Tropical Wave north of the Greater Antilles

Sanibel · #121 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Sep 09, 2009 5:19 pm

Our little central Atlantic wave is spouting convection like a choo choo train in shear.

Should get pushed into recurve up that trough border ahead.

#122 Postby **Blown Away** » Wed Sep 09, 2009 6:21 pm

HURAKAN wrote:

The LLC is more present than ever

What are the lat/longs of this LLC? I don't see it.

#123 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Sep 09, 2009 6:40 pm

Blown_away wrote:What are the lat/longs of this LLC? I don't see it.

#124 Postby **somethingfunny** » Wed Sep 09, 2009 7:24 pm

I see it!

What ever happened to Erika's remnants? I've kind of lost track of them.

#125 Postby **Blown Away** » Wed Sep 09, 2009 8:18 pm

Completely missed that obvious LLC.

Getting sheard to death but keeps pulsing convection. Why wouldn't the TPC place a low over that area when there is a well defined LLC?

Sanibel · #126 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Sep 09, 2009 11:02 pm

I think they've given up on anything forming in that area and I'm not going to argue. :lol:

#127 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 7:12 am

Still there. Persistent little thing

#128 Postby **drezee** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 8:25 am

drezee wrote:it will pass just n of this buoy....look for W winds

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41043

We have west winds for like 5 hours south of this thing....it is at the surface...

#129 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 9:36 am

Looks like it's on a secret stealth mission to become a TC off the coast of N.C. j/j kinda.
It does look like it has grown in size a wee bit.

#130 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 9:37 am

drezee wrote:
drezee wrote:it will pass just n of this buoy....look for W winds

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41043

We have west winds for like 5 hours south of this thing....it is at the surface...

Still there

Sanibel · #131 Postby **Sanibel** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 9:40 am

North of Antilles is notoriously unsupportive this year.

#132 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 9:45 am

Link: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Create a loop of the area in question and you will see that this system is very well-defined. It just needs shear to relax and boom, we will get something to track.

#133 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 11:15 am

Elsewhere in the tropics

Early next week, we should be alert for tropical storm development over the waters between the Bahamas and North Carolina, along an old frontal zone. None of the reliable models are forecasting tropical storm development in this area or in the Gulf of Mexico, though.

Jeff Masters

#134 Postby **drezee** » Thu Sep 10, 2009 12:46 pm

A 1015 MB SURFACE LOW IS N OF PUERTO RICO NEAR 21N65W. THE LOW
IS SUPPORTED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 26N65W. LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SURFACE LOW IS SUPPORTING ISOLATED
SHOWERS/POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 19N-27N BETWEEN 61W-68W. A
WEAK 1020 MB SURFACE HIGH IS N OF THE SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR
29N60W.

Tropical Wave north of the Greater Antilles

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