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jinftl
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5361 Postby jinftl » Sat Dec 19, 2009 4:47 pm

On a side note, after below normal months in January and February of 2009, every month since has featured above normal temps in Miami, making 2009 on pace to be one of the warmest years on record.

The number of days at or above 90 deg in Miami in 2009 has been an amazing 121!!! The normal annual number of 90+ deg days in Miami (airport) is 61!!

The breakdown by month of 90+ deg days (average # days at or above 90 deg for the month are in parentheses):

April '09: 4 (1)
May '09: 5 (4)
June '09: 18 (10)
July '09: 29 (16)
Aug '09: 29 (16)
Sep '09: 22 (10)
Oct '09: 14 (2)
Total 90+ days in Miami in 2009 = 121 (60 more than average)
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#5362 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Dec 19, 2009 10:09 pm

My weather station says 139 days of 90+ deg days

Image
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5363 Postby Sanibel » Mon Dec 21, 2009 12:21 pm

Chilly 53* with overcast. Deep winter temperature for here.


Should warm into 70's tomorrow.
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#5364 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Dec 21, 2009 1:28 pm

Didnt get nearly as cool as expected last night in most of TBW. The Freeze Warning failed as the colder spots only got down to 34-35. St. Pete got lower than forecast for a low of 43.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5365 Postby Sanibel » Mon Dec 21, 2009 4:47 pm

49.9 low temperature this morning felt freezing! :cold:
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5366 Postby jinftl » Fri Dec 25, 2009 11:20 pm

Not too shabby for those wanting a warm Christmas eve and Christmas Day....today's highs/last night's lows:

FLORIDA TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLE
: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
: 730 PM EST FRI DEC 25 2009

:FORT LAUDERDALE INTL 82 / 75
:FORT MYERS 81 / 68
:FORT PIERCE 82 / 71
:KEY WEST 79 / 73
:MARATHON 81 / 71
:MELBOURNE 82 / 69
:MIAMI 83 / 75
:NAPLES 81 / 69
:ORLANDO INTL 79 / 66
:VERO BEACH 83 / 71
:W KENDALL TAMIAMI AP 82 / 74
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5367 Postby Sanibel » Sat Dec 26, 2009 12:00 pm

Bottom border of that snowy Low over the mid-west is keeping us cloudy and cool. 69*

Front behind it should weakly plunge by tuesday then quick warm-up.

Wet Nino rain associated with front dried up on arrival.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5368 Postby Sanibel » Mon Dec 28, 2009 11:13 am

Sunny and cool. Quick-moving 36 hour cold front on us today. 45* tonight, high of 65* tomorrow. Quick warm-up after. Winter pattern of bottom edge of continental fronts. This one is a glancer not a plunger.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5369 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Dec 30, 2009 9:55 am

I've been in India for 2 weeks but it looks like NWS Tampa is forecasting
3-4 days of very cold highs in the 50s/60s starting this weekend.
Looks interesting.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5370 Postby Sanibel » Wed Dec 30, 2009 12:40 pm

India's great. I visited for 2 weeks once too.


We're in the winter front pattern. Hard to say what January and February will do.
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#5371 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu Dec 31, 2009 6:41 am

NWS Tampa Has lows near 40 for almost 4 days straight next week...WOW!
I'll be passing through newark on the flight back home (india to newark to tampa)
so I will get to see the snow on the ground there :cheesy:
But I don't think the airport people will let me play in it once I'm near the
airline gate- once you go through sercurity it is tight. :ggreen:
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5372 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri Jan 01, 2010 2:52 am

WOW!!! NWS forecasting LOW 20s for lows for 5 days straight for North Florida!!!
Central Florida low 30s-low 40s
and 30s all the way to inland south florida for 3-5 day cold spell!
Can somebody say ICE AGE??? Just Kidding.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5373 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jan 01, 2010 11:48 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:WOW!!! NWS forecasting LOW 20s for lows for 5 days straight for North Florida!!!
Central Florida low 30s-low 40s
and 30s all the way to inland south florida for 3-5 day cold spell!
Can somebody say ICE AGE??? Just Kidding.
Yeah, this is definitely going to be one of the most prolonged Florida cold spells that I have seen in recent memory. 5+ days in a row with low temperatures flirting with freezing in central Florida and well below freezing in northern Florida is almost unheard of. Usually these cold snaps only last a day or two across the sunshine state.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5374 Postby jinftl » Fri Jan 01, 2010 1:21 pm

The length of the cold snap is unusal, but the intensity of the cold during that period certainly won't be unprecedented...in fact, temps don't appear to be on track to set any new record low high temps during the day or record min temps at night.

For example, the record low daytime max temps from 1/2 - 1/6 range from 40 to 48 deg in Tampa....for the high temps! The forecast for this week shows several days of temps in the 55 to 60 deg range for highs. Record lows for the same period range from 26 to 31 deg. Forecast lows this week will be 5 to maybe 10 deg warmer than that on the coast.

