ATL : TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA

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PTPatrick
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3301 Postby PTPatrick » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:05 pm

Delta...Would faster mean further west landfall in this instance?
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#3302 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:05 pm

Recon did find a weaker system IMO overall, HOWEVER that was due to it looking fairly ILL a couple of hours ago. I gather if they were out there now and continued for another 1 hour so they would find an IDA just as strong as before. Hard to say this would be weakening based on the SAT presentation.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3303 Postby Sabanic » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:05 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Lol..it has CLEARLY expanded west...not east


Maybe the people saying east are related to the replay officials from yesterdays LSU's blown call. :lol:


ROLL TIDE !!!!! SEC West Champions !!
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3304 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:06 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Lol..it has CLEARLY expanded west...not east


Maybe the people saying east are related to the replay officials from yesterdays LSU's blown call. :lol:



Roll Tide, I agree though. I said after that call "I didnt see crap" lol

Certainly not weakening thats for sure.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3305 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:07 pm

:uarrow: We have a sports forum. :)
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3306 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:07 pm

Blown_away wrote:Image

Where is the center?



about right there,.. lol just a random circle by the way.. figured i would get it close enough .. Image
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3307 Postby HurricaneQueen » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:09 pm

Although I have been here since the inception of S2K, somewhere along the line I missed the meaning of SFMR. Sorry for the newbie question but could someone please explain what it is and its significance?

Thanks,
Lynn
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Re: Re:

#3308 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:11 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:THe 980 pressure seems suspect.. winds were at 30 kts at the time !!


I see on Google that winds were only 16kts at that time. So maybe just 979mb.

I was looking at the actual data... :) not sure where google gets it from .


Well, from the latest advisory. Looks like Google is correct. :wink:
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3309 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:11 pm

Sabanic wrote:
CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:Lol..it has CLEARLY expanded west...not east


Maybe the people saying east are related to the replay officials from yesterdays LSU's blown call. :lol:


ROLL TIDE !!!!! SEC West Champions !!


Yea, Yea I hear you. I hope Florida beats yall's a$$. I am one of the few around here that thinks there will be many more for you guys because as long as we have Leslie here we are always going to be second or third in the west. Back on topic Ida looks a lot better compared to 3 hours ago.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3310 Postby Blown Away » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:12 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Lol..it has CLEARLY expanded west...not east

I don't know if you are responding to me, I'm not denying the convection is expanding to the west now I was saying the center was either moving east of the next forecast point or the west side of the circulation was void of convection.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3311 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:12 pm

HurricaneQueen wrote:Although I have been here since the inception of S2K, somewhere along the line I missed the meaning of SFMR. Sorry for the newbie question but could someone please explain what it is and its significance?

Thanks,
Lynn

step frequency microwave radiometer
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#3312 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:12 pm

Its trying to expand the Eastern quad. Slowly getting there.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3313 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:13 pm

HurricaneQueen wrote:Although I have been here since the inception of S2K, somewhere along the line I missed the meaning of SFMR. Sorry for the newbie question but could someone please explain what it is and its significance?

Thanks,
Lynn


it gets the surface winds based I believe on the height of the waves.
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Derek Ortt

#3314 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:13 pm

very surprised NHC went with 90KT. We actually lowered the winds since the SFMR did not find any cat 2 winds on the last couple of passes, and the MBL dropsonde winds also do not support cat 2
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3315 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:14 pm

As someone mentioned earlier faster is worse for us in on the north central coast. It just means she will beat the trough before turning eastward.
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Re:

#3316 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:14 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Its trying to expand the Eastern quad. Slowly getting there.


You have this pegged, Delta.

Hi there Hurricane Queen!
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Re:

#3317 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:15 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:very surprised NHC went with 90KT. We actually lowered the winds since the SFMR did not find any cat 2 winds on the last couple of passes, and the MBL dropsonde winds also do not support cat 2


I think they felt the FL winds were too much for them to resist. I would have gone with 80 kt based on the dropsonde and SFMR, also making note that the pressure rose a bit (adjusted dropsonde would have it around 976mb, compared to 972mb earlier).
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#3318 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:16 pm

Derek, I agree with you on the fact that should have been a bit lower, however I truely feel this is only temp. as IDA has looked much better the last hour or so. I think it weakend earlier, but looks just as good as earlier today.
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Re:

#3319 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:22 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:very surprised NHC went with 90KT. We actually lowered the winds since the SFMR did not find any cat 2 winds on the last couple of passes, and the MBL dropsonde winds also do not support cat 2


I was a little suprised as well, for the same reasons and the pressure having come up. It gives the impression the storm is intensifying at the time of advisory.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL : HURRICANE IDA

#3320 Postby HurricaneQueen » Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:22 pm

Thanks Aric and HurricaneWatcher and hello Dixie!!! :D
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