If yall could follow this link and watch the video, Steve McCauley, with wfaa Dallas Fort Worth, says hes gonna be conservative at this point and call for a 50% chance of all snow.
![Smile :)](./images/smilies/icon_smile.gif)
I always liked the conservatives...
![mr. green :ggreen:](./images/smilies/icon_mrgreen.gif)
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RAPID DRYING IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLDER AIR TONIGHT...AND WE HAVE
REMOVED ANY MENTION OF WINTER PRECIP OVERNIGHT. I CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW FLURRIES IN THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT DOES
NOT APPEAR TO HAVE A HIGH ENOUGH PROBABILITY TO PUT IN THE
FORECAST AND WOULD LEAVE NO IMPACTS. WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS ARE
EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING...WITH WINDS GUSTING INTO
THE LOW 30S AT TIMES.
AS FOR THE THURSDAY SYSTEM...NAM/ECMWF ARE MORE CONSERVATIVE WITH
QPF BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE WILL SEE A WINTER MIX. AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS...SO
EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE ALMOST A HALF INCH OF SNOW FALL POSSIBLE IN
THE NORTHEAST...IT WILL MELT RATHER THAN ACCUMULATE. ISOLATED
TRAVEL PROBLEMS MAY OCCUR THURSDAY MORNING WHEN FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF A LINE FROM LAMPASAS TO
CANTON...AND AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNRISE
FRIDAY.
BrokenGlass wrote:Curious also about today's event. Here in Richardson, temp is down to 38.3, and rain is steady.
Portastorm wrote:Oh my goodness, Wxman57 doesn't completely rule out at least *some* wintry precip in the Austin area. (Portastorm pinching himself!)![]()
All kidding aside, I know we're going to probably end up in a borderline area and it'll be the classic touch-and-go up until the event. Wxman57, thanks as always for your analysis and please keep 'em coming!
rhoby13 wrote:Is anyone concerned that the 12Z NAM has the 0 celsius line farther north this morning?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 84_m.shtml
wxman57 wrote:Portastorm wrote:Oh my goodness, Wxman57 doesn't completely rule out at least *some* wintry precip in the Austin area. (Portastorm pinching himself!)![]()
All kidding aside, I know we're going to probably end up in a borderline area and it'll be the classic touch-and-go up until the event. Wxman57, thanks as always for your analysis and please keep 'em coming!
I'm in a good mood after the Saints' win last night. So, go ahead, have a little frozen precip.
gboudx wrote:57, after not going to sleep until about 3am listening to all the post-game on 870AM, and after watching our Saints win the SB; and now reading you talk about sneaux in DFW, I think I'm dreaming.
msstateguy83 wrote:i hate to be the one of bad news but and i could be wrong still half awake here but just brushing over the 12z nam it looks warmer.....
wxman57 wrote:BrokenGlass wrote:Curious also about today's event. Here in Richardson, temp is down to 38.3, and rain is steady.
With all the rain around today, your temps will have a hard time rising at all during the day. The 06Z GFS meteogram is probably too warm.
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