Similarly, in Miami, the record low daytime max temps from 1/2 - 1/5 range from 46 to 55 deg...for highs in Miami! Record lows for the same period range from 32 to 35 deg in Miami (at the airport...not in the inland suburbs). By comparison, the forecast for the next several days features highs in the mid to upper 60s and the lows in the 40s.

Looking back at 2009 even, the coldest low temps recorded at the primary South Florida weather stations were 5+ deg colder than the forecast lows this week:

Naples: 33 (Jan 22, 2009)
West Palm Beach: 33 (Feb 5, 2009)
Fort Lauderdale: 37 (Feb 5, 2009)
Miami: 38 (Feb 5, 2009)

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:WOW!!! NWS forecasting LOW 20s for lows for 5 days straight for North Florida!!!
Central Florida low 30s-low 40s
and 30s all the way to inland south florida for 3-5 day cold spell!
Can somebody say ICE AGE??? Just Kidding.
Yeah, this is definitely going to be one of the most prolonged Florida cold spells that I have seen in recent memory. 5+ days in a row with low temperatures flirting with freezing in central Florida and well below freezing in northern Florida is almost unheard of. Usually these cold snaps only last a day or two across the sunshine state.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5375 Postby Sanibel » Sat Jan 02, 2010 12:43 am

3/4 inch today. Front easing in.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5376 Postby Sanibel » Sat Jan 02, 2010 10:21 am

Front fully over us now. 50* shade temperature 57* sun. Moderate north wind.


Large area cold front should park over us for 5 days with a reinforcing second front monday. Winter feature.
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#5377 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sat Jan 02, 2010 11:52 am

Wind Chills in the LOW TO MID 10s across central FL!!!!
TONIGHT... EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH STILL
ELEVATED WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS IN THE LOWER TO MID TEENS
OVER THE NATURE COAST AND LOWER TO MID 20S OVER ALL OTHER INLAND
AREAS. THESE VERY LOW WIND CHILLS WILL LAST FOR A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF TIME EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.p ... er+Outlook
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#5378 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jan 02, 2010 5:54 pm

The NWS forecast lows for the next few days are impressive to say the least. As jinftl pointed out above, this will not be the worst cold snap in Florida history by any means, but it will definitely be one of the longest in recent memory. Florida has not seen a cold snap of this length since at least 2001.

Here is a look at the current NWS forecast lows for a few selected cities over the next 5 nights:
**Below freezing values highlighted in blue**

Tallahassee - 27/23/19/17/23

Jacksonville - 29/28/25/27/31

Ocala - 25/25/24/23/26

Tampa - 33/32/34/32/38

Downtown Orlando - 34/33/31/31/35 (many of the suburbs..as well as the airport [MCO]..are forecast to be even colder)

Melbourne - 35/31/33/30/33

Fort Myers - 35/35/37/33/39

West Palm Beach - 41/41/39/34/39

Miami - 45/48/45/41/51

Key West - 52/51/53/51/51
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5379 Postby jinftl » Sat Jan 02, 2010 6:18 pm

The forecast reminds me of december 1995.....my first winter in south florida and the last prolonged cool spell.....cold by local standards. From 12/21 through 12/28, the high temperature didn't reach 70 degrees in Miami, a relatively rare occurence. Three of those days featured highs in the 50's. Just like the current forecast, the '95 cold snap wasn't a record cold event as far as much in the way of daily record lows, but it persisted for longer than most cold snaps, even the record setting ones.

The highs/lows in Miami during the '95 prolonged cool down:

12/21/95: 64/55
12/22/95: 64/55
12/23/95: 62/55
12/24/95: 57/46
12/25/95: 59/39
12/26/95: 63/46
12/27/95: 62/46
12/28/95: 57/53

In true Miami style, the winds veered east by the 29th, and the low in Miami 3 days later on New Year's Eve only fell to 72 deg. The high on 1/2/96 reached 86!
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Wetter & Cooler this winter

#5380 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jan 02, 2010 11:13 pm

Well I must say quite rare extended cold snap that has started here in S. FL that could last 7 days or longer it looks like. Will be monitoring the possible freeze threat but looks like only inland and NW portions of the CWA of S. FL as is typical for possible freeze events.

Here is an interesting snippet from NWS Miami:

SOUTH FL DOES GET SHOTS OF COLD AIR BUT TO HAVE IT FOR THIS
EXPECTED LONG DURATION IS RARE. TO PUT THIS COLD EPISODE WE ARE
EXPERIENCING INTO PERSPECTIVE...MIAMI`S LOW THIS MORNING FELL TO
49F AND IT LOOKS AS THOUGH WE WILL GO SOME TIME WITH LOWS AT MIA
BELOW 50F...AT LEAST 5 MORE DAYS. BUT IT COULD GO SEVERAL DAYS
LONGER IF WE DON`T MANAGE TO REBOUND ABOVE 50F LATE THIS WEEK BC
MORE COLD AIR IS ON THE WAY. THE LAST TIME THERE WERE 6
CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH LOWS BELOW 50F AT MIAMI WAS IN JAN 2001 AND
DEC 1989.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
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