SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

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jasons2k
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#2501 Postby jasons2k » Sat Apr 18, 2009 5:02 pm

Pretty Amazing for sure

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Shot at 2009-04-18
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Heavy Rainfall Potential

#2502 Postby jasons2k » Sat Apr 18, 2009 5:06 pm

This is from earlier - from 3:30 - but take a look at the doppler winds as it passed close to the radar site...

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Shot at 2009-04-18
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Heavy Rainfall Potential

#2503 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Apr 18, 2009 5:15 pm

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

Great captures Jasons. Latest Update from HGX...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
508 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2009

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST UPDATED AGAIN TO TAKE SOME OF THE NORTHERN COUNTIES OUT OF
THE FLOOD WATCH. THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR THROUGH 9 PM. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE MID EVENING
HOURS. STILL HARD TO BELIEVE SOME OF THE RAINFALL RATES OBSERVED
IN THE AREA DURING THIS AMAZING HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT.
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#2504 Postby CajunMama » Sat Apr 18, 2009 5:19 pm

What is this going to mean for those of us to the east? Stronger storms? Tornados?
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Heavy Rainfall Potential

#2505 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Apr 18, 2009 5:27 pm

Lake Charles AFD Update...


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
417 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2009

.DISCUSSION...
VERY INTERESTING SFC FEATURE WITH ROTATION IN CHAMBERS LOOKS TO
MOVE INTO JEFFERSON AFTER 5 PM WILL MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER LVL LOW SPINNING OVER SE COLORADO HAS
KICKED OUT ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHRTWVS THAT IS CURRENTLY
TRAVERSING COASTAL TEXAS. SFC TROF IS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR
TSTM DEVELOPMENT WITH THE LOW LVL JET DRAGGING MOISTURE INTO SE
TX AND SRN LA. PRECIP WATER RUNNING ABOUT 1.8 INCHES. AT THIS
TIME WITH CAPES AT 1000J/KG AND HEL OF 223 M2/S2. THIS SFC
BOUNDARY IS PROGRESSING SLOWLY ALLOWING STORMS TO TRAIN ACROSS SE
TX WITH RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IN TYLER...
JASPER... AND HARDIN COUNTIES. A STRONGER STORM IS PRODUCING
RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES IN CHAMBERS COUNTY...THIS STORM
IS MOVING INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY AT THIS TIME AND A FFW HAS BEEN
ISSUED.

STORMS TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE A SLOW MARCH EASTWARD WITH TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF SE TX AND SW LA. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR THIS REGION WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A TORNADO
WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT AS SHEAR OVER SE TX AND SRN LOUISIANA WILL
ALSO SUPPORT TORNADO DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. STORMS ENDING
OVER SE TX AND EXTREME SW LA AROUND MIDNIGHT AND AFTER MIDNIGHT
FOR S-CNTRL LA.

UPPER LVL LOW LOOKS TO GET A KICK OFF TO THE EAST AS NRN JET DROPS
DOWN INTO SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES TOMORROW. THIS WILL PUSH THROUGH
A FRONTAL SYSTEM FINALLY DRYING OUT SE TX TMRW MRNG AND SRN LA BY
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
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Re:

#2506 Postby southerngale » Sat Apr 18, 2009 6:03 pm

CajunMama wrote:What is this going to mean for those of us to the east? Stronger storms? Tornados?


Anyone?

I gave her my opinion, but what do I know? :P


It's been raining cats & dogs for many hours here. Moderate to heavy intensity... back and forth, but always steady rain with no breaks. No crazy totals like KatDaddy and not even in the Allison family (Allison caused major flooding around here), but still... a LOT of rain!

But hey... it's letting up in the Houston area, so at least we know there's an end in sight.
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Re: Re:

#2507 Postby boca » Sat Apr 18, 2009 6:11 pm

southerngale wrote:
CajunMama wrote:What is this going to mean for those of us to the east? Stronger storms? Tornados?


Anyone?

I gave her my opinion, but what do I know? :P


It's been raining cats & dogs for many hours here. Moderate to heavy intensity... back and forth, but always steady rain with no breaks. No crazy totals like KatDaddy and not even in the Allison family (Allison caused major flooding around here), but still... a LOT of rain!

