ATL: TROPICAL LOW ex-FRED (ex-07L)
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L)
Hurricanes with a small eye tend to intensify rapidily, let's see if Fred is one of them.
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Re:
[quote="HURAKAN'']I think Fred has a good shot at becoming a major hurricane before the shear begins to have a significant impact[/quote]
are you serious!!!
wuau
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
21 GMT 09/07/09 12.5N 24.5W 35 1005 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 09/08/09 11.8N 26.3W 40 1004 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/08/09 11.8N 27.3W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/08/09 11.9N 28.6W 65 994 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/08/09 12.1N 29.8W 70 990 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/09/09 12.6N 30.6W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane





bye!!
i go sleep, here it's 5:03 a.m.
are you serious!!!

wuau

Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
21 GMT 09/07/09 12.5N 24.5W 35 1005 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 09/08/09 11.8N 26.3W 40 1004 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/08/09 11.8N 27.3W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/08/09 11.9N 28.6W 65 994 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/08/09 12.1N 29.8W 70 990 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/09/09 12.6N 30.6W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane





bye!!
i go sleep, here it's 5:03 a.m.
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L)
Hurricanes with small eyes do intensify rapidly. Remember Gilbert or Wilma? I think Fred could become a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L)
Ptarmigan wrote:Hurricanes with small eyes do intensify rapidly. Remember Gilbert or Wilma? I think Fred could become a major hurricane.
And more recently Jimena, though it was on the EPAC
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- brunota2003
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L)
Macrocane wrote:
And more recently Jimena, though it was on the EPAC
Any storms with small eye will intensify quickly.
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L) - Computer Models
I am really puzzled by what the BAM model shows. 

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- brunota2003
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If I am not mistaken, when the three BAMs run together, the winds are more favorable...but the more spread between the models, the greater the wind shear...in this case, the BAMD and BAMM both turn towards the north towards the weakness, while the shallow BAMS has the shallow steering currents turning in the completely opposite direction, south...meaning when it gets to the point of the split, it will begin encountering increasing shear, if I remember correctly?
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L)
Ptarmigan wrote:Macrocane wrote:
And more recently Jimena, though it was on the EPAC
Any storms with small eye will intensify quickly.
Not necessarily. Some very powerful hurricanes have large eyes as well. While it is true that hurricanes with small eyes and very tight banding patterns around that eye are often intense hurricanes, many tropical storms and weak hurricanes in their formative stages show small eyes without very intense banding or an extreme pressure gradient.
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L)
Fred is looking very good and continues to show steady improvement...the eye is quite clear and has a beautiful structure.
Category 2 at 5am looks very possible...
Category 2 at 5am looks very possible...
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Re: ATL: HURRICANE FRED (07L) - Computer Models
Fred is smelling Fishy...on to the next wave!
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:I think Fred has a good shot at becoming a major hurricane before the shear begins to have a significant impact
That small eye was all I needed to make the statement
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