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gofrogs wrote:http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KFTW
The "Curse Of The Lingering Cloud Cover" still has some life in it for Houston, as the subtropical jet stream continues to roar north and east from the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Attached to a prominent (and semi-stationary) Kelvin wave near the International Dateline, this southern branch will likely aid in cyclogenesis on a frontal structure over the Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday. Note that the numerical models are a little heavier and close to the coast with the rain shield. So what starts out as drizzle in the raw east/northeast breeze may actually escalate to a moderate rain event ending Thursday around noon.
I still cannot be sure just how strong or close to the coast this low pressure center will be as it moves away from Houston. While none of the operational models see the disturbance as an important snow or ice threat, the 12z ECMWF did keep the intensifying storm within 100 miles of Cape Hatteras NC moving into the Atlantic Ocean below Nova Scotia. It is possible that parts of the Carolinas and even S VA could see a period of snow and sleet. Should the small cA vortex forecast to stall over New Brunswick, retrogress and undergo phasing, then the potential for a snowstorm and strong winds will increase dramatically for the Interstate 95 corridor. If anything, it appears likely that the system will draw cold air into Texas and the Deep South, and set up a lingering 500MB mean trough that helps to keep anyone living east of the Front Range for the remainder of December.
To put it bluntly, the forecast for the Christmas holiday weekend could prove quite troublesome, not just for Houston but for most of the lower 48 states. The formation of an Alaskan/Yukon blocking signature, combined with a reforming Greenland block, will tend to drive a formative Arctic vortex far to the south into the Great Plains. There is some variance among the numerical models on what will happen in the December 24 - 28 time frame, but the ongoing trend seems to favor a brief moderation in temperatures over the eastern half of the U.S. followed by a shot of brutal cold cAk values. The ECMWF solution for Christmas Day, however, has a storm taking shape over the Deep South with the colder air mass already entering Texas. If the European ensembles verify, the hammock week between Christmas Day and New Year's Day could be very stormy with two prominent intrusions of tundra air from far northern Canada. And with additional energy linking up to the polar westerlies over the Orient from a new Kelvin wave, the tendency for cold and increased precipitation will be favored in the longer term over a good deal of the lower 48 states.
Ho! Ho! Ho!
Ntxw wrote:This is somewhat exciting, it's been awhile since i've seen this type of set up. This should be quite fun!
I work for them, so I don't have much choice! JK about the choice...have and will always love da Boys!!!
gofrogs wrote:http://weather.msn.com/tenday.aspx?wealocations=wc:USTX0474&q=Fort+Worth%2c+TX+forecast:tenday
I like this alot haha but what do i know iam 16
ntxweatherwatcher wrote:Dan Henry on Fox 4 mentioned on the 6pm news that we may have cold weather next week, with possible precip. First I have heard of possible winter precip, besides wfaa. Interesting...
jasons wrote:gofrogs wrote:http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KFTW
3F - 26F on the 29th? That's insane - that's 1989-ish cold.
IAH (Houston Intercontinental) shows a low of 16 and a high of 32F.
All I can say is that I'm glad that's the 336h time frame and subject to big changes. Sorry 'winter wishers' but that's just WAY too darn cold for me! That would be totally devastating for gardeners too.
richtrav wrote:jasons wrote:gofrogs wrote:http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KFTW
3F - 26F on the 29th? That's insane - that's 1989-ish cold.
IAH (Houston Intercontinental) shows a low of 16 and a high of 32F.
All I can say is that I'm glad that's the 336h time frame and subject to big changes. Sorry 'winter wishers' but that's just WAY too darn cold for me! That would be totally devastating for gardeners too.
Aww Jason you should know that site is just good for a yuk and little more. I mean look at how insane the numbers are: 3 in DFW, 7 in Waco (but somehow only 27 in Albuquerque), warming to 17 in Austin and SA, then miraculously moderating to 34 by Corpus. Can't say I've ever seen or even read about a freeze like that. 1982 would come the closest and even then the differences weren't nearly as egregious. The Corpus numbers are believable, the others need to be raised about 10-20 degrees
southerngale wrote:Btw, I've seen a lot of new members joining and posting recently, particularly quite a few new Texas posters. Welcome to all of you!
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