But hey... it's letting up in the Houston area, so at least we know there's an end in sight.


I'm one of the have nots on the Florida thread.I don't remember what rain looks like or even steady rains with no breaks.I'm glad you guys in Texas are getting the rains you need.Can you will it to South Florida.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Heavy Rainfall Potential

#2508 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Apr 18, 2009 6:13 pm

For the LA folks...

Image

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0519
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0546 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SERN TX / SWRN AND W-CNTRL LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 166...

VALID 182246Z - 182345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 166 CONTINUES.

SEVERE THREAT WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO IMMEDIATE SERN TX AND SWRN
LA COAST AND ADJACENT INLAND AREAS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS BOW
ECHO MOVES EWD. HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY ACROSS A LARGE PART OF
SWRN AND W-CNTRL LA.

22Z SURFACE FIELDS AND RADAR MOSAIC SHOW A PRONOUNCED MESOLOW WITHIN
COMMA HEAD OF BOW ECHO MOVING EWD ALONG THE EXTREME SERN TX COAST
INTO SWRN LA. PRESSURE FALLS WERE NOTED IN ADVANCE OF BOW ECHO OVER
THE PAST FEW HOURS...INDICATING CONTINUED EWD MCS MOVEMENT TO
WELL-ORGANIZED STORM COMPLEX. DESPITE MODEST INSTABILITY DOWNSTREAM
/AOB 500 J/KG MLCAPE PER OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/...MOIST LOW LEVEL
PROFILES AMIDST STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR /30 KTS 0-1 KM SHEAR LCH VWP/
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLD TORNADO OR TWO
EMBEDDED ALONG LEADING EDGE OR IN COMMA HEAD REGION AS EWD MOVING
MCS PARALLELS THE SWRN LA COAST.

WITH H25 JET MAX MOVING TOWARDS REGION FROM CNTRL TX THIS
EVENING...SLY 35 KT 850 JET WILL LIFT NEWD INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER
VALLEY MAINTAINING MOIST FLUX OF MARITIME TROPICAL AIR
/CHARACTERIZED BY 1.75+ INCH PWAT ACCORDING TO GOES SOUNDER DATA/
INTO REGION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL
ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CNTRL AND SWRN LA THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..SMITH.. 04/18/2009


ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...
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Re: Re:

#2509 Postby southerngale » Sat Apr 18, 2009 6:19 pm

boca wrote:
southerngale wrote:
CajunMama wrote:What is this going to mean for those of us to the east? Stronger storms? Tornados?


Anyone?

I gave her my opinion, but what do I know? :P


It's been raining cats & dogs for many hours here. Moderate to heavy intensity... back and forth, but always steady rain with no breaks. No crazy totals like KatDaddy and not even in the Allison family (Allison caused major flooding around here), but still... a LOT of rain!

But hey... it's letting up in the Houston area, so at least we know there's an end in sight.


I'm one of the have nots on the Florida thread.I don't remember what rain looks like or even steady rains with no breaks.I'm glad you guys in Texas are getting the rains you need.Can you will it to South Florida.


Sorry. :(

My part of Texas isn't in a drought, so we didn't really need it. We still had some leftover standing water and/or mushy grounds in various spots from last weekend's storms, or the ones before that. Fortunately, a lot of the areas in Texas that really did need the rain, got some.... maybe too much. It's always feast or famine around here.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Heavy Rainfall Potential

#2510 Postby southerngale » Sat Apr 18, 2009 6:23 pm

Geezum.... look at all the locations for this flash flood warning.


