in a decade.

We have ALREADY in mid november seen widespread mid to upper
30s; Could this mean a potentially devastating freeze in January,
if you extrapolate- you are looking at, with these series fronts,
the following December/January Cold Potentials:
Tampa: 25*F
Saint Petersburg: 27*F
Miami: 32*F
Orlando: 24*F
Tallahassee: 9*F
Destin: 9*F

Unless there is a significant pattern change, we are in for a
significantly brutal winter- especially for farmers. The jet stream
has a HECK of extra energy this year allowing it to dive so far south
in the East while setting heat records in the West.


Ok snowbirds which one of you guys forgot to close the artic canadian door? :x
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#2938 Postby robbielyn » Tue Nov 25, 2008 4:32 pm

And for those of you loving this cold weather I am so confused why you are here in fl then. Our economy sucks low income low paying jobs or no jobs at all. I understand if you like a break from 90 degree weather. But like waking up to 30 degree temperatures every morning? Cant go to the beach or swim in the pool? Like to be bundled up and scraping your windshields? You can have all that up in the carolinas to ga not much snow in those states less you go to the mountains. I wish it was temperate like hawaii. 80 degrees year round. That would be perfect. I don't like the sauna all that much but I sure hate the cold even more.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Cool shot coming!

#2939 Postby tropicana » Tue Nov 25, 2008 5:26 pm

80s returned to portions of Southeast Florida today, Nov 25, after a break of 10 days since Nov 15.

Miami 80F
West Kendall 80F
Ft Lauderdale 81F

-justin-
Last edited by tropicana on Wed Nov 26, 2008 8:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#2940 Postby jdray » Tue Nov 25, 2008 7:10 pm

robbielyn wrote:And for those of you loving this cold weather I am so confused why you are here in fl then. Our economy sucks low income low paying jobs or no jobs at all. I understand if you like a break from 90 degree weather. But like waking up to 30 degree temperatures every morning? Cant go to the beach or swim in the pool? Like to be bundled up and scraping your windshields? You can have all that up in the carolinas to ga not much snow in those states less you go to the mountains. I wish it was temperate like hawaii. 80 degrees year round. That would be perfect. I don't like the sauna all that much but I sure hate the cold even more.


This is why I am happy to be from and live in North Florida.
We get the best of both worlds. 80F+ majority of the year, and a few cold snaps to change things up. We are generally warmer than Miami in mid summer by a few degrees on average, yet are 15-20 degrees colder in winter. Occasionally get a few flurries over the winter, but it quickly warms up.

I like the changes, if I wanted Hawaii weather, I would live in Hawaii.

Besides, how many native Floridians can say that they have had a white christmas at home!

:)
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