ARABIAN SEA - DEEP DEPRESSION (03A)

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#61 Postby ugaap » Mon May 31, 2010 12:31 pm

djones65 wrote:Going to the NDBC marine observation site I see that at 0600 UTC 31 May 2010 an unidentified ship reported westerly (270 degrees) winds at 41 knots. Other unidentified ships appeared to confirm a closed surface circulation with pressures as low as 29.59 inches or 1002.7 mb well away from the center of circulation. Of course we don't know how accurate these observations are, but with multiple reports of pressure around 1003 mb well removed from the estimated center of circulation and multiple reports of 25 to 30 knot winds including the 41 knot wind mentioned above tells me this system is quite possibly already a cyclone deserving a name. That may be why Accuweather named the system as Phet?

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search. ... =A&time=12



It is the responsibility of RSMC New Delhi to name Tropical Storms in the North Indian Ocean. They would name it "Phet" if the System becomes 35Kt. as per their guidelines.
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#62 Postby harith » Mon May 31, 2010 12:31 pm

Sorry forgot this point
But I have no difference between them
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#63 Postby djones65 » Mon May 31, 2010 12:36 pm

I didn't mean to imply that Accuweather had the "right" or the "authority" to name tropical cyclones, I just meant that based on the synoptic observations I could make a case that invest 94A may already have 35 knot sustained winds in which case it would "deserve" to be named if that is verified. Hurakan had asked why Accuweather had given it the name Phet and I guessed it is possibly because they see the winds may already be 35kt and it is just a matter of time until the agency with responsibility of naming tropical cyclones in the region of the Arabian Sea will give it that title.
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#64 Postby harith » Mon May 31, 2010 12:45 pm

djones65 wrote:I didn't mean to imply that Accuweather had the "right" or the "authority" to name tropical cyclones, I just meant that based on the synoptic observations I could make a case that invest 94A may already have 35 knot sustained winds in which case it would "deserve" to be named if that is verified. Hurakan had asked why Accuweather had given it the name Phet and I guessed it is possibly because they see the winds may already be 35kt and it is just a matter of time until the agency with responsibility of naming tropical cyclones in the region of the Arabian Sea will give it that title.





Not to mention cyclones Pando did not reach the speed of 64 knots, but he was name
:
By the way can not release the name unless it reached a speed of 65 knots
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#65 Postby harith » Mon May 31, 2010 12:52 pm

This may be Aliasaroqoy Ntz Hurricane Gonu :D
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#66 Postby ugaap » Mon May 31, 2010 12:58 pm

harith wrote:
djones65 wrote:I didn't mean to imply that Accuweather had the "right" or the "authority" to name tropical cyclones, I just meant that based on the synoptic observations I could make a case that invest 94A may already have 35 knot sustained winds in which case it would "deserve" to be named if that is verified. Hurakan had asked why Accuweather had given it the name Phet and I guessed it is possibly because they see the winds may already be 35kt and it is just a matter of time until the agency with responsibility of naming tropical cyclones in the region of the Arabian Sea will give it that title.





Not to mention cyclones Pando did not reach the speed of 64 knots, but he was name
:
By the way can not release the name unless it reached a speed of 65 knots


It is 35 knots for North Indian Ocean and we have already had Laila & Bandu this season and both were below 65 knots.
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#67 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 31, 2010 1:16 pm

31/1430 UTC 14.9N 63.6E T2.0/2.0 94A -- Arabian Sea

30 knots
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#68 Postby KWT » Mon May 31, 2010 1:39 pm

Certainly an interesting discussion, didn't accuweather call a system a storm a few years ago in the Atlantic before the NHC?

Still I'd say probably borderline storm status right now, I'd probably go for 30kts but its not going to take much for it to reach 35kts.
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Re:

#69 Postby harith » Mon May 31, 2010 1:53 pm

KWT wrote:Certainly an interesting discussion, didn't accuweather call a system a storm a few years ago in the Atlantic before the NHC?

Still I'd say probably borderline storm status right now, I'd probably go for 30kts but its not going to take much for it to reach 35kts.



Yes
The problem is not their access to the degree of the storm, but to call the names of hurricanes before they reach the degree of cyclone??
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#70 Postby harith » Mon May 31, 2010 2:12 pm

Another low-coordinates, which turned into a tropical storm now

94A.INVEST.35kts.996mb.15.3N.63.9E

Storm Alistewaip stationed at latitude 15.3 north and longitude 63.9 east
And speed 35 knots and pressure 996 millibars

The last movement for the center of the depression towards the north-west
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#71 Postby P.K. » Mon May 31, 2010 2:12 pm

This is quite simple. They shouldn't be referring to a system by a name before the relevant RSMC/TCWC for that part of the world has named it!
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#72 Postby harith » Mon May 31, 2010 2:16 pm

..........



Image

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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#73 Postby harith » Mon May 31, 2010 2:23 pm

In my opinion, pheet will reach an advanced stage has been up to the third division, will be violent
It will move to the coast of Pakistan
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#74 Postby omani1 » Mon May 31, 2010 2:27 pm

last low-coordinates,it turned into a tropical storm now

94A.INVEST.35kts.996mb.15.3N.63.9E

Storm Alistewaip stationed at latitude 15.3 north and longitude 63.9 east
And speed 35 knots and pressure 996 millibars

The last movement for the center of the depression towards the north-west
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#75 Postby omani1 » Mon May 31, 2010 2:31 pm

Navy, American called the storm 03A THREE
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#76 Postby ugaap » Mon May 31, 2010 3:01 pm

harith wrote:Another low-coordinates, which turned into a tropical storm now

94A.INVEST.35kts.996mb.15.3N.63.9E

Storm Alistewaip stationed at latitude 15.3 north and longitude 63.9 east
And speed 35 knots and pressure 996 millibars

The last movement for the center of the depression towards the north-west


Where do you get the name Storm Alistewaip?
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#77 Postby Cookie » Mon May 31, 2010 3:58 pm

harith wrote:In my opinion, pheet will reach an advanced stage has been up to the third division, will be violent
It will move to the coast of Pakistan


3rd divison?

I hope im not alone in finding a huge number of posts in this thread very confusing.

Talk of hurricanes, Talk of different Names for this system when their clearly hasn't been a official update.
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#78 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 31, 2010 4:27 pm

Image

Latest
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Re: Arabian Sea - DEPRESSION (94A)

#79 Postby ugaap » Mon May 31, 2010 4:38 pm

TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 001

LINK http://www.webcitation.org/5q96Nqshu
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#80 Postby KWT » Mon May 31, 2010 5:28 pm

03A now at 35kts, looking very good with good convective burst developing over the center of the system, I'm thinking with good conditions aloft we are looking at a decent system down the line.
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