Tornado and Severe Weather Outbreak May 18-20

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#101 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 5:25 pm

Couple of cells exploding east of Lawton, SSW of OKC...

EDIT: Those appear to be headed straight for Norman.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 41
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#102 Postby wx247 » Wed May 19, 2010 5:30 pm

The cell east of Marshall looks to have its eyes set on Tulsa in a while. Uh oh...
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8240
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#103 Postby jasons2k » Wed May 19, 2010 5:30 pm

Slightly different perspective:

Image
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#104 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed May 19, 2010 5:43 pm

Still so much clearing available.
0 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#105 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 5:44 pm

Cell just SW of Norman really starting to pop.

And those cells west and NW of Guthrie look wicked...wonder what the tops are on those?
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#106 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 5:45 pm

New cell rapidly developing north of Anadarko, heading for western OKC.

The City may really be under the gun in the next hour.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

apocalypt-flyer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 468
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 11:51 am

#107 Postby apocalypt-flyer » Wed May 19, 2010 5:45 pm

The Chickasha systems could be problematic.
0 likes   

User avatar
srainhoutx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6919
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
Location: Haywood County, NC
Contact:

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#108 Postby srainhoutx » Wed May 19, 2010 5:47 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0625
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0530 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN OK...WRN AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 190...

VALID 192230Z - 192330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 190 CONTINUES.

POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE WITH LONG-LIVED
SUPERCELLS ACROSS N-CNTRL OK...AND WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
PROBABLE FARTHER E/SE ALONG WARM FRONTAL ZONE DURING THE NEXT 2-3
HOURS. AREAS E/SE OF WW 190 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A LIKELY WW THIS
EVENING.

AS OF 2220Z...TWO SUPERCELLS WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
AND SIGNIFICANT HAIL WERE LOCATED ACROSS NRN WATONGA COUNTY AND NEAR
THE GARFIELD/KINGFISHER/LOGAN COUNTY BORDERS. RECENT VISIBLE
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY DEPICT ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
OCCURRING SEWD INVOF WARM FRONTAL ZONE THAT EXTENDED FROM 30 SE END
TO 25 N MLC TO 25 S HOT AS OF 22Z AND ALONG DRYLINE FROM WATONGA
COUNTY SUPERCELL SWD TO 20 NW SPS. REGIONAL PROFILER/VWP DATA
INDICATE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES HIGHLY CONDUCIVE TO SUSTAINED
UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH EFFECTIVE SRH AOA 300 M2/S2 INVOF WARM FRONTAL
ZONE. MODIFIED 18Z OUN RAOB SUGGESTS LOW LFC HEIGHTS AND MODEST
SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
POTENTIAL LONG-LIVED/SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES.

FARTHER W...TSTM ACTIVITY ALONG DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP INTO AN AXIS OF
PEAK INSTABILITY /WITH MLCAPE AROUND 3000 J/KG/. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL
FLOW WILL BE RELATIVELY WEAKER AND VEERED TO THE SW PER LATEST
SHORT-TERM MODEL GUIDANCE...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY ALONG THE ERN
FRINGE OF STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
SIGNIFICANT HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES.

..GRAMS.. 05/19/2010


ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...
0 likes   
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php

Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

#109 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 5:49 pm

KFOR TV storm spotter says storm a couple of miles west may have a large wedge tornado on the ground, thinks he got a glimpse of it through rain.

KFOR TV says there may be a large, violent tornado on the ground heading in the direction of Stillwater. Says there may be a big debris ball on the radar presentation.

Warning people in Orlando and Stillwater to take tornado precautions.

EDIT: Storm near Gutherie, rain wrapped and on the ground from the helicopter shot, heading right for Dover.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#110 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 5:54 pm

KFOR storm spotter confirming cone tornado on the ground, wrapped and obscured by rain near Dover. TV met says gate to gate shear, storm turning right.

"Oh my...very powerful, powerful circulation there." - TV met

Says it is going to head for Guthrie.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#111 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed May 19, 2010 5:55 pm

KWTV says the Kingfisher cell now has a large wedge on the ground.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#112 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed May 19, 2010 5:55 pm

WWUS54 KOUN 192253
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
553 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010

OKC073-192315-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0055.000000T0000Z-100519T2315Z/
KINGFISHER OK-
553 PM CDT WED MAY 19 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
KINGFISHER COUNTY...

AT 553 PM CDT...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS ARE OBSERVING A TORNADO 6
MILES WEST OF DOVER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. RESIDENTS OF DOVER NEED
TO TAKE IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS!


* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CASHION...DOVER...HENNESSEY...
KINGFISHER...LACEY...LOYAL AND OMEGA.

LAT...LON 3573 9767 3580 9820 3615 9821 3616 9768
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 270DEG 28KT 3596 9796

$$


..SPEG.
0 likes   

User avatar
srainhoutx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6919
Age: 67
Joined: Sun Jan 14, 2007 11:34 am
Location: Haywood County, NC
Contact:

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#113 Postby srainhoutx » Wed May 19, 2010 5:57 pm

Taking a break. Stay safe folks!
0 likes   
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Wx Infinity Forums
http://wxinfinity.com/index.php

Facebook.com/WeatherInfinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity

User avatar
thetruesms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 844
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:14 pm
Location: Tallahasee, FL
Contact:

#114 Postby thetruesms » Wed May 19, 2010 5:57 pm

Man, if you wanted to teach somebody about tornadic supercell behavior, just have them watch those two warned storms
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 41
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#115 Postby wx247 » Wed May 19, 2010 5:58 pm

Dover's population 380... just an FYI. Hope they are taking shelter.
Last edited by wx247 on Wed May 19, 2010 5:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#116 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 5:58 pm

KFOR TV met...storms near Norman not very big yet, but they are spinning.

On the storm near Guthrie, helicopter pilot says whole rain shaft is twisting, TV met says rain curtains twisting violently. Amazing footage...
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

Re: High Risk / PDS Tornado Watch 5-19

#117 Postby KatDaddy » Wed May 19, 2010 6:06 pm

As previously posted lots of clearing along with heat to the S and W of Oklahoma City. Dry line storms a really just beginning to fire. I am thinking it will be very rough E of Oklahoma City tonight.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

#118 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 6:16 pm

KFOR TV met says mid level rotation on Chickasha storm, tornado threat increasing for OKC.

Also, one of their storm chasers says a multi-vortex tornado trying to reform near Stillwater. He believes a large, violent tornado may be imminent from a rapidly rotating wall cloud producing funnels.

Stillwater LOOK OUT!!!!
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

#119 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed May 19, 2010 6:17 pm

Tornado or a funnel sighted at Lake Carl Blackwell.

This is going to be a very close call for Stillwater.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
thetruesms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 844
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:14 pm
Location: Tallahasee, FL
Contact:

#120 Postby thetruesms » Wed May 19, 2010 6:20 pm

Man, talk about little brother syndrome for Oklahoma State. :lol: What, Norman got hit by a tornado last week? That means we need to get hit by one too! It's only fair!

But seriously, if we do have anyone in that area, do what you need to do in order to be safe from this storm
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cheezyWXguy, Google Adsense [Bot], mmmmsnouts, WeatherNewbie and 82 guests