Flash Flood Warning

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
LAC003-011-019-053-079-115-TXC199-241-351-361-190315-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0005.090418T2318Z-090419T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
618 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF EVADALE...
SOUTHWESTERN NEWTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF DEWEYVILLE...
ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST ORANGE...VIDOR...ORANGE...
MAURICEVILLE...BRIDGE CITY...
ALLEN PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...REEVES...OBERLIN...OAKDALE...
MITTIE...KINDER...ELIZABETH...
BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SUGARTOWN...SINGER...RAGLEY...
FIELDS...DRY CREEK...
CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WESTLAKE...VINTON...SULPHUR...
STARKS...MOSS BLUFF...LAKE CHARLES...IOWA...DE QUINCY...
JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WELSH...JENNINGS...FENTON...ELTON...
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VERNON PARISH IN WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 608 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED
TO INDICATE A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX EXTENDING FROM
JEFFERSON...SOUTHERN JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES NORTHEASTWARD INTO
CALCASIEU...SOUTHEASTERN BEAUREGARD...NORTHERN HALF OF JEFF
DAVIS...AND ALLEN PARISHES...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX HAS ALREADY PRODUCED 4 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS
WESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. SOME AREAS WITHIN THE
WARNED LOCATION RECEIVED 2 TO OVER 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH FRIDAY
EVENINGS RAINFALL.


AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO POSSIBLY 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH THIS EVENINGS RAINFALL...WHICH WILL LIKELY LEAD TO AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.



LAT...LON 3036 9412 3087 9296 3091 9257 3089 9259
3056 9259 3049 9262 3044 9259 3038 9262
3021 9261 3005 9333 3006 9372 2997 9379
2996 9385 3008 9409 3012 9408 3017 9413

$$

LANDRENEAU
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Heavy Rainfall Potential

#2511 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Apr 18, 2009 6:32 pm

6:00 PM Update from Jeff Lindner...

***Seabrook: water going into homes from Clear Lake***

100 homes affected in La Porte

homes likely flooded along upper Halls

Channels: (Warnings in effect)

Lt Cedar: out of banks, falling

Berry: falling, within banks

Lt Vince: falling within banks

Clear Creek: out of banks from 2nd Outlet to FM 528

Garners: out of banks at Beltway 8

Halls: out of banks around I-45

White Oak: out of banks around I-45 (impacting White Oak Bayou Dr)

W fork @ US 59: RFC forecast...river to rise to near flood stage early Sunday

Spring Creek @ I-45: minor flooding forecast per RFC

Luce Bayou @ Huffman: minor flooding forecast per RFC

Rainfall:

Widespread 3-5" across much of central and eastern Harris County.

Widespread 6-7" across SE Harris with isolated 10 inches along Clear Creek.

10.94 inches at I-45 and Clear Creek
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#2512 Postby southerngale » Sat Apr 18, 2009 7:54 pm

Flash Flood Warning

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC199-245-361-190245-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FF.W.0006.090419T0050Z-090419T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
750 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...SABINE PASS...PORT NECHES...PORT
ARTHUR...NOME...NEDERLAND...HAMSHIRE...GROVES...CENTRAL GARDENS...
BEAUMONT...
SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 745 PM CDT...FOUR TO NEARLY SIX OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS ALONG I-10
AND ACROSS WESTERN BEAUMONT CITY LIMITS. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR...DEPOSITING ANOTHER ONE HALF TO ONE
INCH OF RAINFALL. RESIDUAL FLOODING OF STREETS...HIGHWAYS...
VEHICLES...AND BUSINESSES AND OR RESIDENCES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS LOW LYING AREAS AS MOST OF THIS RAINFALL IS STILL IN THE
PROCESS OF DRAINING INTO THE DRAINAGE BASINS.

LAT...LON 2956 9437 2989 9438 2990 9446 3011 9446
3011 9434 3017 9427 3018 9417 3016 9410
3013 9411 3012 9408 3008 9409 3006 9404
3003 9403 2996 9385 2981 9394 2968 9383
2967 9406

$$

LANDRENEAU
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Re: Re:

#2513 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Apr 18, 2009 10:55 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
JenBayles wrote:And I thought my eyes were bugging a few hours ago. Jeez! It's pitch black here in Bear Creek.

[edit] Looking at radar trends, I'm getting extremely worried about training setting up over western Harris county. Can someone tell me I'm just over-reacting?

It is not an over-reaction. This rain stretches all the way to S of SA. It has now set up training from what I see on the radar.and the urban and small stream flood advisory is definitely warranted. I am preparing to go further into skywarn mode and may have to begin reporting from my area. It has been pouring at our house for the last 20-30 minutes with no let up. What I was concerned was going to happen with the massively unstable air mass is apparently beginning to happen and we may be looking at a massive flood event over much of the Houston metro and SE TX area. Please everyone in the Houston metro/SE TX area stay home. The streets will probably begin to fill quickly and become impassable in many areas unless this lets up soon and radar does not indicate that at this time.

