SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

[JenBayles]

Whew! I'm glad that second line moved on out of here. Got an inch this morning and another half inch this evening. Hopefully I can get the mower out in a couple days.

[vbhoutex]

You definitely got a much heavier storm than we did. We ended up with 0.55" total from this round of rain. We still need more rain but we can wait a few days for some more.

[southerngale]

I didn't get much rain at my house. It was raining lightly when I left yesterday morning, but no sign of rain when I got home last night. I was at a friend's house all afternoon and it rained there much of the day, although it was pretty light.

[jasons2k]

I had an additional 1.29" which brings my storm total to 1.48" -- now that's more like it

[southerngale]

I think the total at my house would look something like 0.01 -

[JenBayles]

Been watching the cap forecast for this Friday and Saturday. NWS now has west Harris county at 60% after 1:00 am Saturday. Any bets on whether the cap will hold or not?

[wxman57]

I did get 1.9" in southwest Houston (Westbury) last Sunday. Heaviest rain all year.

[southerngale]

I'll be traveling to Tyler Saturday morning. I wasn't thrilled to see this Special Weather Statement this morning. Hopefully, it will pass sooner than expected. I don't mind traveling in the rain, but prefer not to travel in large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.

Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
451 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-222100-
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-
NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...LAKE CHARLES...
JENNINGS...CROWLEY...LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...
ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...MORGAN CITY...WOODVILLE...JASPER...
NEWTON...LUMBERTON...BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE
451 AM CDT THU APR 22 2010

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...

A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS TEXAS
AND LOUISIANA THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL INTERACT WITH A WARM AND
HUMID AIRMASS IN PLACE TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ENTIRE AREA FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
APPEAR POSSIBLE OVER A LONG PERIOD OF TIME FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP DURING THIS TIME.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

SHAMBURGER

[PTrackerLA]

All of south LA could use the rain, shame it has to happen with some big festivals going on this weekend but I'll take it.

[JenBayles]

Looks like the cap will protect West Houston tonight and tomorrow morning - for the most part. I did notice the discussion mentioned the front/trough will slow and nearly stall out nearby, which makes me a bit nervous. Any predictions on that?

[SETXWXLADY]

Looks like the cap will protect West Houston tonight and tomorrow morning - for the most part. I did notice the discussion mentioned the front/trough will slow and nearly stall out nearby, which makes me a bit nervous. Any predictions on that?

This was on channel 12 site this morning. Not exactly Houston but he explained things to where I could understand them. Hope it helps.


http://www.12newsnow.com/global/category.asp?c=177961&autoStart=true&topVideoCatNo=default&clipId=4727478&flvUri=&partnerclipid=

[JenBayles]

Thanks for posting that video. It's a great, easily understood explanation of this system - even for a blonde!

[JenBayles]

Anyone out there watching the Texas storms tonight? I'm not looking forward to it myself, and one of my dogs freaks at the first rumble of thunder. Oh well, we've got the pumps ready to go and gutters and floodways cleaned out. Crossing my fingers for no flooding...

[jasons2k]

I'm watching, Jen. I went outside and looked at the sky - pretty spooky. The LLJ is howling from the SSE - you can see the low clouds racing north in the moonlight.

[JenBayles]

Hey Jason! Yes, the LLJ is very active tonight - already have storms moving along the upper Gulf coast. And talk about humid? It feels almost like an August night out there with toads and frogs making a lot of noise too. Don't need to look at the radar to know something wicked this way comes.

[Edit,2:00 am] Hmmm... maybe not. The southern end of the line below I-10 has really fallen apart now. The Bear Creek Dome may not get tested tonight!

[Jagno]

With all of my prayers for some rain we got this: Watch what you wish for huh!
Flood Warning
Flood Advisory
Special Weather Statement
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Short Term Forecast
Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Results so far:
0.01 Precipitation

I'm telling ya...........................the weather god's are messing with me.

[jasons2k]

Looks like nothing here overnight. Might have to run the sprinklers this weekend. Sure feels nice outside though.

[Jagno]

Well, we missed out on the liquid stuff AGAIN. My son was trying to bury an electrical line in my yard today. He's a big man and he'd pound that shovel with all his might and felt like he was trying to cut through concrete. The dust would fly. Hmmmmmm, it's a good thing I've been watering but it looks like I need alot more. Seems that a mere 20% is the best chance we have of possibly seeing any rain for the entire week now. Sigh....................more watering in my future.

[srainhoutx]

Surprise!



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0407
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 PM CDT MON APR 26 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 262038Z - 262215Z

AT LEAST ISOLATED TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING AND POTENTIALLY BECOME SEVERE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TX
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY. SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS UNCLEAR...BUT
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

DEEPENING/EXPANDING CUMULUS FIELD EXISTS IN VICINITY OF FRONTAL
ZONE/LOOSE TRIPLE POINT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TX...NEAR A SURFACE LOW
BETWEEN THE MORE SOUTHWARD-AGGRESSIVE SURGING FRONT ACROSS WEST TX
AND THE STALLED/NEARLY STATIONARY PORTION OF THE FRONT ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST TX. THIS IS OCCURRING WITHIN A WARM /80S
F/..MODESTLY MOIST /MAINLY LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S F SURFACE
DEWPOINTS/...AND WEAKLY CAPPED BOUNDARY LAYER. IT SEEMS PROBABLE
THAT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS WILL DEVELOP/INCREASE THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON...AIDED BY FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND PERHAPS A SPEED MAX
ACROSS OK/NORTH TX. VEERING WIND PROFILES BENEATH MODERATELY STRONG
W-NW FLOW ALOFT /40-60 KT PER LBD AND JTN PROFILERS/ WOULD SUPPORT
SOME RELATIVELY HIGH BASED SUPERCELLS AND/OR ORGANIZED
SOUTHEAST-MOVING LINE SEGMENTS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WHILE THE OVERALL EXTENT/MAGNITUDE OF THE
SEVERE RISK WILL LIKELY BE TEMPERED BY MARGINAL MOISTURE/TOTAL
BUOYANCY...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

..GUYER.. 04/26/2010


ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...

[jasons2k]

That storm headed close to Bryan is a right-turning supercell and needs to be watched.