Tornado and Severe Weather Outbreak May 18-20
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
Couple of cells exploding east of Lawton, SSW of OKC...
EDIT: Those appear to be headed straight for Norman.
EDIT: Those appear to be headed straight for Norman.
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- wx247
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The cell east of Marshall looks to have its eyes set on Tulsa in a while. Uh oh...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Texas Snowman
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
Cell just SW of Norman really starting to pop.
And those cells west and NW of Guthrie look wicked...wonder what the tops are on those?
And those cells west and NW of Guthrie look wicked...wonder what the tops are on those?
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
New cell rapidly developing north of Anadarko, heading for western OKC.
The City may really be under the gun in the next hour.
The City may really be under the gun in the next hour.
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- srainhoutx
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0625
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0530 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN OK...WRN AR
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 190...
VALID 192230Z - 192330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 190 CONTINUES.
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE WITH LONG-LIVED
SUPERCELLS ACROSS N-CNTRL OK...AND WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
PROBABLE FARTHER E/SE ALONG WARM FRONTAL ZONE DURING THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS. AREAS E/SE OF WW 190 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A LIKELY WW THIS
EVENING.
AS OF 2220Z...TWO SUPERCELLS WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
AND SIGNIFICANT HAIL WERE LOCATED ACROSS NRN WATONGA COUNTY AND NEAR
THE GARFIELD/KINGFISHER/LOGAN COUNTY BORDERS. RECENT VISIBLE
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY DEPICT ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
OCCURRING SEWD INVOF WARM FRONTAL ZONE THAT EXTENDED FROM 30 SE END
TO 25 N MLC TO 25 S HOT AS OF 22Z AND ALONG DRYLINE FROM WATONGA
COUNTY SUPERCELL SWD TO 20 NW SPS. REGIONAL PROFILER/VWP DATA
INDICATE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES HIGHLY CONDUCIVE TO SUSTAINED
UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH EFFECTIVE SRH AOA 300 M2/S2 INVOF WARM FRONTAL
ZONE. MODIFIED 18Z OUN RAOB SUGGESTS LOW LFC HEIGHTS AND MODEST
SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
POTENTIAL LONG-LIVED/SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.
FARTHER W...TSTM ACTIVITY ALONG DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP INTO AN AXIS OF
PEAK INSTABILITY /WITH MLCAPE AROUND 3000 J/KG/. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL
FLOW WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAKER AND VEERED TO THE SW PER LATEST
SHORT-TERM MODEL GUIDANCE...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY ALONG THE ERN
FRINGE OF STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
SIGNIFICANT HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES.
..GRAMS.. 05/19/2010
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0530 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN OK...WRN AR
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 190...
VALID 192230Z - 192330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 190 CONTINUES.
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE WITH LONG-LIVED
SUPERCELLS ACROSS N-CNTRL OK...AND WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
PROBABLE FARTHER E/SE ALONG WARM FRONTAL ZONE DURING THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS. AREAS E/SE OF WW 190 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A LIKELY WW THIS
EVENING.
AS OF 2220Z...TWO SUPERCELLS WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
AND SIGNIFICANT HAIL WERE LOCATED ACROSS NRN WATONGA COUNTY AND NEAR
THE GARFIELD/KINGFISHER/LOGAN COUNTY BORDERS. RECENT VISIBLE
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY DEPICT ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
OCCURRING SEWD INVOF WARM FRONTAL ZONE THAT EXTENDED FROM 30 SE END
TO 25 N MLC TO 25 S HOT AS OF 22Z AND ALONG DRYLINE FROM WATONGA
COUNTY SUPERCELL SWD TO 20 NW SPS. REGIONAL PROFILER/VWP DATA
INDICATE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES HIGHLY CONDUCIVE TO SUSTAINED
UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH EFFECTIVE SRH AOA 300 M2/S2 INVOF WARM FRONTAL
ZONE. MODIFIED 18Z OUN RAOB SUGGESTS LOW LFC HEIGHTS AND MODEST
SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
POTENTIAL LONG-LIVED/SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.
