Aquawind wrote:Artist I think it's a Mid Level Circulation you might see on IR2..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-ir2.html
thank you Aquawind! Glad to know OTown and I aren't crazy! lol
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Aquawind wrote:Artist I think it's a Mid Level Circulation you might see on IR2..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-ir2.html
Air Force Met wrote:wxman57 wrote:artist wrote:is anyone else noting that spin she has going now in her far upper right hand corner? Look at it on loop in the enhanced and it is clearly there. 18/56
OTown asked if it was the mlc and hasn't gotten a response either. Anyone?
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_2
No, don't see it.
I see what he's talking about. Looks like a vort max moving drifting northward. Looks like its sitting b/w 350-450 mb's...20-25K feet. Yet another "bad sign."
I see what he's talking about. Looks like a vort max moving drifting northward. Looks like its sitting b/w 350-450 mb's...20-25K feet. Yet another "bad sign."
so a bad sign as in tearing apart?
BigA wrote:The odd thing is how deceiving appearences can be. If I hadn't known the history of Erika, and someone just showed me the infrared and said "look at this category 1 hurricane," I would believe him/her. Nonetheless, I think this thing is toast, but with the amount of sheer convective energy it has, I don't know if there is any practical difference between a 40 mph tropical storm that brings 10 inches of rain and a tropical disturbance with wind gusts to 40 mph that brings 10 inches of rain.
Perhaps it matters to us so much because tropical cyclones are named.
HURAKAN wrote:
Heavy rainfall
SapphireSea wrote:BigA wrote:The odd thing is how deceiving appearences can be. If I hadn't known the history of Erika, and someone just showed me the infrared and said "look at this category 1 hurricane," I would believe him/her. Nonetheless, I think this thing is toast, but with the amount of sheer convective energy it has, I don't know if there is any practical difference between a 40 mph tropical storm that brings 10 inches of rain and a tropical disturbance with wind gusts to 40 mph that brings 10 inches of rain.
Perhaps it matters to us so much because tropical cyclones are named.
In a disorganized convective mass like this, 40mph gusts would be very isolated in heavier bands. A 35kt TS would have a bigger swath of "40mph" winds caused by a true concentrated area of low pressure. Despite what it seems this probobly does have a decent area of 20-25kt winds regardless.
DeanDaDream wrote:HURAKAN wrote:
Heavy rainfallfrom Derek Ortt.... Erika forecasts in analysis forum> Of course, if convection keeps firing near the 850mb center found by recon that is approaching Barbuda, and the center reforms there, this entire forecast will need to be chucked tomorrow morning.
CrazyC83 wrote:If this split into two separate systems with two LLC's, which one retains Erika and which becomes TD7/Fred?
this entire forecast will need to be chucked tomorrow morning.
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