ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)
I think we are seeing a rare case of center re-location here. The center may have torn away from the remnant swirl to the south over water and moved towards the convection burst over Puerto Rico. That would put Ana north of the islands.
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- AtlanticWind
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[quote="storms NC"]She looks like she has move more north to me and is building back up. The ULL seem to be weaking JIMO. This maybe why she is going North more. She may not go into the gulf. But into S Fla.
I agree , wonder if the Nhc will continue advisories with the blowup of convection
I agree , wonder if the Nhc will continue advisories with the blowup of convection
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- eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)
cycloneye wrote:Here is Ana.
Good eye to those that spotted her on radar!! What's left of Ana is going to miss the DR, Luis take a couple of swings at her when she comes bye, we don't want anything sneaking up on us in SFL!!

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- AtlanticWind
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eastcoastFL wrote:So if Ana can stay north of the island will she have a chance to gain strength?
That is the big question.
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- vacanechaser
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)
looks like a center curling up on the southeast coast there... right where that bomb went off in sat images about an hour ago... she could be making a comeback...
Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (Models)
Like I said before it would just take a slight tweak to bring Ana in a hook up the west coast of Florida. I suppose the trend is right, but the cone gets narrower as the system gets closer. The ones we have to worry about here are the Donna-type tracks that come from the Atlantic unimpeded by the Florida mainland before they get here. But Ana is already right of where they initialized it here, so south Florida should keep an eye on this just in case.
Maybe the atmospheric limitation that kept Claudette down is still in place like Fay last year?

Maybe the atmospheric limitation that kept Claudette down is still in place like Fay last year?

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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (Models)

Don't give up on Ana to soon, she may surprise us!!
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (Models)
If Ana comes off with some type of organization(MLC) what are the chances of regeneration ?
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (02L)
IF (big if) it's north of the track and misses Hispaniola
It's not out of the questions that it will be in a somewhat favorable environment.
It's not out of the questions that it will be in a somewhat favorable environment.
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KWT wrote:Without a good established LLC it may end up being the case that the models are going to get caught out, the MLC still looks decent and appears to be about to reach PR. This will be the area to follow.
You have to admit a few hours ago most of us thought for sure Ana was done, but it does appear that there is still some decent structure at the mid levels and once Ana clears PR the SST are very warm. Like you stated earlier this morning the question is what affect will that ULL have on her. The Ships have Ana as a cane near SFL.
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA (Models)
IMO if there is anything close to an LLC with Ana it's to the SE of PR which is well north of the NHC track.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
HELLO, IS THERE ANYBODY ELSE OUT THERE OVERREACTING WITH ME TO THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS WITH ANA??

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
HELLO, IS THERE ANYBODY ELSE OUT THERE OVERREACTING WITH ME TO THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS WITH ANA??


Last edited by Blown Away on Mon Aug 17, 2009 9:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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I'm really not sure Hispaniola is going to make a difference really, there is not much left at the surface anyway, its purely a mid level feature now I susect and thus the higher ground won't really disrupt that circulation much at all IMO.
As for the shear, it should slacken steadily as the ULL moves WNW and weakens, which is happening quite quickly as the front dives down.
As for the shear, it should slacken steadily as the ULL moves WNW and weakens, which is happening quite quickly as the front dives down.
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