FARTHER W...TSTM ACTIVITY ALONG DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP INTO AN AXIS OF
PEAK INSTABILITY /WITH MLCAPE AROUND 3000 J/KG/. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL
FLOW WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAKER AND VEERED TO THE SW PER LATEST
SHORT-TERM MODEL GUIDANCE...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY ALONG THE ERN
FRINGE OF STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
SIGNIFICANT HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES.
..GRAMS.. 05/19/2010
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...
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- Texas Snowman
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KFOR TV storm spotter says storm a couple of miles west may have a large wedge tornado on the ground, thinks he got a glimpse of it through rain.
KFOR TV says there may be a large, violent tornado on the ground heading in the direction of Stillwater. Says there may be a big debris ball on the radar presentation.
Warning people in Orlando and Stillwater to take tornado precautions.
EDIT: Storm near Gutherie, rain wrapped and on the ground from the helicopter shot, heading right for Dover.
KFOR TV says there may be a large, violent tornado on the ground heading in the direction of Stillwater. Says there may be a big debris ball on the radar presentation.
Warning people in Orlando and Stillwater to take tornado precautions.
EDIT: Storm near Gutherie, rain wrapped and on the ground from the helicopter shot, heading right for Dover.
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- Texas Snowman
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
KFOR storm spotter confirming cone tornado on the ground, wrapped and obscured by rain near Dover. TV met says gate to gate shear, storm turning right.
"Oh my...very powerful, powerful circulation there." - TV met
Says it is going to head for Guthrie.
"Oh my...very powerful, powerful circulation there." - TV met
Says it is going to head for Guthrie.
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
WWUS54 KOUN 192253
SVSOUN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
553 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010
OKC073-192315-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0055.000000T0000Z-100519T2315Z/
KINGFISHER OK-
553 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
KINGFISHER COUNTY...
AT 553 PM CDT...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS ARE OBSERVING A TORNADO 6
MILES WEST OF DOVER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. RESIDENTS OF DOVER NEED
TO TAKE IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS!
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CASHION...DOVER...HENNESSEY...
KINGFISHER...LACEY...LOYAL AND OMEGA.
LAT...LON 3573 9767 3580 9820 3615 9821 3616 9768
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 270DEG 28KT 3596 9796
$$
..SPEG.
SVSOUN
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
553 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010
OKC073-192315-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0055.000000T0000Z-100519T2315Z/
KINGFISHER OK-
553 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
KINGFISHER COUNTY...
AT 553 PM CDT...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS ARE OBSERVING A TORNADO 6
MILES WEST OF DOVER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. RESIDENTS OF DOVER NEED
TO TAKE IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS!
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CASHION...DOVER...HENNESSEY...
KINGFISHER...LACEY...LOYAL AND OMEGA.
LAT...LON 3573 9767 3580 9820 3615 9821 3616 9768
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 270DEG 28KT 3596 9796
$$
..SPEG.
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- srainhoutx
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
Taking a break. Stay safe folks!
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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey
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- thetruesms
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- wx247
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Dover's population 380... just an FYI. Hope they are taking shelter.
Last edited by wx247 on Wed May 19, 2010 5:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Texas Snowman
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Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
KFOR TV met...storms near Norman not very big yet, but they are spinning.
On the storm near Guthrie, helicopter pilot says whole rain shaft is twisting, TV met says rain curtains twisting violently. Amazing footage...
On the storm near Guthrie, helicopter pilot says whole rain shaft is twisting, TV met says rain curtains twisting violently. Amazing footage...
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19
As previously posted lots of clearing along with heat to the S and W of Oklahoma City. Dry line storms a really just beginning to fire. I am thinking it will be very rough E of Oklahoma City tonight.
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- Texas Snowman
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KFOR TV met says mid level rotation on Chickasha storm, tornado threat increasing for OKC.
Also, one of their storm chasers says a multi-vortex tornado trying to reform near Stillwater. He believes a large, violent tornado may be imminent from a rapidly rotating wall cloud producing funnels.
Stillwater LOOK OUT!!!!
Also, one of their storm chasers says a multi-vortex tornado trying to reform near Stillwater. He believes a large, violent tornado may be imminent from a rapidly rotating wall cloud producing funnels.
Stillwater LOOK OUT!!!!
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- Texas Snowman
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Tornado or a funnel sighted at Lake Carl Blackwell.
This is going to be a very close call for Stillwater.
This is going to be a very close call for Stillwater.
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- thetruesms
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