Edit: 12.49pm-Our streets are now becoming impassable. The water is higher than I have seen it in a long time here.

Edit: 1:15 pm-Cars flooded out in our streets and the water is higher than every time except one(Allison)that I have seen in the 22 years we have lived in this house. It is still pouring and when I checked the gauge 20 minutes ago we were already at 3.5" and that was probably low due to the location of the gauge. Definitely a major flood event unfolding now in the Houston area. Everyone please be safe. I have already reported to NWS and we were just issued a Flash flood warning for Harris and Montgomery Counties.

Edit: 1:36 pm-Just emptied 4" out of the rain gauge and it is still raining though it has let up some. Streets still impassable. Radar returns to the SW concern me, especially if those move N of or along I-10(not that I'm not concerned for other areas, but areas N of I-10 have been POUNDED already).

Final total for me today after the rains stopped was 4.6". With the rains from yesterday(1.7") that makes 6.3" for the two days!!! :eek: No more drought for us!
Unfortunately those radar returns to my SW have ended up causing extensive flooding with water in homes in the SE portions of the Houston metro area(Clear Creek area, etc.). I can not even imagine what it would be like in my area if we had received those rains on top of the 4" from earlier today!
SG are you ok over in your area? Rockets are kicking butt and taking no names so far!!! GO ROCKETS!!
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Heavy Rainfall Potential

#2514 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Apr 18, 2009 11:06 pm

It was on an Allison level. Amazing rainfall which maxed out at 15.57" per hour.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DEZjifZ4q94
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#2515 Postby CajunMama » Sun Apr 19, 2009 1:03 am

Airport recorded 6.07" of rain since 3pm today. Friday night total was 1.49". So we got a total of 7.56" in about 24 hours.
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#2516 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Apr 19, 2009 7:57 am

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/19/us/19 ... lobal-home

5 kids presumed dead in Houston flash flood. :( Very sad.
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Re:

#2517 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sun Apr 19, 2009 8:41 am

HURAKAN wrote:http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/19/us/19texas.html?ref=global-home

5 kids presumed dead in Houston flash flood. :( Very sad.



Criminal, a drunk driver talking on a cell phone in a car overloaded with children drove off the road and down an embankment.
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Re:

#2518 Postby PTrackerLA » Sun Apr 19, 2009 12:34 pm

CajunMama wrote:Airport recorded 6.07" of rain since 3pm today. Friday night total was 1.49". So we got a total of 7.56" in about 24 hours.


Where did you see that? Can't be Lafayette as they recorded 2.22" of rain yesterday according to the official climate data report on the Lake Charles NWS site. Storm totals are in the 3"-4" range for Lafayette and the yards are loving it!
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Re: Re:

#2519 Postby CajunMama » Sun Apr 19, 2009 1:02 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:
CajunMama wrote:Airport recorded 6.07" of rain since 3pm today. Friday night total was 1.49". So we got a total of 7.56" in about 24 hours.


Where did you see that? Can't be Lafayette as they recorded 2.22" of rain yesterday according to the official climate data report on the Lake Charles NWS site. Storm totals are in the 3"-4" range for Lafayette and the yards are loving it!



I added up everything in the 6 hour column (3 day history) that they had listed which seems to have changed today. At one time last night they had us at 2-3" in just one hour.
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#2520 Postby JenBayles » Sun Apr 19, 2009 1:18 pm

We flooded again in Bear Creek. Cars and trucks flooded in the street and a little water in some houses. We were trapped until about 4:30. On top of that, my mother has very bad and complex health issues and I couldn't reach her. Once the water cleared we were off the ER at Memorial City where she was admitted for a gastric bleed and a hemoglobin of 6 - less than half of normal. Long story that I don't care to get into, but it's not looking good.

I'll post flood pics as soon as I can. I'm so sick of flooding here in Bear Creek, and NONE of our County, State or Federal officials will do a dam thing about it. They just keep permitting more and more development in our watershed. After all, can't shoot the golden devlopment-tax goose...
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