Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[Nederlander]

I think you have a good shot at 2-3 in. For college station.. Could be more though.. Depends in the track.. 0z will be out soon

[gboudx]

DONT anyone get to overly excited yet BUT i think this could be one of those "SHOCKER" situations
where ALOT of people could be shocked at what you wake up to in the am...

You mean shocked like I was when I woke up 2/10 to find 1.5" of snow on the ground, and it snowing heavily?

[Weatherdude20]

I agree bro. Amen. Very Shocking, thats how most Winter Storms around here have been.

hb905, looking like it at this point.

[Storm Tracker SA-CS]

is everything still looking on track? or has anything new changed with yalls thinking for tomorrows forecast?

[Weatherdude20]

If you look at the radar suprisingly the entire band is very complex execpt for one part, the part that is actaully over Abilene. Abilene consequently reporting Snow/Fog 32.

EDIT: Lubbock International Airport
Heavy Snow Freezing Fog 27 °F

[WacoWx]

That was a quick drop in Abilene!!

[msstateguy83]

to me that band near abilene seems to be building more,more to the nw....

[WacoWx]

to me that band near abilene seems to be building more,more to the nw....

it looks like its backbuilding and building se'ward. like its elongating!

[Ntxw]

Pins and needles such enthusiasts =P

[Weatherdude20]

to me that band near abilene seems to be building more,more to the nw....

it looks like its backbuilding and building se'ward. like its elongating!

It is rapidly expanding.

[WacoWx]

Pins and needles such enthusiasts =P

thats why i'm here

[msstateguy83]

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
829 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-230455-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
829 PM CST MON FEB 22 2010

.NOW...
AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL BE SPREADING OVER THE WESTERN
COUNTIES OF STEPHENS...EASTLAND...COMANCHE...MILLS AND LAMPASAS...
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW MOVING SOUTH OF
ABILENE MAY PASS ACROSS EASTLAND COUNTY BETWEEN 9 AND 10 PM.

ELSEWHERE...SOME SNOW FLURRIES OR BRIEF LIGHT SNOW MAY REACH THE
GROUND NORTHWEST OF A MINERAL WELLS TO GAINESVILLE LINE.

[Texas Snowman]

I don't know about this one. I'd all but conceded the snow well to the south of the Red River.

But I've stared at that Intellicast screen several times and it looks to me like there is an almost straight west to east motion on the main precip shield. Checked the Amarillo NWS radar shots and it appears to be the same.

I'm beginning to think that there may be a chance that this a) is moving further north than progged or b) will have a much more widespread impact than previously thought.

In an earlier post Ntxw said the "Bands are moving east west, the entire complex if you look further out is moving ESE, also the precip building is shifting south."

I saw that post, but what I was saying is that I DIDN'T see much evidence of that. Ntxw is almost always spot on, but an awful lot of west to east motion in the precip shield IMO.

[jasons2k]

The upper low shows-up nicely on water vapor, it's still digging SE over Arizona. The amount of precip breaking-out over Texas so far ahead of the system is impressive, no doubt about that.

[Storm Tracker SA-CS]

is this system more north than previously expected?

[Ntxw]

is this system more north than previously expected?

Not necessarily, it just seems that the precip coverage is more impressive than a lot of us have thought.

[Weatherdude20]

Have noticed a few things....

Further deveolpment widespread.
Band increasing from Sweetwater to near Stephenville now.
Okla Panhandle down to San Angelo we now have connection.

[Texas Snowman]

is this system more north than previously expected?

Only time will tell, but probably not. As Jasons alluded to, the upper low is still well to the west of Texas and digging.

BUT there is already an impressive amount of precip building over west Texas and the Panhandle.

If that precip is able to hold together as the upper low moves into Texas, who knows, perhaps there will be more snow to the north of I-20 than previously expected.

And that could certainly give DFW its seasonal record if that happens.

In my unofficial opinion, one thing seems sure, somebody in central and/or north-central Texas is going to get pounded by snow in the next 24 hours.

[Storm Tracker SA-CS]

is this system more north than previously expected?

Not necessarily, it just seems that the precip coverage is more impressive than a lot of us have thought.

so does this affect my snowfall amounts or not at all?

[Nederlander]

0z NAM has the precip hanging a bit longer it seems but it also takes longer for the Cold air to plunge.. This could be important for some areas.. not much change to the track.. I like huntsvilles chances for heavy snow