ATL: TROPICAL LOW ex-FRED (ex-07L)

[Macrocane]

Hurricanes with a small eye tend to intensify rapidily, let's see if Fred is one of them.

[HURAKAN]

I think Fred has a good shot at becoming a major hurricane before the shear begins to have a significant impact

[pepeavilenho]

[quote="HURAKAN'']I think Fred has a good shot at becoming a major hurricane before the shear begins to have a significant impact[/quote]
are you serious!!!
wuau

Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
21 GMT 09/07/09 12.5N 24.5W 35 1005 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 09/08/09 11.8N 26.3W 40 1004 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 09/08/09 11.8N 27.3W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 09/08/09 11.9N 28.6W 65 994 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 09/08/09 12.1N 29.8W 70 990 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 09/09/09 12.6N 30.6W 75 987 Category 1 Hurricane











bye!!
i go sleep, here it's 5:03 a.m.

[Ptarmigan]

Hurricanes with small eyes do intensify rapidly. Remember Gilbert or Wilma? I think Fred could become a major hurricane.

[Macrocane]

Hurricanes with small eyes do intensify rapidly. Remember Gilbert or Wilma? I think Fred could become a major hurricane.

And more recently Jimena, though it was on the EPAC

[HURAKAN]

Time to sleep. Incredible how things change in two days!

[brunota2003]

Well, according to the tracking map...Fred is a nothing! (I know, it takes time to "update")

[Ptarmigan]

And more recently Jimena, though it was on the EPAC

Any storms with small eye will intensify quickly.

[cycloneye]

I am really puzzled by what the BAM model shows.

[brunota2003]

If I am not mistaken, when the three BAMs run together, the winds are more favorable...but the more spread between the models, the greater the wind shear...in this case, the BAMD and BAMM both turn towards the north towards the weakness, while the shallow BAMS has the shallow steering currents turning in the completely opposite direction, south...meaning when it gets to the point of the split, it will begin encountering increasing shear, if I remember correctly?

[leanne_uk]

Amazing pictures to wake up to and news that 2 hours ago fishy Fred got his cane status.

I am so excited to see what he does over the next 2 days or so

In the mean time back to bed as its around 5.15am for me lol

[ncweatherwizard]

And more recently Jimena, though it was on the EPAC

Any storms with small eye will intensify quickly.

Not necessarily. Some very powerful hurricanes have large eyes as well. While it is true that hurricanes with small eyes and very tight banding patterns around that eye are often intense hurricanes, many tropical storms and weak hurricanes in their formative stages show small eyes without very intense banding or an extreme pressure gradient.

[shah8]

CMC 0z is kinda cool, actually...Fred is in place for a week and then heads wnw.

[Cyclenall]

I'm a bit surprised at how fast Fred is ramping up. It's a classic eastern Atlantic hurricane with the structure taken into account. I would guess the intensity is somewhere between 70 knots and 75 knots.

[RattleMan]

AL, 07, 2009090906, , BEST, 0, 130N, 312W, 85, 973

[bob rulz]

Fred is looking very good and continues to show steady improvement...the eye is quite clear and has a beautiful structure.

Category 2 at 5am looks very possible...

[bob rulz]

105mph at 5am...rapid intensification. And they say it could be a conservative estimate.

I don't see this one NOT reaching major hurricane status...it still has a good 18-24 hour window left to intensify.

[Hurricane Cheese]

Fred is smelling Fishy...on to the next wave!

[HurricaneHunter914]

Fred, like his wife Wilma, is a fan of rapidly intensifying.

[HURAKAN]

I think Fred has a good shot at becoming a major hurricane before the shear begins to have a significant impact

That small eye was all I needed to make the statement